Primeira Liga Gameweek 32 Sat, May 2 2026 · 20:30 Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.62 – 0.97
  • J. Bednarek 40’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bednarek goal decides it for FC Porto

FC Porto entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Bednarek goal. FC Porto won despite the lower xG; Alverca created the better chances (0.97 vs 0.62). On the chances created, Alverca deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC Porto ✓72%
Draw18%
Alverca9%

Model vs reality

FC Porto goals
1
Model 2.23 · xG 0.62
Alverca goals
0
Model 0.68 · xG 0.97
Total goals
1
Model 2.91 · xG 1.59
Score 1–0
12%
Most likely 2–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 44%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. BednarekFC Porto · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeDavid Rafael Oliveira da Silva
  • VenueEstádio Do Dragão
  • Table before kick-offFC Porto 1st · Alverca 9th

Timeline

  1. J. KiwiorYellow card · Foul
    38’
  2. ChiquinhoYellow card
    38’
  3. J. Bednarek 1–0Assist Gabri Veiga
    40’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ A. VarelaFor J. Kiwior
    46’
  6. ⇄ Martim FernandesFor Z. Sanusi
    46’
  7. Kaiky NavesYellow card · Foul
    52’
  8. ⇄ Borja SainzFor O. Pietuszewski
    63’
  9. Sandro LimaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    74’
  10. ⇄ S. FofanaFor Gabri Veiga
    74’
  11. FigueiredoYellow card · Foul
    77’
  12. ⇄ D. GuiFor Figueiredo
    78’
  13. ⇄ M. MilovanovićFor Chiquinho
    78’
  14. ⇄ Rodrigo MoraFor Pepê
    86’
  15. ⇄ Diogo SpencerFor Kaiky Naves
    89’
  16. ⇄ Cedric NuozziFor Sandro Lima
    89’
  17. ⇄ Zakaria KassaryFor Rhaldney
    89’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

FC Porto12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Alverca10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
FC PortoAlverca
57% Possession 43%
0.62 Expected goals (xG) 0.97
1.03 Expected points (xPts) 1.63
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 5
435 Passes 326
88% Pass accuracy 80%
5 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
21 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

FC Porto 4-3-3

996.9 Diogo Costa(G)
126.7 Z. Sanusi ↓46’ 46.9 J. Kiwior ↓46’ 58.5★ J. Bednarek 208.0 Alberto Baio
106.9 Gabri Veiga A↓74’ 137.6 P. Rosario 86.5 V. Froholdt
776.6 O. Pietuszewski ↓63’ 276.7 D. Gül 116.3 Pepê ↓86’
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)6.9
  • 12Z. Sanusi↓46’6.7
  • 4J. Kiwior↓46’6.9
  • 5J. Bednarek ★8.5
  • 20Alberto Baio8.0
  • 10Gabri VeigaA↓74’6.9
  • 13P. Rosario7.6
  • 8V. Froholdt6.5
  • 77O. Pietuszewski↓63’6.6
  • 27D. Gül6.7
  • 11Pepê↓86’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 52Martim Fernandes↑46’6.2
  • 42S. Fofana↑74’6.5
  • 86Rodrigo Mora↑86’
  • 22A. Varela↑46’7.0
  • 17Borja Sainz↑63’6.2

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, Thiago Silva, T. Moffi, William Gomes

Alverca 3-4-3

316.5 Matheus Mendes(G)
336.3 B. Meupiyou 57.2 Sergi Gómez 46.5 Kaiky Naves ↓89’
127.2 Isaac James 187.2 Lincoln 266.2 Rhaldney ↓89’ 26.5 Zoubdi
107.0 Chiquinho ↓78’ 916.3 Sandro Lima ↓89’ 206.6 Figueiredo ↓78’
  • 31Matheus Mendes (G)6.5
  • 33B. Meupiyou6.3
  • 5Sergi Gómez7.2
  • 4Kaiky Naves↓89’6.5
  • 12Isaac James7.2
  • 18Lincoln7.2
  • 26Rhaldney↓89’6.2
  • 2Zoubdi6.5
  • 10Chiquinho↓78’7.0
  • 91Sandro Lima↓89’6.3
  • 20Figueiredo↓78’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 82Diogo Spencer↑89’
  • 6D. Gui↑78’6.9
  • 35Zakaria Kassary↑89’
  • 11Cedric Nuozzi↑89’
  • 9M. Milovanović↑78’6.7

Unused: Mateus Oliveira, S. Baseya, Vasco Moreira, S. Diarra

Player stats

Top rated
J. BednarekFC Porto8.5
2nd
Alberto BaioFC Porto8.0
3rd
P. RosarioFC Porto7.6

FC Porto

Alverca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.