UEFA Europa League Quarter-finals Thu, Apr 9 2026 · 20:00 Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.21 – 0.45
  • William Gomes 11’
  • 13’ (OG) Martim Fernandes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Porto and Nottingham Forest share the points

FC Porto entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 11 minutes through a Gomes goal. But an own goal to rescue a draw for Nottingham Forest. FC Porto finished with the higher xG (2.21 vs 0.45). On the chances created, FC Porto deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

FC Porto45%
Draw ✓27%
Nottingham Forest28%

Model vs reality

FC Porto goals
1
Model 1.46 · xG 2.21
Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.10 · xG 0.45
Total goals
2
Model 2.56 · xG 2.66
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. OrtegaNottingham Forest
8.3
  • RefereeMarco Guida
  • VenueEstádio Do Dragão
  • Table before kick-offFC Porto 1st · Nottingham Forest 8th

Timeline

  1. William Gomes 1–0Assist Gabri Veiga
    11’
  2. Martim Fernandes (own goal) 1–1
    13’
  3. Gabri VeigaYellow card · Tripping
    15’
  4. ⇄ Alberto BaioFor Martim Fernandes
    19’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. ⇄ N. MilenkovićFor Murillo
    46’
  7. ⇄ Igor JesusFor C. Wood
    46’
  8. ⇄ PepêFor Borja Sainz
    59’
  9. ⇄ D. GülFor T. Moffi
    59’
  10. ⇄ V. FroholdtFor Gabri Veiga
    59’
  11. ⇄ N. WilliamsFor D. Bakwa
    61’
  12. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor M. Gibbs-White
    61’
  13. VAR Igor JesusGoal Disallowed - Foul
    63’
  14. ⇄ A. VarelaFor S. Fofana
    74’
  15. ⇄ I. SangaréFor J. McAtee
    74’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

FC Porto15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham Forest6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
FC PortoNottingham Forest
52% Possession 48%
2.21 Expected goals (xG) 0.45
2.50 Expected points (xPts) 0.34
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
5 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 2
492 Passes 466
87% Pass accuracy 87%
5 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.11 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

FC Porto 4-3-3

997.3 Diogo Costa(G)
126.9 Z. Sanusi 57.5 J. Bednarek 37.3 Thiago Silva 525.7 Martim Fernandes ↓19’
107.3 Gabri Veiga A↓59’ 137.2 P. Rosario 427.3 S. Fofana ↓74’
176.7 Borja Sainz ↓59’ 296.3 T. Moffi ↓59’ 77.9 William Gomes
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)7.3
  • 12Z. Sanusi6.9
  • 5J. Bednarek7.5
  • 3Thiago Silva7.3
  • 52Martim Fernandes↓19’5.7
  • 10Gabri VeigaA↓59’7.3
  • 13P. Rosario7.2
  • 42S. Fofana↓74’7.3
  • 17Borja Sainz↓59’6.7
  • 29T. Moffi↓59’6.3
  • 7William Gomes7.9

Substitutes used

  • 20Alberto Baio↑19’6.9
  • 8V. Froholdt↑59’6.3
  • 11Pepê↑59’7.2
  • 27D. Gül↑59’6.5
  • 22A. Varela↑74’6.9

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, Andorinha, J. Kiwior, D. Prpić, Francisco Moura, Rodrigo Mora, Tiago Silva

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

278.3★ S. Ortega(G)
46.9 Morato 56.2 Murillo ↓46’ 446.9 Z. Abbott
147.0 D. Ndoye 166.3 N. Domínguez 226.2 R. Yates 296.6 D. Bakwa ↓61’
246.9 J. McAtee ↓74’ 106.2 M. Gibbs-White ↓61’
116.5 C. Wood ↓46’
  • 27S. Ortega (G) ★8.3
  • 4Morato6.9
  • 5Murillo↓46’6.2
  • 44Z. Abbott6.9
  • 14D. Ndoye7.0
  • 16N. Domínguez6.3
  • 22R. Yates6.2
  • 29D. Bakwa↓61’6.6
  • 24J. McAtee↓74’6.9
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓61’6.2
  • 11C. Wood↓46’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 19Igor Jesus↑46’6.5
  • 31N. Milenković↑46’6.6
  • 21O. Hutchinson↑61’6.5
  • 3N. Williams↑61’6.5
  • 6I. Sangaré↑74’6.7

Unused: M. Sels, C. Hudson-Odoi, L. Lucca, Archie Whitehall, Jimmy Sinclair, Justin Hanks, T. Aina

Player stats

Top rated
S. OrtegaNottingham Forest8.3
2nd
William GomesFC Porto7.9
3rd
J. BednarekFC Porto7.5

FC Porto

Nottingham Forest

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.