Bundesliga Gameweek 14 Sat, Dec 13 2025 · 14:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.80 – 2.13
  • M. Kaars 35’, 53’
  • E. Smith 45’
  • 64’ M. Pieringer
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC St. Pauli beat 1. FC Heidenheim

FC St. Pauli entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through two Kaars goals. 1. FC Heidenheim replied through a Pieringer goal. FC St. Pauli played with ten men from the 45th minute after Smith was sent off. FC St. Pauli won despite the lower xG; 1. FC Heidenheim created the better chances (2.13 vs 0.80). On the chances created, 1. FC Heidenheim deserved more: 2.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC St. Pauli ✓40%
Draw27%
1. FC Heidenheim33%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
2
Model 1.46 · xG 0.80
1. FC Heidenheim goals
1
Model 1.31 · xG 2.13
Total goals
3
Model 2.77 · xG 2.93
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. VasiljFC St. Pauli
8.3
  • RefereeSören Storks
  • CoachesA. Blessin · F. Schmidt
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 17th · 1. FC Heidenheim 16th

Timeline

  1. J. SandsYellow card · Roughing
    25’
  2. M. Kaars 1–0Assist J. Fujita
    35’
  3. J. SchöppnerYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    42’
  4. E. SmithRed card · Holding
    45’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ A. DźwigałaFor M. Pereira Lage
    46’
  7. ⇄ S. SchimmerFor J. Schöppner
    46’
  8. ⇄ O. TraoréFor T. Keller
    46’
  9. M. Kaars 2–0
    53’
  10. M. Pieringer 2–1Assist S. Schimmer
    64’
  11. ⇄ M. HonsakFor T. Siersleben
    65’
  12. ⇄ M. KaufmannFor A. Beck
    65’
  13. Arkadiusz PyrkaYellow card · Holding
    69’
  14. M. KaufmannYellow card · Elbowing
    73’
  15. ⇄ R. JonesFor M. Kaars
    75’
  16. ⇄ N. DorschFor J. Niehues
    78’
  17. M. PieringerYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    87’
  18. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor R. Jones
    90+5’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

FC St. Pauli8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
1. FC Heidenheim20 shots · 14 in box, 6 outside
FC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
37% Possession 63%
0.80 Expected goals (xG) 2.13
0.58 Expected points (xPts) 2.23
8 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 7
2 Shots off target 6
1 Blocked shots 7
7 Shots inside the box 14
1 Shots outside the box 6
342 Passes 577
72% Pass accuracy 84%
4 Corners 10
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 5
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
7.08 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

228.3★ N. Vasilj(G)
37.2 K. Mets 86.3 E. Smith 57.0 H. Wahl
236.6 Louis Oppie 77.3 J. Irvine 66.3 J. Sands 116.2 Arkadiusz Pyrka
286.0 M. Pereira Lage ↓46’ 167.9 J. Fujita A
198.2 M. Kaars ↓75’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G) ★8.3
  • 3K. Mets7.2
  • 8E. Smith6.3
  • 5H. Wahl7.0
  • 23Louis Oppie6.6
  • 7J. Irvine7.3
  • 6J. Sands6.3
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.2
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓46’6.0
  • 16J. FujitaA7.9
  • 19M. Kaars↓75’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 25A. Dźwigała↑46’6.9
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑90’
  • 26R. Jones6.7

Unused: B. Voll, L. Ritzka, E. Ahlstrand, E. Saliakas, D. Sinani, A. Ceesay

Coach: A. Blessin

1. FC Heidenheim 3-4-2-1

416.7 D. Ramaj(G)
47.6 T. Siersleben ↓65’ 66.9 P. Mainka 276.3 T. Keller ↓46’
196.7 J. Föhrenbach 166.3 J. Niehues ↓78’ 36.5 J. Schöppner ↓46’ 27.5 M. Busch
227.0 A. Ibrahimović 217.0 A. Beck ↓65’
187.2 M. Pieringer
  • 41D. Ramaj (G)6.7
  • 4T. Siersleben↓65’7.6
  • 6P. Mainka6.9
  • 27T. Keller↓46’6.3
  • 19J. Föhrenbach6.7
  • 16J. Niehues↓78’6.3
  • 3J. Schöppner↓46’6.5
  • 2M. Busch7.5
  • 22A. Ibrahimović7.0
  • 21A. Beck↓65’7.0
  • 18M. Pieringer7.2

Substitutes used

  • 23O. Traoré↑46’6.6
  • 9S. SchimmerA↑46’5.9
  • 17M. Honsak↑65’7.2
  • 29M. Kaufmann↑65’6.2
  • 30N. Dorsch↑78’6.6

Unused: K. Müller, Adam Kölle, B. Gimber, L. Kerber

Coach: F. Schmidt

Player stats

Top rated
N. VasiljFC St. Pauli8.3
2nd
M. KaarsFC St. Pauli8.2
3rd
J. FujitaFC St. Pauli7.9

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Heidenheim

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.