Bundesliga Gameweek 5 Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 14:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.63 – 0.60
  • H. Wahl 32’
  • 25’ E. Tapsoba
  • 58’ E. Poku
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayer Leverkusen beat FC St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Tapsoba and Poku. FC St. Pauli replied through a Wahl goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.63 and 0.60. On the chances created, FC St. Pauli deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC St. Pauli15%
Draw20%
Bayer Leverkusen ✓65%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 0.99 · xG 0.63
Bayer Leverkusen goals
2
Model 2.20 · xG 0.60
Total goals
3
Model 3.19 · xG 1.23
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 0–2 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. TapsobaBayer Leverkusen · 1 goal
8.6
  • RefereeMartin Petersen
  • CoachesA. Blessin · —
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 5th · Bayer Leverkusen 11th

Timeline

  1. J. QuansahYellow card · Tripping
    21’
  2. E. Tapsoba 0–1
    25’
  3. H. Wahl 1–1
    32’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ E. FernándezFor R. Andrich
    46’
  6. J. FujitaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    50’
  7. ⇄ E. PokuFor E. Ben Seghir
    56’
  8. ⇄ Lucas VázquezFor A. Tape
    56’
  9. E. Poku 1–2Assist Álex Grimaldo
    58’
  10. Lucas VázquezYellow card · Roughing
    60’
  11. ⇄ M. KaarsFor A. Hountondji
    68’
  12. ⇄ A. DźwigałaFor L. Ritzka
    68’
  13. ⇄ J. HofmannFor M. Tillman
    75’
  14. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor J. Fujita
    80’
  15. ⇄ O. AfolayanFor M. Pereira Lage
    81’
  16. ⇄ A. CeesayFor E. Saliakas
    87’
  17. E. SmithYellow card · Foul
    87’
  18. ⇄ Christian KofaneFor P. Schick
    89’
  19. L. BadéYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  20. E. FernándezYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  21. A. CeesayYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+8’
  22. Christian KofaneYellow card · Tripping
    90+9’
  23. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

FC St. Pauli13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
Bayer Leverkusen4 shots · 3 in box, 1 outside
FC St. PauliBayer Leverkusen
49% Possession 51%
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.60
1.32 Expected points (xPts) 1.26
13 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 0
1 Blocked shots 0
7 Shots inside the box 3
6 Shots outside the box 1
436 Passes 477
85% Pass accuracy 86%
13 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.61 Team rating 6.80

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2

226.2 N. Vasilj(G)
216.3 L. Ritzka ↓68’ 86.7 E. Smith 57.2 H. Wahl
236.6 Louis Oppie 166.2 J. Fujita ↓80’ 66.7 J. Sands 26.9 E. Saliakas ↓87’
106.9 D. Sinani
286.7 M. Pereira Lage ↓81’ 276.2 A. Hountondji ↓68’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)6.2
  • 21L. Ritzka↓68’6.3
  • 8E. Smith6.7
  • 5H. Wahl7.2
  • 23Louis Oppie6.6
  • 16J. Fujita↓80’6.2
  • 6J. Sands6.7
  • 2E. Saliakas↓87’6.9
  • 10D. Sinani6.9
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓81’6.7
  • 27A. Hountondji↓68’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 25A. Dźwigała↑68’6.6
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑80’6.6
  • 9A. Ceesay↑87’6.7
  • 19M. Kaars↑68’6.5
  • 17O. Afolayan↑81’6.3

Unused: B. Voll, K. Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, E. Ahlstrand

Coach: A. Blessin

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

16.2 M. Flekken(G)
128.6★ E. Tapsoba 57.2 L. Badé 46.3 J. Quansah
206.9 Álex Grimaldo A 247.2 Aleix García 86.3 R. Andrich ↓46’ 166.7 A. Tape ↓56’
176.3 E. Ben Seghir ↓56’ 106.3 M. Tillman ↓75’
146.2 P. Schick ↓89’
  • 1M. Flekken (G)6.2
  • 12E. Tapsoba ★8.6
  • 5L. Badé7.2
  • 4J. Quansah6.3
  • 20Álex GrimaldoA6.9
  • 24Aleix García7.2
  • 8R. Andrich↓46’6.3
  • 16A. Tape↓56’6.7
  • 17E. Ben Seghir↓56’6.3
  • 10M. Tillman↓75’6.3
  • 14P. Schick↓89’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 21Lucas Vázquez↑56’6.2
  • 6E. Fernández↑46’7.0
  • 19E. Poku↑56’7.3
  • 35Christian Kofane↑89’
  • 7J. Hofmann↑75’6.3

Unused: J. Blaswich, J. Belocian, I. Maza, C. Echeverri

Player stats

Top rated
E. TapsobaBayer Leverkusen8.6
2nd
E. PokuBayer Leverkusen7.3
3rd
H. WahlFC St. Pauli7.2

FC St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.