Bundesliga Gameweek 23 Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 16:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.21 – 1.60
  • H. Wahl 55’
  • J. Fujita 70’
  • 62’ J. Milošević
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC St. Pauli beat Werder Bremen

FC St. Pauli won 2–1 through goals from Wahl and Fujita. Werder Bremen replied through a Milošević goal. FC St. Pauli won despite the lower xG; Werder Bremen created the better chances (1.60 vs 0.21). On the chances created, Werder Bremen deserved more: 2.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC St. Pauli ✓35%
Draw27%
Werder Bremen38%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
2
Model 1.35 · xG 0.21
Werder Bremen goals
1
Model 1.40 · xG 1.60
Total goals
3
Model 2.75 · xG 1.81
Score 2–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchH. WahlFC St. Pauli · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeSören Storks
  • CoachesA. Blessin · —
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 17th · Werder Bremen 16th

Timeline

  1. I. SchmidtYellow card · Roughing
    7’
  2. M. KaarsYellow card · Roughing
    29’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ M. Pereira LageFor M. Kaars
    53’
  5. S. LynenYellow card · Tripping
    54’
  6. H. Wahl 1–0Assist D. Sinani
    55’
  7. ⇄ L. BittencourtFor R. Schmid
    60’
  8. ⇄ J. MiloševićFor M. Grüll
    61’
  9. J. Milošević 1–1
    62’
  10. J. Fujita 2–1Assist E. Saliakas
    70’
  11. M. FriedlYellow card · Tripping
    75’
  12. E. SaliakasYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    76’
  13. J. MiloševićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    76’
  14. ⇄ K. ToppFor Cameron Puertas
    79’
  15. ⇄ J. SandsFor J. Irvine
    80’
  16. ⇄ M. RasmussenFor J. Fujita
    87’
  17. N. StarkYellow card
    88’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

FC St. Pauli4 shots · 4 in box
Werder Bremen11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
FC St. PauliWerder Bremen
42% Possession 58%
0.21 Expected goals (xG) 1.60
0.36 Expected points (xPts) 2.42
4 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
0 Shots off target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Shots inside the box 9
0 Shots outside the box 2
404 Passes 552
77% Pass accuracy 82%
1 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Fouls 10
5 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.98 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

227.3 N. Vasilj(G)
36.6 K. Mets 58.5★ H. Wahl 157.0 Tomoya Ando
117.2 Arkadiusz Pyrka 76.3 J. Irvine ↓80’ 86.3 E. Smith 27.0 E. Saliakas A
167.5 J. Fujita ↓87’ 106.6 D. Sinani A
196.5 M. Kaars ↓53’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)7.3
  • 3K. Mets6.6
  • 5H. Wahl ★8.5
  • 15Tomoya Ando7.0
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka7.2
  • 7J. Irvine↓80’6.3
  • 8E. Smith6.3
  • 2E. SaliakasA7.0
  • 16J. Fujita↓87’7.5
  • 10D. SinaniA6.6
  • 19M. Kaars↓53’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 20M. Rasmussen↑87’
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↑53’6.2
  • 6J. Sands↑80’6.9

Unused: B. Voll, Louis Oppie, L. Ritzka, A. Dźwigała, A. Ceesay, T. Hara

Coach: A. Blessin

Werder Bremen 3-4-2-1

305.9 M. Backhaus(G)
326.5 M. Friedl 47.0 N. Stark 146.5 S. Lynen
236.3 I. Schmidt 187.0 Cameron Puertas ↓79’ 66.2 J. Stage 116.2 J. Njinmah
206.7 R. Schmid ↓60’ 76.9 S. Mbangula
176.5 M. Grüll ↓61’
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)5.9
  • 32M. Friedl6.5
  • 4N. Stark7.0
  • 14S. Lynen6.5
  • 23I. Schmidt6.3
  • 18Cameron Puertas↓79’7.0
  • 6J. Stage6.2
  • 11J. Njinmah6.2
  • 20R. Schmid↓60’6.7
  • 7S. Mbangula6.9
  • 17M. Grüll↓61’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 10L. Bittencourt↑60’6.3
  • 9K. Topp↑79’6.3
  • 19J. Milošević↑61’7.2

Unused: K. Hein, Y. Sugawara, J. Malatini, O. Deman, Patrice Čović

Player stats

Top rated
H. WahlFC St. Pauli8.5
2nd
J. FujitaFC St. Pauli7.5
3rd
N. VasiljFC St. Pauli7.3

FC St. Pauli

Werder Bremen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.