FC Volendam
Attack—
Defense risk—
FC Volendam
15th · 17 pts · 20 played
LLLWL
First leg0–3
1–1Full time
GO Ahead Eagles
14th · 21 pts · 19 played
DLDDD
Our take
GO Ahead Eagles were slight favourites.
GO Ahead Eagles were the stronger side on L90 Strength (25 vs 13). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for GO Ahead Eagles. FC Volendam had 8.1 days of rest, GO Ahead Eagles 3 and had to travel 79 km.
Away travel79 kmRest days8.1 · 3Matches / 14d1 · 2
FC Volendam28%
Draw27%
GO Ahead Eagles45%
FC Volendam32%
Draw27%
GO Ahead Eagles40%
FC Volendam28%
Draw27%
GO Ahead Eagles45%
FC Volendam22%
Draw25%
GO Ahead Eagles53%
FC Volendam28%
Draw27%
GO Ahead Eagles44%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Volendam)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsMartijn Vos
- Cards per match 3.8
- Penalties per match 0.33
- Matches 12
Team strength
FC VolendamGO Ahead Eagles
13
L90 StrengthIn forecast
25
14
Current StrengthIn forecast
24
14
AttackIn forecast
29
19
DefenceIn forecast
17
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGO Ahead Eagles
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
FC VolendamGO Ahead Eagles
1.05
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.58
1.75
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.74
0.91
xGVia Att/Def
1.15
1.74
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.73
+0.14
Goals minus xGContext
+0.43
65%
Scored inContext
84%
5%
Clean sheetsContext
16%
9.60
ShotsContext
10.84
3.35
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.89
35%
On target shareContext
45%
5.85
Shots in the boxContext
7.81
60%
Box shareContext
67%
11%
ConversionContext
15%
1.71
OffsidesContext
1.88
18.45
Shots allowedContext
17.79
6.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.68
5.65
BlocksContext
6.06
4.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.26
74%
Save rateContext
75%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
357
PassesContext
436
288
Accurate passesContext
360
81%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.83
Team ratingContext
6.83
9.45
FoulsContext
9.11
11.50
Fouls sufferedContext
10.47
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.47
0.05
Red cardsContext
0.05
0.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.10
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
0.85
xGVia Att/Def
0.83
2.11
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.87
-0.05
Goals minus xGContext
+0.27
50%
Scored inContext
70%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
8.50
ShotsContext
10.10
2.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.56
34%
On target shareContext
41%
4.80
Shots in the boxContext
6.50
56%
Box shareContext
65%
9%
ConversionContext
11%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.11
20.70
Shots allowedContext
16.30
7.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.50
6.80
BlocksContext
4.80
5.60
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.90
74%
Save rateContext
71%
43%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
354
PassesContext
444
287
Accurate passesContext
364
81%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.83
Team ratingContext
6.67
9.50
FoulsContext
9.10
9.70
Fouls sufferedContext
7.90
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.10
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
FC Volendam
Rest8.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km36 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
GO Ahead Eagles
Rest3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel79 km1,909 km in 14d
Schedule load13%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| FC Volendam |
GO Ahead Eagles |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 13 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 8.1Eredivisie 2025-2026, 24 Jan | 3UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 29 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 79 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 36 km | 1,909 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5.9 | 6.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
FC Volendam
Confirmed XI
1K. van Oevelen(G)
14A. Meijers
20N. Verschuren
3M. Amevor
5P. Ugwu
23D. Kwakman
6A. Plat
17J. Ideho
7O. Kökçü
11A. Oehlers
10B. Kuwas
GO Ahead Eagles
Confirmed XI
22J. De Busser(G)
5D. James
4J. Kramer
25G. van Zwam
2A. Sampsted
21M. Meulensteen
8H. Linthorst
17M. Suray
7J. Breum
19J. Slory
16V. Edvardsen
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences FC Volendam
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
GO Ahead Eagles
Scores -0.03 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- FC Volendam-0.3 pp
- Draw+0.2 pp
- GO Ahead Eagles+0.1 pp
Home / Away this season
FC Volendam · Home
1.50points per game · 10 home games
- W-D-L
- 4-3-3
- Scored
- 1.60
- Conceded
- 1.30
GO Ahead Eagles · Away
0.70points per game · 10 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-4-5
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 2.10
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | FC Volendam | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax | L 0–2 AD 1–1 H | D 2–2 AD 2–2 H |
| Utrecht | W 2–1 HL 1–3 A | D 2–2 H |
| AZ Alkmaar | L 0–1 AD 2–2 H | D 2–2 A |
| Sparta Rotterdam | L 0–1 H | L 0–3 H |
| Groningen | L 0–3 A | D 1–1 H |
| NEC Nijmegen | L 2–3 H | D 1–1 H |
| PSV Eindhoven | L 0–3 A | L 1–2 A |
| Twente | D 1–1 H | L 0–2 A |
| NAC Breda | W 2–1 H | L 0–1 A |
| Feyenoord | L 1–3 A | W 2–1 H |
| Heracles | W 3–0 H | L 2–4 A |
| Fortuna Sittard | L 0–1 A | D 2–2 HD 2–2 A |
| PEC Zwolle | W 2–1 H | W 2–0 A |
| Excelsior | L 1–2 H | W 2–0 H |
| Telstar | D 2–2 A | L 2–4 A |
| Heerenveen | D 1–1 A | D 2–2 A |
| Points | 17 of 57 · 0.89 per game | 18 of 54 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
0 FC Volendam wins0 draws2 GO Ahead Eagles wins
Goals per game0.50 – 3.50
Over 2.5100%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets0% · 50%
- 13 Sep 2025GO Ahead Eagles3–0FC Volendam
- 19 Aug 2023GO Ahead Eagles4–1FC Volendam
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| FC Volendam | GO Ahead Eagles | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.05 | 1.58 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.75 | 1.74 | |
| Match goals | 2.80 | 3.32 | 2.66 |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 95% | |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 68% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 47% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 68% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 5% | 16% | |
| Failed to score | 35% | 16% | |
| Games | 20 | 19 |
| FC Volendam | GO Ahead Eagles | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.80 | 1.10 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.90 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.66 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| FC Volendam | GO Ahead Eagles | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 5.21 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.78 | 5.32 | |
| Match total | 10.45 | 10.53 | 10.21 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 12/18 | 79% 15/19 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 10/18 | 63% 12/19 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 8/18 | 47% 9/19 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.45 | 1.58 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.95 | 1.79 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 3.37 | 3.56 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% 9/20 | 42% 8/19 | |
| Over 4.5 | 35% 7/20 | 21% 4/19 | |
| FC Volendam | GO Ahead Eagles | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.22 | 4.30 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.89 | 4.80 | |
| Match total | 11.11 | 9.10 | 10.21 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 6/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 3.60 | 3.56 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Martijn Vos Netherlands · 12 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.42league 3.36
Red cards0.42league 0.20
Cards 5+25%league 31%
Fouls26.3league 21.7
Penalties0.33league 0.26
Home wins25%league 45%
FC Volendam1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 3.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D17 Aug 25H · AZ Alkmaar2–21
GO Ahead Eagles1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 4.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D5 Oct 25H · NEC Nijmegen1–11
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
FC Volendam20 games · scored 21 · conceded 35
2
8
0-15
2
4
16-30
5
7
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
4
61-75
4
6
76-90
GO Ahead Eagles18 games · scored 28 · conceded 33
5
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
7
10
31-45
2
6
46-60
5
3
61-75
7
6
76-90
FC Volendam10 games · scored 8 · conceded 19
1
3
0-15
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
61-75
3
4
76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 11 · conceded 20
2
5
0-15
3
16-30
2
6
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
