Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 15:45 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
First leg2–2 1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.20 – 0.81
  • J. Trenskow 24’
  • 54’ K. Karlsson
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Heerenveen and Utrecht share the points

Heerenveen entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Trenskow goal. But Karlsson scored to rescue a draw for Utrecht. Heerenveen finished with the higher xG (1.20 vs 0.81).

Heerenveen44%
Draw ✓26%
Utrecht30%

Model vs reality

Heerenveen goals
1
Model 1.56 · xG 1.20
Utrecht goals
1
Model 1.26 · xG 0.81
Total goals
2
Model 2.81 · xG 2.01
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchK. KarlssonUtrecht · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeJannick van der Laan
  • VenueAbe Lenstra Stadion
  • Table before kick-offHeerenveen 11th · Utrecht 12th

Timeline

  1. J. Trenskow 1–0Assist O. Braude
    24’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. M. WillemsenYellow card · Roughing
    47’
  4. M. DiddenYellow card · Holding
    52’
  5. K. Karlsson 1–1Assist Ángel Alarcón
    54’
  6. ⇄ Y. CathlineFor K. Karlsson
    64’
  7. ⇄ O. AgougilFor C. Bozdoğan
    64’
  8. ⇄ L. OyenFor M. Rivera
    68’
  9. ⇄ Miguel RodríguezFor Ángel Alarcón
    72’
  10. ⇄ A. StepanovFor G. Zechiël
    85’
  11. ⇄ Eser GürbüzFor R. Meerveld
    86’
  12. Y. CathlineYellow card · Tripping
    89’
  13. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Heerenveen16 shots · 9 in box, 7 outside
Utrecht10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
HeerenveenUtrecht
60% Possession 40%
1.20 Expected goals (xG) 0.81
1.65 Expected points (xPts) 1.05
16 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 4
7 Shots outside the box 6
591 Passes 389
88% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.85

Line-ups

Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

227.0 B. Klaverboer(G)
196.9 V. Zagaritis 37.5 M. Willemsen 67.5 J. van Overeem 457.7 O. Braude A
86.6 L. Brouwers 167.0 M. Linday
76.3 M. Rivera ↓68’ 106.9 R. Meerveld ↓86’ 207.2 J. Trenskow
96.2 D. Vente
  • 22B. Klaverboer (G)7.0
  • 19V. Zagaritis6.9
  • 3M. Willemsen7.5
  • 6J. van Overeem7.5
  • 45O. BraudeA7.7
  • 8L. Brouwers6.6
  • 16M. Linday7.0
  • 7M. Rivera↓68’6.3
  • 10R. Meerveld↓86’6.9
  • 20J. Trenskow7.2
  • 9D. Vente6.2

Substitutes used

  • 50Eser Gürbüz↑86’
  • 11L. Oyen↑68’6.5

Unused: A. Noppert, N. Bakker, Ingmar Mulder, M. Egbring, N. Hopland, H. Petrov, I. Ahmed, N. Courtens, A. van Axel Dongen

Utrecht 4-3-3

17.0 V. Barkas(G)
556.5 D. Murkin 36.9 M. van der Hoorn 407.2 M. Didden 236.3 N. Vesterlund
86.6 C. Bozdoğan ↓64’ 277.0 A. Engwanda 217.0 G. Zechiël ↓85’
117.9★ K. Karlsson ↓64’ 206.7 D. de Wit 776.6 Ángel Alarcón A↓72’
  • 1V. Barkas (G)7.0
  • 55D. Murkin6.5
  • 3M. van der Hoorn6.9
  • 40M. Didden7.2
  • 23N. Vesterlund6.3
  • 8C. Bozdoğan↓64’6.6
  • 27A. Engwanda7.0
  • 21G. Zechiël↓85’7.0
  • 11K. Karlsson ★↓64’7.9
  • 20D. de Wit6.7
  • 77Ángel AlarcónA↓72’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 38O. Agougil↑64’6.3
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez↑72’6.9
  • 10Y. Cathline↑64’6.7
  • 18A. Stepanov↑85’6.5

Unused: M. Brouwer, K. Gadellaa, N. Viergever, Viggo Plantinga, D. van den Berg, A. Blake

Player stats

Top rated
K. KarlssonUtrecht7.9
2nd
O. BraudeHeerenveen7.7
3rd
M. WillemsenHeerenveen7.5

Heerenveen

Utrecht

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.