UEFA Europa League Matchday 7 Thu, Jan 22 2026 · 17:45 Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.89 – 1.45
  • 25’ J. Sancho
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sancho goal decides it for Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Sancho goal. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (1.45 vs 0.89). On the chances created, Fenerbahce deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fenerbahce30%
Draw26%
Aston Villa ✓44%

Model vs reality

Fenerbahce goals
0
Model 1.30 · xG 0.89
Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.61 · xG 1.45
Total goals
1
Model 2.91 · xG 2.34
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. ŠkriniarFenerbahce
8.9
  • RefereeLuís Godinho
  • VenueÜlker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
  • Table before kick-offFenerbahce 13th · Aston Villa 3rd

Timeline

  1. J. Sancho 0–1
    25’
  2. D. NeneYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    44’
  3. J. OosterwoldeYellow card · Tripping
    45’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. L. DigneYellow card · Tripping
    53’
  6. ⇄ Y. DemirFor Nélson Semedo
    56’
  7. ⇄ TaliscaFor D. Nene
    56’
  8. VAR İ. YüksekGoal Disallowed - offside
    65’
  9. ⇄ E. ÁlvarezFor İ. Yüksek
    73’
  10. ⇄ A. OnanaFor E. Buendía
    75’
  11. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor M. Cash
    75’
  12. ⇄ E. GuessandFor M. Rogers
    75’
  13. ⇄ Andrés GarcíaFor J. Sancho
    75’
  14. VAR M. AktürkoğluGoal Disallowed - offside
    75’
  15. V. LindelöfYellow card · Tripping
    78’
  16. M. MüldürYellow card · Holding
    79’
  17. M. ŠkriniarYellow card
    89’
  18. Y. TielemansYellow card · Delay of game
    90’
  19. ⇄ George HemmingsFor Y. Tielemans
    90+2’
  20. L. BogardeYellow card · Tripping
    90+5’
  21. E. GuessandYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+8’
  22. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Fenerbahce13 shots · 2 in box, 11 outside
Aston Villa12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
FenerbahceAston Villa
63% Possession 37%
0.89 Expected goals (xG) 1.45
0.96 Expected points (xPts) 1.77
13 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Shots inside the box 9
11 Shots outside the box 3
489 Passes 277
88% Pass accuracy 79%
5 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Fouls 12
7 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
7.04 Team rating 7.02

Line-ups

Fenerbahce 4-2-3-1

316.3 Ederson(G)
276.7 Nélson Semedo ↓56’ 246.3 J. Oosterwolde 378.9★ M. Škriniar 186.7 M. Müldür
58.9 İ. Yüksek ↓73’ 77.7 Fred
96.2 M. Aktürkoğlu 217.3 Marco Asensio 456.9 D. Nene ↓56’
106.2 J. Durán
  • 31Ederson (G)6.3
  • 27Nélson Semedo↓56’6.7
  • 24J. Oosterwolde6.3
  • 37M. Škriniar ★8.9
  • 18M. Müldür6.7
  • 5İ. Yüksek↓73’8.9
  • 7Fred7.7
  • 9M. Aktürkoğlu6.2
  • 21Marco Asensio7.3
  • 45D. Nene↓56’6.9
  • 10J. Durán6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14Y. Demir↑56’6.5
  • 94Talisca↑56’6.7
  • 11E. Álvarez↑73’6.3

Unused: T. Çetin, E. Biterge, Ç. Söyüncü, O. Aydın, Haydar Karataş

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

408.2 M. Bizot(G)
126.7 L. Digne 57.3 T. Mings 37.0 V. Lindelöf 26.9 M. Cash ↓75’
86.6 Y. Tielemans ↓90’ 267.3 L. Bogarde
106.9 E. Buendía ↓75’ 276.6 M. Rogers ↓75’ 197.3 J. Sancho ↓75’
116.7 O. Watkins
  • 40M. Bizot (G)8.2
  • 12L. Digne6.7
  • 5T. Mings7.3
  • 3V. Lindelöf7.0
  • 2M. Cash↓75’6.9
  • 8Y. Tielemans↓90’6.6
  • 26L. Bogarde7.3
  • 10E. Buendía↓75’6.9
  • 27M. Rogers↓75’6.6
  • 19J. Sancho↓75’7.3
  • 11O. Watkins6.7

Substitutes used

  • 16Andrés García↑75’6.9
  • 22I. Maatsen↑75’6.3
  • 24A. Onana↑75’6.6
  • 29E. Guessand↑75’6.5
  • 53George Hemmings↑90’

Unused: S. Proctor, J. Wright, E. Konsa, Pau Torres, J. Jimoh-Aloba, K. Young

Player stats

Top rated
M. ŠkriniarFenerbahce8.9
2nd
İ. YüksekFenerbahce8.9
3rd
M. BizotAston Villa8.2

Fenerbahce

Aston Villa

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.