Ferencvarosi TC
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Ferencvarosi TC were slight favourites.
Ferencvarosi TC were the stronger side on L90 Strength (46 vs 37). Rangers usually keep the ball (58% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Ferencvarosi TC had 14 days of rest, Rangers 13.9 and had to travel 1,843 km.
Away travel1,843 kmRest days14 · 13.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
Ferencvarosi TC49%
Draw25%
Rangers26%
Ferencvarosi TC49%
Draw26%
Rangers25%
Ferencvarosi TC49%
Draw26%
Rangers26%
Ferencvarosi TC41%
Draw26%
Rangers32%
Ferencvarosi TC50%
Draw26%
Rangers25%
Over 2.5 54%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Budapest)
No weather data yet
Referee · GreeceAnastasios Papapetrou
- Cards per match 4.5
- Penalties per match 0.35
- Matches 46
Team strength
Ferencvarosi TC
Rangers
46
L90 StrengthIn forecast
37
57
Current StrengthIn forecast
40
61
AttackIn forecast
38
56
DefenceIn forecast
34
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRangers
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Ferencvarosi TCRangers
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.40
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.80
1.47
xGVia Att/Def
1.32
0.96
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.18
+0.33
Goals minus xGContext
-0.92
100%
Scored inContext
40%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
11.00
ShotsContext
11.40
4.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.20
40%
On target shareContext
37%
8.00
Shots in the boxContext
8.60
72%
Box shareContext
75%
16%
ConversionContext
4%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.67
13.60
Shots allowedContext
13.80
3.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.00
4.00
BlocksContext
4.60
2.60
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.40
72%
Save rateContext
68%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
49%
369
PassesContext
397
295
Accurate passesContext
330
80%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.92
Team ratingContext
6.72
15.60
FoulsContext
13.20
10.00
Fouls sufferedContext
15.80
3.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.20
2.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.47
xGVia Att/Def
1.06
0.96
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.92
+0.53
Goals minus xGContext
+0.44
90%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
13.10
ShotsContext
12.60
4.60
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.80
35%
On target shareContext
38%
9.40
Shots in the boxContext
8.20
71%
Box shareContext
64%
15%
ConversionContext
12%
2.43
OffsidesContext
2.29
12.00
Shots allowedContext
10.00
3.89
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.80
3.50
BlocksContext
2.80
2.75
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.80
67%
Save rateContext
74%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
58%
368
PassesContext
461
295
Accurate passesContext
391
80%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.95
Team ratingContext
6.93
16.30
FoulsContext
11.50
11.20
Fouls sufferedContext
14.00
2.80
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Ferencvarosi TC
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km2,135 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Rangers
Rest13.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,843 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Ferencvarosi TC |
Rangers |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 27 Nov | 13.9UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 27 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,843 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 2,135 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 0 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 42.1 | 42.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Ferencvarosi TC
Confirmed XI
99D. Gróf(G)
22G. Szalai
28T. Raemaekers
27I. Cissé
47C. O'Dowda
36G. Kanichowsky
23B. Ötvös
64A. Tóth
25Č. Makreckis
11B. Yusuf
19B. Varga
Rangers
Confirmed XI
1J. Butland(G)
30J. Meghoma
37E. Fernandez
24Y. Djiga
2J. Tavernier
23D. Gassama
8C. Barron
43N. Raskin
3M. Aarons
28B. Miovski
99Danilo
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Ferencvarosi TC
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Rangers
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Ferencvarosi TC+0.6 pp
- Draw-0.3 pp
- Rangers-0.3 pp
Home / Away this season
Ferencvarosi TC · Home
2.00points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Rangers · Away
0.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-2
- Scored
- 0.50
- Conceded
- 2.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Ferencvarosi TC | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Genk | W 1–0 A | L 0–1 H |
| Points | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Ferencvarosi TC | Rangers | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 0.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.80 | |
| Match goals | 2.80 | 2.20 | 2.86 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 60% | |
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Ferencvarosi TC | Rangers | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 0.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.80 | |
| Match goals | 2.80 | 2.20 | 2.86 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 60% | |
| Games | 5 | 5 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Ferencvarosi TC | Rangers | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.60 | 4.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.80 | 3.20 | |
| Match total | 8.40 | 7.80 | 9.04 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 2/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 2/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 2/5 | 0% 0/5 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.20 | 1.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 5.20 | 3.60 | 4.29 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 3/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 3/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Ferencvarosi TC | Rangers | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.10 | 4.80 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.50 | 4.30 | |
| Match total | 7.60 | 9.10 | 9.04 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.90 | 1.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 5.20 | 3.90 | 4.29 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Anastasios Papapetrou Greece · 46 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.28league 4.11
Red cards0.17league 0.19
Cards 5+46%league 43%
Fouls26.3league 24.6
Penalties0.35league 0.38
Home wins39%league 51%
Ferencvarosi TCNo previous matches with this referee.
RangersNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Ferencvarosi TC5 games · scored 9 · conceded 5
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
1
76-90
Rangers5 games · scored 2 · conceded 9
2
0-15
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Ferencvarosi TC10 games · scored 20 · conceded 13
3
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
2
76-90
Rangers10 games · scored 15 · conceded 10
5
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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