Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag – 30 Aug 2026

Eredivisie Gameweek 4 Sun, Aug 30 · 13:30 Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam

Feyenoord 3rd · 7 pts · 3 played WDW

2–2Full time

ADO Den Haag 17th · 0 pts · 3 played LLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Feyenoord were clear favourites.

Feyenoord were the stronger side on L90 Strength (52 vs 13). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Feyenoord. Feyenoord had 6.9 days of rest, ADO Den Haag 7.1 and had to travel.

Rest days6.9 · 7.1Matches / 14d2 · 1

Feyenoord81%

Draw12%

ADO Den Haag7%

Expected goals 3.03 – 0.82

Feyenoord73%

Draw17%

ADO Den Haag10%

Expected goals 2.34 – 0.76

Feyenoord82%

Draw12%

ADO Den Haag7%

Expected goals 3.04 – 0.80

Feyenoord75%

Draw15%

ADO Den Haag10%

Expected goals 2.70 – 0.91

Feyenoord81%

Draw12%

ADO Den Haag7%

Expected goals 2.98 – 0.81

Over 2.5 74% Both score 53% Likeliest score 3–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Rotterdam)

No weather data yet

Referee · NetherlandsRobin Hensgens

Cards per match 3.1
Penalties per match 0.06
Matches 31

Team strength

Feyenoord

ADO Den Haag

52 L90 StrengthIn forecast 13

59 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

76 AttackIn forecast 15

61 DefenceIn forecast 18

63 Form indexContext 15

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Feyenoord

Attack—

Defense risk—

ADO Den Haag

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Feyenoord

ADO Den Haag

2.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.67

1.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.00

3.00 xGVia Att/Def 0.98

1.20 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.29

-0.33 Goals minus xGContext -0.31

100% Scored inContext 67%

33% Clean sheetsContext 0%

21.00 ShotsContext 12.00

6.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.67

30% On target shareContext 22%

15.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.33

71% Box shareContext 55%

13% ConversionContext 6%

1.67 OffsidesContext 1.00

11.67 Shots allowedContext 13.33

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.67

2.33 BlocksContext 2.67

2.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.67

70% Save rateContext 61%

56% PossessionIn forecast 52%

492 PassesContext 464

426 Accurate passesContext 379

87% Pass accuracyContext 82%

7.19 Team ratingContext 6.64

8.00 FoulsContext 12.67

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00

0.67 Yellow cardsContext 1.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 3 and 3 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.40

0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.40

2.31 xGVia Att/Def 0.98

1.14 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.29

-0.51 Goals minus xGContext -0.58

90% Scored inContext 40%

30% Clean sheetsContext 0%

16.90 ShotsContext 12.80

5.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.60

34% On target shareContext 20%

12.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

71% Box shareContext 56%

11% ConversionContext 3%

1.43 OffsidesContext 1.00

10.40 Shots allowedContext 11.20

3.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60

2.40 BlocksContext 3.00

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.20

71% Save rateContext 57%

51% PossessionIn forecast 56%

422 PassesContext 456

348 Accurate passesContext 370

83% Pass accuracyContext 81%

7.01 Team ratingContext 6.73

9.60 FoulsContext 14.20

12.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.20

1.10 Yellow cardsContext 1.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 5 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Feyenoord WDW

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km337 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 63 · 7 pts vs 5.5 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected

W23 AugA · Cambuur5–22.0 xPts
D16 AugH · GO Ahead Eagles2–22.2 xPts
W9 AugA · Sparta Rotterdam1–01.9 xPts

ADO Den Haag LLL

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel—0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 15 · 0 pts vs 4.9 for an average club · -2.6 vs expected

L23 AugA · GO Ahead Eagles1–30.7 xPts
L16 AugH · Groningen1–41.3 xPts
L8 AugA · AZ Alkmaar0–20.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Feyenoord	ADO Den Haag
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 23 Aug	7.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 23 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	337 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	6.1	7.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Feyenoord Confirmed XI

4-3-3

1T. Ernst(G)

16Javi López 35Mika Màrmol 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read

10L. Valente 28O. Targhalline 8G. Zechiël

27G. Diarra 9A. Ueda 23A. Hadj Moussa

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

ADO Den Haag Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1K. Nikiéma(G)

18S. Sylla 15M. Hokke 3P. Mulder 2O. Raterink

14M. Jiménez 25J. Kilo

27N. Thomas 11E. Rottier 7D. van Mieghem

46Y. Eduardo

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Feyenoord Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

ADO Den Haag Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Feyenoord-0.4 pp
Draw+0.2 pp
ADO Den Haag+0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Feyenoord · Home 1.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 2.00

ADO Den Haag · Away 0.00points per game · 2 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-2
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 2.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Feyenoord	ADO Den Haag
GO Ahead Eagles	D 2–2 H	L 1–3 A
Points	1 of 3 · 1.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Feyenoord	ADO Den Haag	Forecast
Scored per game	2.67	0.67
Conceded per game	1.33	3.00
Match goals	4.00	3.67	3.85
Over 1.5	67%	100%
Over 2.5	67%	67%	74%
Over 3.5	67%	67%
Both teams scored	67%	67%	53%
Clean sheets	33%	0%
Failed to score	0%	33%
Games	3	3

	Feyenoord	ADO Den Haag	Forecast
Scored per game	1.80	0.67
Conceded per game	0.90	3.00
Match goals	2.70	3.67	3.85
Over 1.5	80%	100%
Over 2.5	40%	67%	74%
Over 3.5	30%	67%
Both teams scored	70%	67%	53%
Clean sheets	30%	0%
Failed to score	10%	33%
Games	10	3

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Feyenoord	ADO Den Haag	League
Corners
Corners won	6.33	5.00
Corners conceded	4.67	5.33
Match total	11.00	10.33	10.74
Over 8.5	67% 2/3	33% 1/3
Over 9.5	67% 2/3	33% 1/3
Over 10.5	67% 2/3	33% 1/3
Cards
Cards	0.67	1.00
Opponent cards	1.00	0.67
Match total	1.67	1.67	2.33
Over 3.5	33% 1/3	0% 0/3
Over 4.5	0% 0/3	0% 0/3

	Feyenoord	ADO Den Haag	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	4.60
Corners conceded	3.20	4.60
Match total	9.20	9.20	10.74
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	20% 1/5
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	20% 1/5
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	20% 1/5
Cards
Cards	1.10	1.20
Opponent cards	1.80	1.40
Match total	2.90	2.60	2.33
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	20% 1/5
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	20% 1/5

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Robin Hensgens Netherlands · 31 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards2.94league 2.38

Red cards0.19league 0.07

Cards 5+19%league 14%

Fouls22.2league 20.9

Penalties0.06league 0.24

Home wins42%league 34%

Feyenoord1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

W13 Sep 25H · Heerenveen1–03

ADO Den Haag

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.