Feyenoord
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Feyenoord were clear favourites.
Feyenoord were the stronger side on L90 Strength (51 vs 25). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Feyenoord. Feyenoord had 7.1 days of rest, GO Ahead Eagles 7.8 and had to travel 121 km.
Away travel121 kmRest days7.1 · 7.8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Feyenoord69%
Draw18%
GO Ahead Eagles14%
Feyenoord61%
Draw22%
GO Ahead Eagles17%
Feyenoord69%
Draw18%
GO Ahead Eagles14%
Feyenoord61%
Draw20%
GO Ahead Eagles19%
Feyenoord68%
Draw18%
GO Ahead Eagles14%
Over 2.5 66%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Rotterdam)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsJoey Kooij
- Cards per match 3.4
- Penalties per match 0.24
- Matches 63
Team strength
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
51
L90 StrengthIn forecast
25
59
Current StrengthIn forecast
24
76
AttackIn forecast
29
61
DefenceIn forecast
17
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGO Ahead Eagles
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
FeyenoordGO Ahead Eagles
—
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
1.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
2.26
xGVia Att/Def
1.43
1.06
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.02
-0.66
Goals minus xGContext
+0.57
90%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
15.70
ShotsContext
12.20
5.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.40
37%
On target shareContext
44%
11.50
Shots in the boxContext
9.11
73%
Box shareContext
68%
10%
ConversionContext
16%
1.86
OffsidesContext
2.14
10.20
Shots allowedContext
20.80
2.78
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.30
2.80
BlocksContext
6.90
1.70
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.33
68%
Save rateContext
75%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
401
PassesContext
394
326
Accurate passesContext
316
81%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.99
Team ratingContext
6.96
9.70
FoulsContext
7.70
12.60
Fouls sufferedContext
9.50
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
1.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Feyenoord
W
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 61 · 3 pts vs 1.8 for an average club · +1.1 vs expected
- W9 AugA · Sparta Rotterdam1–01.9 xPts
GO Ahead Eagles
W
Rest7.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel121 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 56 · 3 pts vs 2.3 for an average club · +1.1 vs expected
- W8 AugH · Willem II4–11.9 xPts
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Feyenoord |
GO Ahead Eagles |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 9 Aug | 7.8Eredivisie 2026-2027, 8 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 121 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 0 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.1 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Feyenoord
Confirmed XI
1T. Ernst(G)
35Mika Màrmol
6J. St. Juste
4T. Watanabe
26G. Read
10L. Valente
34C. Vanhoutte
8G. Zechiël
27G. Diarra
9A. Ueda
23A. Hadj Moussa
GO Ahead Eagles
Confirmed XI
1C. Haug(G)
5D. James
4J. Kramer
25G. van Zwam
2A. Sampsted
34Y. Rahmouni
8H. Linthorst
17M. Suray
16V. Edvardsen
10S. Tengstedt
29E. Flataker
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Feyenoord
Absences are shown before kick-off
GO Ahead Eagles
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Feyenoord+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- GO Ahead Eagles+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Feyenoord · Home
No home games yet this season.
GO Ahead Eagles · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
4 Feyenoord wins0 draws1 GO Ahead Eagles wins
Goals per game2.60 – 1.20
Over 2.580%
Both scored80%
Clean sheets20% · 0%
- 15 Feb 2026Feyenoord1–0GO Ahead Eagles
- 9 Nov 2025GO Ahead Eagles2–1Feyenoord
- 30 Mar 2025Feyenoord3–2GO Ahead Eagles
- 19 Oct 2024GO Ahead Eagles1–5Feyenoord
- 30 Sep 2023Feyenoord3–1GO Ahead Eagles
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Feyenoord | GO Ahead Eagles | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 4.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.00 | 5.00 | 3.39 |
| Over 1.5 | 0% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 100% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 100% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Feyenoord | GO Ahead Eagles | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.60 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.50 | 3.50 | 3.39 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 70% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Feyenoord | GO Ahead Eagles | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 10.00 | 6.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 15.00 | 8.00 | 10.93 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.00 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Feyenoord | GO Ahead Eagles | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.90 | 5.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.20 | 6.50 | |
| Match total | 10.10 | 11.70 | 10.93 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 0.70 | |
| Match total | 3.80 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Joey Kooij Netherlands · 63 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.24league 2.40
Red cards0.14league 0.07
Cards 5+27%league 13%
Fouls22.1league 21.9
Penalties0.24league 0.00
Home wins46%league 33%
Feyenoord3 with this referee
Record1-0-2
Cards · opp.1.3 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
- W3 May 26A · Fortuna Sittard2–13
- L1 Mar 26A · Twente0–20
- L9 Nov 25A · GO Ahead Eagles1–21
GO Ahead Eagles8 with this referee
Record3-3-2
Cards · opp.2.1 · 1.1
Pens for · against1 · 1
Reds2
- D11 Apr 26A · Groningen0–00
- L14 Dec 25A · Twente0–23
- W9 Nov 25H · Feyenoord2–12
- D11 May 25A · PEC Zwolle1–12
- D12 Apr 25A · NAC Breda1–13
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Feyenoord1 games · scored 1 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
GO Ahead Eagles1 games · scored 4 · conceded 1
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
3
61-75
76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 16 · conceded 9
1
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
1
61-75
5
2
76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 20 · conceded 15
4
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
