Serie A Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 26 2025 · 17:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Fiorentina
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.98 – 0.55
Bologna
  • A. Guðmundsson 73’ (P)
  • M. Kean 90+3’ (P)
  • 25’ S. Castro
  • 52’ N. Cambiaghi
  • 83’ E. Holm
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Fiorentina fight back from two goals down

Fiorentina entered as narrow favourites, yet Bologna led 2–0 after 52 minutes through goals from Castro and Cambiaghi. But Guðmundsson and Kean scored to rescue a draw for Fiorentina. Bologna played with ten men from the 83rd minute after Holm was sent off. Fiorentina finished with the higher xG (2.98 vs 0.55). On the chances created, Fiorentina deserved more: 2.7 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Fiorentina40%
Draw ✓28%
Bologna32%

Model vs reality

Fiorentina goals
2
Model 1.35 · xG 2.98
Bologna goals
2
Model 1.17 · xG 0.55
Total goals
4
Model 2.52 · xG 3.53
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. CastroBologna · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeFederico La Penna
  • VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
  • Table before kick-offFiorentina 19th · Bologna 5th

Timeline

  1. S. Castro 0–1
    25’
  2. R. GosensYellow card · Elbowing
    36’
  3. R. FreulerYellow card · Holding
    39’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. N. Cambiaghi 0–2Assist E. Holm
    52’
  6. ⇄ N. FortiniFor R. Gosens
    54’
  7. ⇄ C. NdourFor R. Mandragora
    54’
  8. ⇄ E. DžekoFor N. Fagioli
    54’
  9. A. GuðmundssonYellow card · Foul
    58’
  10. ⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro
    65’
  11. ⇄ J. RoweFor N. Cambiaghi
    65’
  12. ⇄ A. SabiriFor H. Nicolussi
    65’
  13. VAR T. DallingaGoal Disallowed - offside
    66’
  14. E. HolmYellow card · Roughing
    71’
  15. A. Guðmundsson (pen) 1–2
    73’
  16. ⇄ F. BernardeschiFor R. Orsolini
    77’
  17. ⇄ T. PobegaFor G. Fabbian
    77’
  18. E. HolmSecond yellow · Tripping
    83’
  19. ⇄ R. PiccoliFor L. Ranieri
    85’
  20. ⇄ N. CasaleFor J. Rowe
    86’
  21. J. RoweYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    88’
  22. M. Kean (pen) 2–2
    90+3’
  23. E. DžekoYellow card · Roughing
    90+6’
  24. J. LucumíYellow card · Roughing
    90+6’
  25. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Fiorentina17 shots · 13 in box, 4 outside
Bologna6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
FiorentinaBologna
50% Possession 50%
2.98 Expected goals (xG) 0.55
2.67 Expected points (xPts) 0.23
17 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
13 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 2
325 Passes 328
78% Pass accuracy 77%
5 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 19
5 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
6.56 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

Fiorentina 3-5-2

436.2 David de Gea(G)
66.7 L. Ranieri ↓85’ 186.6 Pablo Marí 56.2 M. Pongračić
215.9 R. Gosens ↓54’ 446.2 N. Fagioli ↓54’ 146.9 H. Nicolussi ↓65’ 86.3 R. Mandragora ↓54’ 26.6 Dodô
106.9 A. Guðmundsson 207.2 M. Kean
  • 43David de Gea (G)6.2
  • 6L. Ranieri↓85’6.7
  • 18Pablo Marí6.6
  • 5M. Pongračić6.2
  • 21R. Gosens↓54’5.9
  • 44N. Fagioli↓54’6.2
  • 14H. Nicolussi↓65’6.9
  • 8R. Mandragora↓54’6.3
  • 2Dodô6.6
  • 10A. Guðmundsson6.9
  • 20M. Kean7.2

Substitutes used

  • 29N. Fortini↑54’6.9
  • 27C. Ndour↑54’6.6
  • 9E. Džeko↑54’6.3
  • 11A. Sabiri↑65’6.7
  • 91R. Piccoli↑85’6.7

Unused: T. Martinelli, L. Lezzerini, P. Comuzzo, E. Kouadio, M. Viti, F. Parisi, M. Richardson, S. Sohm, J. Fazzini

Bologna 4-2-3-1

16.2 Ł. Skorupski(G)
336.7 Juan Miranda 266.2 J. Lucumí 146.3 T. Heggem 27.2 E. Holm A
196.3 L. Ferguson 86.7 R. Freuler
287.5 N. Cambiaghi ↓65’ 806.2 G. Fabbian ↓77’ 76.7 R. Orsolini ↓77’
97.9★ S. Castro ↓65’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)6.2
  • 33Juan Miranda6.7
  • 26J. Lucumí6.2
  • 14T. Heggem6.3
  • 2E. HolmA7.2
  • 19L. Ferguson6.3
  • 8R. Freuler6.7
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↓65’7.5
  • 80G. Fabbian↓77’6.2
  • 7R. Orsolini↓77’6.7
  • 9S. Castro ★↓65’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 16N. Casale↑86’6.2
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↑77’6.3
  • 4T. Pobega↑77’6.2
  • 11J. Rowe6.7
  • 24T. Dallinga↑65’6.9

Unused: F. Ravaglia, M. Pessina, M. Vitík, C. Lykogiannis, L. De Silvestri, B. Domínguez, I. Sulemana, N. Zortea, N. Moro

Player stats

Top rated
S. CastroBologna7.9
2nd
N. CambiaghiBologna7.5
3rd
M. KeanFiorentina7.2

Fiorentina

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David de Gea G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 35% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Ranieri D 85 0 0 1 (0) 1 94% 32 1 0 0/0 1/3 6.7
Pablo Marí D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 39 1 2 0/0 1/3 6.6
M. Pongračić D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 93% 43 1 3 0/0 1/0 6.2
R. Gosens D 54 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 18 0 0 0/0 1/0 5.9
N. Fagioli M 54 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 21 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.2
H. Nicolussi M 65 0 0 0 (0) 2 71% 21 2 0 0/1 1/2 6.9
R. Mandragora M 54 0 0 2 (1) 2 80% 15 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Dodô D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 68% 31 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Guðmundsson F 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 92% 26 0 0 0/2 2/0 6.9
M. Kean F 90 1 0 4 (4) 0 88% 8 0 0 1/3 1/3 7.2
N. Fortini D 36 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 1 0 0/0 1/3 6.9
C. Ndour M 36 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 10 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.6
E. Džeko F 36 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 11 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Sabiri M 25 0 0 1 (0) 2 67% 18 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
R. Piccoli F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Bologna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Ł. Skorupski G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 58% 45 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Juan Miranda D 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 65% 40 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Lucumí D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 36 0 4 0/0 1/0 6.2
T. Heggem D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 29 3 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
E. Holm D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 77% 31 2 1 0/0 2/2 7.2
L. Ferguson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 41 1 1 0/1 3/3 6.3
R. Freuler M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 32 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
N. Cambiaghi F 65 1 0 2 (1) 0 83% 12 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.5
G. Fabbian M 77 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 20 1 0 0/1 1/2 6.2
R. Orsolini F 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 21 0 0 1/2 2/1 6.7
S. Castro F 65 1 0 1 (1) 1 89% 9 2 0 1/1 4/2 7.9
N. Casale D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
F. Bernardeschi F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
T. Pobega M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
J. Rowe F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 1/3 0/1 6.7
T. Dallinga F 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.