Serie A Gameweek 22 Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.36 – 0.93
  • M. Brescianini 74’
  • 31’ S. Kılıçsoy
  • 47’ M. Palestra
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cagliari beat Fiorentina

Fiorentina entered as favourites, but Cagliari won 2–1 through goals from Kılıçsoy and Palestra. Fiorentina replied through a Brescianini goal. Cagliari won despite the lower xG; Fiorentina created the better chances (2.36 vs 0.93). On the chances created, Fiorentina deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fiorentina53%
Draw26%
Cagliari ✓21%

Model vs reality

Fiorentina goals
1
Model 1.63 · xG 2.36
Cagliari goals
2
Model 0.93 · xG 0.93
Total goals
3
Model 2.56 · xG 3.29
Score 1–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. PalestraCagliari · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeMarco Guida
  • Coaches— · Fabio Pisacane
  • VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
  • Table before kick-offFiorentina 17th · Cagliari 15th

Timeline

  1. S. Kılıçsoy 0–1Assist M. Palestra
    31’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ G. FabbianFor R. Mandragora
    46’
  4. M. Palestra 0–2Assist S. Esposito
    47’
  5. M. PongračićYellow card · Holding
    56’
  6. ⇄ M. BrescianiniFor C. Ndour
    59’
  7. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor R. Gosens
    59’
  8. E. CaprileYellow card · Delay of game
    63’
  9. ⇄ I. SulemanaFor S. Esposito
    64’
  10. ⇄ G. BorrelliFor S. Kılıçsoy
    71’
  11. M. Brescianini 1–2Assist Dodô
    74’
  12. ⇄ Riyad IdrissiFor A. Obert
    80’
  13. ⇄ M. PratiFor L. Mazzitelli
    80’
  14. ⇄ G. ZappaFor M. Palestra
    81’
  15. ⇄ N. FortiniFor M. Solomon
    83’
  16. Y. MinaYellow card · Delay of game
    85’
  17. Zé PedroYellow card · Tripping
    87’
  18. P. ComuzzoYellow card · Holding
    90+1’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Fiorentina15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Cagliari9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
FiorentinaCagliari
70% Possession 30%
2.36 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
2.25 Expected points (xPts) 0.57
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 3
608 Passes 267
89% Pass accuracy 75%
8 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.99

Line-ups

Fiorentina 4-3-3

436.2 David de Gea(G)
216.3 R. Gosens ↓59’ 56.7 M. Pongračić 156.3 P. Comuzzo 27.9 Dodô A
276.7 C. Ndour ↓59’ 447.3 N. Fagioli 87.2 R. Mandragora ↓46’
107.2 A. Guðmundsson 916.5 R. Piccoli 198.0 M. Solomon ↓83’
  • 43David de Gea (G)6.2
  • 21R. Gosens↓59’6.3
  • 5M. Pongračić6.7
  • 15P. Comuzzo6.3
  • 2DodôA7.9
  • 27C. Ndour↓59’6.7
  • 44N. Fagioli7.3
  • 8R. Mandragora↓46’7.2
  • 10A. Guðmundsson7.2
  • 91R. Piccoli6.5
  • 19M. Solomon↓83’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 17J. Harrison↑59’6.2
  • 29N. Fortini↑83’6.3
  • 4M. Brescianini↑59’7.2
  • 80G. Fabbian↑46’6.5

Unused: O. Christensen, L. Lezzerini, Luís Balbo, E. Košpo, E. Kouadio, L. Ranieri, H. Nicolussi, Riccardo Braschi, J. Fazzini

Cagliari 3-5-2

17.3 E. Caprile(G)
66.7 S. Luperto 266.9 Y. Mina 326.5 Zé Pedro
336.9 A. Obert ↓80’ 46.5 L. Mazzitelli ↓80’ 106.7 G. Gaetano 87.3 M. Adopo 28.3★ M. Palestra A↓81’
946.6 S. Esposito A↓64’ 97.9 S. Kılıçsoy ↓71’
  • 1E. Caprile (G)7.3
  • 6S. Luperto6.7
  • 26Y. Mina6.9
  • 32Zé Pedro6.5
  • 33A. Obert↓80’6.9
  • 4L. Mazzitelli↓80’6.5
  • 10G. Gaetano6.7
  • 8M. Adopo7.3
  • 2M. Palestra ★A↓81’8.3
  • 94S. EspositoA↓64’6.6
  • 9S. Kılıçsoy↓71’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 28G. Zappa↑81’6.7
  • 3Riyad Idrissi↑80’6.3
  • 25I. Sulemana↑64’6.2
  • 16M. Prati↑80’6.3
  • 29G. Borrelli↑71’6.2

Unused: G. Ciocci, A. Sherri, J. Rodríguez, A. Dossena, N. Cavuoti, Zito Luvumbo, L. Pavoletti, Yael Trepy

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Player stats

Top rated
M. PalestraCagliari8.3
2nd
M. SolomonFiorentina8.0
3rd
DodôFiorentina7.9

Fiorentina

Cagliari

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.