Serie A Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 14:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.06 – 0.73
  • M. Kean 90+2’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kean’s late goal settles it for Fiorentina

Fiorentina entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Kean goal. Fiorentina finished with the higher xG (2.06 vs 0.73).

Fiorentina ✓54%
Draw26%
Cremonese20%

Model vs reality

Fiorentina goals
1
Model 1.65 · xG 2.06
Cremonese goals
0
Model 0.92 · xG 0.73
Total goals
1
Model 2.56 · xG 2.79
Score 1–0
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. FagioliFiorentina
8.7
  • RefereeFederico La Penna
  • Coaches— · D. Nicola
  • VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
  • Table before kick-offFiorentina 20th · Cremonese 12th

Timeline

  1. W. BondoYellow card · Roughing
    20’
  2. ⇄ A. GrassiFor W. Bondo
    29’
  3. M. PayeroYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    42’
  4. DodôYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    42’
  5. Half time · 0–0
  6. ⇄ F. VázquezFor J. Vandeputte
    59’
  7. ⇄ M. SolomonFor F. Parisi
    66’
  8. ⇄ R. GosensFor L. Ranieri
    66’
  9. ⇄ A. ZerbinFor M. Payero
    76’
  10. ⇄ F. MoumbagnaFor J. Vardy
    76’
  11. ⇄ A. SanabriaFor F. Bonazzoli
    76’
  12. ⇄ N. FortiniFor C. Ndour
    76’
  13. ⇄ M. KeanFor A. Guðmundsson
    85’
  14. ⇄ H. NicolussiFor R. Mandragora
    85’
  15. M. Kean 1–0
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Fiorentina22 shots · 13 in box, 9 outside
Cremonese6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
FiorentinaCremonese
65% Possession 35%
2.06 Expected goals (xG) 0.73
2.25 Expected points (xPts) 0.56
22 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 3
10 Blocked shots 1
13 Shots inside the box 3
9 Shots outside the box 3
513 Passes 282
86% Pass accuracy 71%
7 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

Fiorentina 4-2-3-1

436.7 David de Gea(G)
66.9 L. Ranieri ↓66’ 56.9 M. Pongračić 156.7 P. Comuzzo 27.3 Dodô
276.2 C. Ndour ↓76’ 87.7 R. Mandragora ↓85’
106.2 A. Guðmundsson ↓85’ 448.7★ N. Fagioli 656.9 F. Parisi ↓66’
916.3 R. Piccoli
  • 43David de Gea (G)6.7
  • 6L. Ranieri↓66’6.9
  • 5M. Pongračić6.9
  • 15P. Comuzzo6.7
  • 2Dodô7.3
  • 27C. Ndour↓76’6.2
  • 8R. Mandragora↓85’7.7
  • 10A. Guðmundsson↓85’6.2
  • 44N. Fagioli ★8.7
  • 65F. Parisi↓66’6.9
  • 91R. Piccoli6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19M. Solomon↑66’6.6
  • 21R. Gosens↑66’6.6
  • 29N. Fortini↑76’6.6
  • 14H. Nicolussi↑85’
  • 20M. Kean↑85’7.0

Unused: L. Lezzerini, T. Martinelli, M. Viti, E. Košpo, Pablo Marí, E. Kouadio, S. Sohm, C. Kouamé

Cremonese 3-5-2

17.2 E. Audero(G)
556.2 F. Folino 66.9 F. Baschirotto 247.0 F. Terracciano
36.5 G. Pezzella 276.7 J. Vandeputte ↓59’ 386.2 W. Bondo ↓29’ 326.7 M. Payero ↓76’ 46.6 T. Barbieri
106.3 J. Vardy ↓76’ 906.3 F. Bonazzoli ↓76’
  • 1E. Audero (G)7.2
  • 55F. Folino6.2
  • 6F. Baschirotto6.9
  • 24F. Terracciano7.0
  • 3G. Pezzella6.5
  • 27J. Vandeputte↓59’6.7
  • 38W. Bondo↓29’6.2
  • 32M. Payero↓76’6.7
  • 4T. Barbieri6.6
  • 10J. Vardy↓76’6.3
  • 90F. Bonazzoli↓76’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 33A. Grassi↑29’6.9
  • 20F. Vázquez↑59’7.2
  • 7A. Zerbin↑76’6.5
  • 14F. Moumbagna↑76’6.3
  • 99A. Sanabria↑76’6.3

Unused: M. Silvestri, L. Nava, M. Bianchetti, F. Ceccherini, M. Faye, R. Floriani Mussolini, M. Valoti, D. Lordkipanidze, D. Johnsen

Coach: D. Nicola

Player stats

Top rated
N. FagioliFiorentina8.7
2nd
R. MandragoraFiorentina7.7
3rd
DodôFiorentina7.3

Fiorentina

Cremonese

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.