Serie A Gameweek 32 Mon, Apr 13 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.41 – 1.38
  • R. Gosens 28’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Gosens goal decides it for Fiorentina

Fiorentina entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Gosens goal. Fiorentina won despite the lower xG; Lazio created the better chances (1.38 vs 0.41). On the chances created, Lazio deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fiorentina ✓40%
Draw29%
Lazio31%

Model vs reality

Fiorentina goals
1
Model 1.28 · xG 0.41
Lazio goals
0
Model 1.10 · xG 1.38
Total goals
1
Model 2.37 · xG 1.79
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 42%
Both scored
No
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDavid de GeaFiorentina
8.3
  • RefereeMichael Fabbri
  • VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
  • Table before kick-offFiorentina 16th · Lazio 9th

Timeline

  1. R. Gosens 1–0Assist J. Harrison
    28’
  2. D. RuganiYellow card · Tripping
    31’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ O. Dele-BashiruFor T. Bašić
    46’
  5. ⇄ T. NoslinFor M. Zaccagni
    46’
  6. T. NoslinYellow card · Diving
    63’
  7. ⇄ G. IsaksenFor M. Cancellieri
    67’
  8. ⇄ PedroFor B. Dia
    67’
  9. ⇄ M. PongračićFor D. Rugani
    71’
  10. ⇄ P. RatkovFor K. Taylor
    79’
  11. ⇄ Luís BalboFor R. Gosens
    80’
  12. DodôYellow card · Delay of game
    83’
  13. ⇄ M. SolomonFor J. Fazzini
    84’
  14. R. PiccoliYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  15. PedroYellow card · Roughing
    90+4’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Fiorentina7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
Lazio12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
FiorentinaLazio
35% Possession 65%
0.41 Expected goals (xG) 1.38
0.60 Expected points (xPts) 2.12
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 5
348 Passes 661
83% Pass accuracy 92%
5 Corners 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

Fiorentina 4-3-3

438.3★ David de Gea(G)
217.7 R. Gosens ↓80’ 67.3 L. Ranieri 36.6 D. Rugani ↓71’ 27.2 Dodô
277.9 C. Ndour 87.3 R. Mandragora 806.2 G. Fabbian
227.7 J. Fazzini ↓84’ 916.5 R. Piccoli 177.2 J. Harrison A
  • 43David de Gea (G) ★8.3
  • 21R. Gosens↓80’7.7
  • 6L. Ranieri7.3
  • 3D. Rugani↓71’6.6
  • 2Dodô7.2
  • 27C. Ndour7.9
  • 8R. Mandragora7.3
  • 80G. Fabbian6.2
  • 22J. Fazzini↓84’7.7
  • 91R. Piccoli6.5
  • 17J. HarrisonA7.2

Substitutes used

  • 5M. Pongračić↑71’6.7
  • 62Luís Balbo↑80’6.9
  • 19M. Solomon↑84’6.3

Unused: Lapo Deli, E. Kouadio, G. Puzzoli, L. Lezzerini, P. Comuzzo, E. Košpo, O. Christensen, Riccardo Braschi, Salvatore Cianciulli

Lazio 4-3-3

406.7 E. Motta(G)
176.9 Nuno Tavares 257.3 Oliver Provstgaard 137.3 A. Romagnoli 296.2 M. Lazzari
246.5 K. Taylor ↓79’ 46.6 Patric 266.2 T. Bašić ↓46’
107.6 M. Zaccagni ↓46’ 196.3 B. Dia ↓67’ 226.3 M. Cancellieri ↓67’
  • 40E. Motta (G)6.7
  • 17Nuno Tavares6.9
  • 25Oliver Provstgaard7.3
  • 13A. Romagnoli7.3
  • 29M. Lazzari6.2
  • 24K. Taylor↓79’6.5
  • 4Patric6.6
  • 26T. Bašić↓46’6.2
  • 10M. Zaccagni↓46’7.6
  • 19B. Dia↓67’6.3
  • 22M. Cancellieri↓67’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14T. Noslin↑46’6.2
  • 7O. Dele-Bashiru↑46’6.6
  • 18G. Isaksen↑67’6.6
  • 9Pedro↑67’6.5
  • 20P. Ratkov↑79’6.5

Unused: D. Cataldi, Giacomo Giacomone, L. Pellegrini, R. Belahyane, A. Przyborek, A. Furlanetto, E. Hysaj

Player stats

Top rated
David de GeaFiorentina8.3
2nd
C. NdourFiorentina7.9
3rd
R. GosensFiorentina7.7

Fiorentina

Lazio

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.