Serie A Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 14:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.73 – 0.97
  • Unai Núñez 69’ (OG)
  • 42’, 90+3’ G. Orban
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Orban’s late goal settles it for Verona

Fiorentina entered as favourites, but Verona won 2–1 through two Orban goals. Fiorentina replied through an own goal. Verona won despite the lower xG; Fiorentina created the better chances (1.73 vs 0.97). On the chances created, Fiorentina deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fiorentina57%
Draw25%
Verona ✓18%

Model vs reality

Fiorentina goals
1
Model 1.71 · xG 1.73
Verona goals
2
Model 0.85 · xG 0.97
Total goals
3
Model 2.56 · xG 2.70
Score 1–2
5%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. OrbanVerona · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeAndrea Colombo
  • Coaches— · P. Zanetti
  • VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
  • Table before kick-offFiorentina 20th · Verona 19th

Timeline

  1. C. NiasseYellow card · Tripping
    25’
  2. M. FreseYellow card
    32’
  3. ⇄ G. OrbanFor Giovane
    35’
  4. A. GuðmundssonYellow card · Holding
    36’
  5. Al MusratiYellow card · Roughing
    39’
  6. G. Orban 0–1Assist Al Musrati
    42’
  7. Half time · 0–1
  8. ⇄ R. GagliardiniFor C. Niasse
    46’
  9. ⇄ N. FortiniFor L. Ranieri
    61’
  10. ⇄ M. RichardsonFor R. Mandragora
    62’
  11. ⇄ A. SarrFor D. Mosquera
    63’
  12. ⇄ E. DžekoFor S. Sohm
    69’
  13. Unai Núñez (own goal) 1–1
    69’
  14. ⇄ S. SerdarFor Al Musrati
    75’
  15. ⇄ N. ValentiniFor M. Frese
    75’
  16. R. BelghaliYellow card
    85’
  17. ⇄ M. VitiFor Dodô
    87’
  18. G. Orban 1–2Assist A. Bernede
    90+3’
  19. Unai NúñezYellow card · Holding
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Fiorentina20 shots · 15 in box, 5 outside
Verona13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
FiorentinaVerona
66% Possession 34%
1.73 Expected goals (xG) 0.97
1.89 Expected points (xPts) 0.87
20 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
9 Shots off target 7
7 Blocked shots 3
15 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 6
467 Passes 248
87% Pass accuracy 72%
9 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 22
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Fiorentina 3-5-2

435.9 David de Gea(G)
66.9 L. Ranieri ↓61’ 156.7 P. Comuzzo 56.9 M. Pongračić
658.2 F. Parisi 76.5 S. Sohm ↓69’ 447.5 N. Fagioli 86.7 R. Mandragora ↓62’ 26.9 Dodô ↓87’
206.0 M. Kean 106.7 A. Guðmundsson
  • 43David de Gea (G)5.9
  • 6L. Ranieri↓61’6.9
  • 15P. Comuzzo6.7
  • 5M. Pongračić6.9
  • 65F. Parisi8.2
  • 7S. Sohm↓69’6.5
  • 44N. Fagioli7.5
  • 8R. Mandragora↓62’6.7
  • 2Dodô↓87’6.9
  • 20M. Kean6.0
  • 10A. Guðmundsson6.7

Substitutes used

  • 24M. Richardson↑62’6.6
  • 29N. Fortini↑61’6.5
  • 26M. Viti↑87’6.2
  • 9E. Džeko↑69’6.3

Unused: T. Martinelli, L. Lezzerini, E. Kouadio, Pablo Marí, H. Nicolussi, C. Ndour, R. Piccoli, C. Kouamé

Verona 3-5-2

17.9 L. Montipò(G)
377.6 A. Bella-Kotchap 156.3 V. Nelsson 55.9 Unai Núñez
36.9 M. Frese ↓75’ 247.3 A. Bernede A 736.9 Al Musrati A↓75’ 366.3 C. Niasse ↓46’ 76.2 R. Belghali
256.0 D. Mosquera ↓63’ 176.5 Giovane ↓35’
  • 1L. Montipò (G)7.9
  • 37A. Bella-Kotchap7.6
  • 15V. Nelsson6.3
  • 5Unai Núñez5.9
  • 3M. Frese↓75’6.9
  • 24A. BernedeA7.3
  • 73Al MusratiA↓75’6.9
  • 36C. Niasse↓46’6.3
  • 7R. Belghali6.2
  • 25D. Mosquera↓63’6.0
  • 17Giovane↓35’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 16G. Orban ★↑35’9.2
  • 63R. Gagliardini↑46’6.5
  • 9A. Sarr↑63’6.7
  • 6N. Valentini↑75’6.9
  • 8S. Serdar↑75’6.9

Unused: G. Toniolo, S. Perilli, D. Oyegoke, T. Slotsager, E. Ebosse, Fallou Cham, Yellu Santiago, A. Harroui, G. Kastanos, J. Ajayi

Coach: P. Zanetti

Player stats

Top rated
G. OrbanVerona9.2
2nd
F. ParisiFiorentina8.2
3rd
L. MontipòVerona7.9

Fiorentina

Verona

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.