UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.73 – 1.29
  • Bruno Duarte 89’
  • 87’ Fer López
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FK Crvena Zvezda snatch a late draw

Celta Vigo entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 87 minutes through a López goal. But Duarte scored to rescue a draw for FK Crvena Zvezda. Celta Vigo finished with the higher xG (1.29 vs 0.73). On the chances created, Celta Vigo deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

FK Crvena Zvezda34%
Draw ✓26%
Celta Vigo40%

Model vs reality

FK Crvena Zvezda goals
1
Model 1.33 · xG 0.73
Celta Vigo goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 1.29
Total goals
2
Model 2.80 · xG 2.02
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRodrigãoFK Crvena Zvezda
7.7
  • RefereeAndrea Colombo
  • CoachesV. Milojević · —
  • VenueStadion Rajko Mitić
  • Table before kick-offFK Crvena Zvezda 11th · Celta Vigo 14th

Timeline

  1. VAR M. ArnautovićGoal Disallowed - Foul
    8’
  2. VAR M. ArnautovićGoal Disallowed - offside
    18’
  3. Miguel RománYellow card · Tripping
    34’
  4. R. KrunićYellow card · Tripping
    42’
  5. Half time · 0–0
  6. ⇄ V. LučićFor V. Kostov
    46’
  7. ⇄ A. AvdićFor N. Tiknizyan
    50’
  8. ⇄ N. RadonjićFor A. Katai
    61’
  9. ⇄ Ferran JutglàFor Borja Iglesias
    62’
  10. ⇄ Fer LópezFor Iago Aspas
    62’
  11. ⇄ Bryan ZaragozaFor Hugo Álvarez
    69’
  12. V. LučićYellow card · Tripping
    73’
  13. ⇄ Bruno DuarteFor M. Arnautović
    79’
  14. ⇄ MilsonFor N. Stanković
    79’
  15. ⇄ Óscar MinguezaFor Javi Rueda
    82’
  16. ⇄ M. RistićFor Yoel Lago
    82’
  17. Fer López 0–1
    87’
  18. Bruno Duarte 1–1Assist T. Elšnik
    89’
  19. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

FK Crvena Zvezda9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Celta Vigo5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
FK Crvena ZvezdaCelta Vigo
56% Possession 44%
0.73 Expected goals (xG) 1.29
0.92 Expected points (xPts) 1.79
9 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
7 Shots inside the box 4
2 Shots outside the box 1
524 Passes 412
86% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.54

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 4-2-3-1

17.3 Matheus(G)
236.7 N. Tiknizyan ↓50’ 57.7★ Rodrigão 136.5 M. Veljković 666.5 Y. Seol
217.2 T. Elšnik A 336.9 R. Krunić
106.9 A. Katai ↓61’ 226.5 V. Kostov ↓46’ 246.3 N. Stanković ↓79’
896.7 M. Arnautović ↓79’
  • 1Matheus (G)7.3
  • 23N. Tiknizyan↓50’6.7
  • 5Rodrigão ★7.7
  • 13M. Veljković6.5
  • 66Y. Seol6.5
  • 21T. ElšnikA7.2
  • 33R. Krunić6.9
  • 10A. Katai↓61’6.9
  • 22V. Kostov↓46’6.5
  • 24N. Stanković↓79’6.3
  • 89M. Arnautović↓79’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 37V. Lučić↑46’6.3
  • 71A. Avdić↑50’6.5
  • 49N. Radonjić↑61’6.7
  • 7Milson↑79’6.3
  • 17Bruno Duarte↑79’7.0

Unused: I. Guteša, O. Glazer, S. Leković, S. Gudelj, M. Bajo, L. Zaric, Tomás Händel

Coach: V. Milojević

Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1

136.2 I. Radu(G)
206.6 Marcos Alonso 296.5 Yoel Lago ↓82’ 326.6 Javi Rodríguez
56.9 Sergio Carreira 66.3 I. Moriba 166.2 Miguel Román 177.2 Javi Rueda ↓82’
236.5 Hugo Álvarez ↓69’ 106.2 Iago Aspas ↓62’
76.2 Borja Iglesias ↓62’
  • 13I. Radu (G)6.2
  • 20Marcos Alonso6.6
  • 29Yoel Lago↓82’6.5
  • 32Javi Rodríguez6.6
  • 5Sergio Carreira6.9
  • 6I. Moriba6.3
  • 16Miguel Román6.2
  • 17Javi Rueda↓82’7.2
  • 23Hugo Álvarez↓69’6.5
  • 10Iago Aspas↓62’6.2
  • 7Borja Iglesias↓62’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 30Fer López↑62’7.5
  • 9Ferran Jutglà↑62’6.7
  • 21M. Ristić↑82’
  • 3Óscar Mingueza↑82’
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza↑69’6.7

Unused: Iván Villar, Carlos Domínguez, H. Burcio, F. Cervi, Andrés Antañón, Jones El-Abdellaoui, Pablo Durán

Player stats

Top rated
RodrigãoFK Crvena Zvezda7.7
2nd
Fer LópezCelta Vigo7.5
3rd
MatheusFK Crvena Zvezda7.3

FK Crvena Zvezda

Celta Vigo

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.