UEFA Europa League Matchday 4 Thu, Nov 6 2025 · 17:45 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.70 – 1.53
  • M. Arnautović 85’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arnautović’s late goal settles it for FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda won 1–0 through a Arnautović goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.70 and 1.53. On the chances created, Lille deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FK Crvena Zvezda ✓36%
Draw26%
Lille38%

Model vs reality

FK Crvena Zvezda goals
1
Model 1.39 · xG 1.70
Lille goals
0
Model 1.45 · xG 1.53
Total goals
1
Model 2.85 · xG 3.23
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchTiago SantosLille
7.9
  • RefereeJohn Brooks
  • CoachesV. Milojević · —
  • VenueStadion Rajko Mitić
  • Table before kick-offFK Crvena Zvezda 30th · Lille 11th

Timeline

  1. N. RadonjićYellow card · Holding
    18’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. M. ArnautovićYellow card · Holding
    66’
  4. ⇄ V. KostovFor Tomás Händel
    66’
  5. ⇄ O. GiroudFor H. Igamane
    67’
  6. ⇄ M. Fernandez-PardoFor Félix Correia
    67’
  7. ⇄ T. MeunierFor Tiago Santos
    67’
  8. ⇄ H. HaraldssonFor N. Mukau
    81’
  9. B. ÖzerYellow card · Foul
    84’
  10. M. Arnautović (pen) 1–0
    85’
  11. ⇄ R. PerraudFor C. Verdonk
    86’
  12. ⇄ Bruno DuarteFor M. Arnautović
    88’
  13. ⇄ MilsonFor M. Ivanić
    88’
  14. MatheusYellow card · Delay of game
    90+1’
  15. ⇄ A. KataiFor N. Radonjić
    90+2’
  16. M. Fernandez-PardoYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

FK Crvena Zvezda11 shots · 10 in box, 1 outside
Lille11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
FK Crvena ZvezdaLille
40% Possession 60%
1.70 Expected goals (xG) 1.53
1.49 Expected points (xPts) 1.28
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 4
338 Passes 529
76% Pass accuracy 86%
5 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
17 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 4-2-3-1

17.5 Matheus(G)
236.2 N. Tiknizyan 307.6 F. Tebo Uchenna 137.0 M. Veljković 667.3 Y. Seol
216.9 T. Elšnik 337.3 R. Krunić
47.5 M. Ivanić ↓88’ 206.9 Tomás Händel ↓66’ 496.2 N. Radonjić ↓90’
896.7 M. Arnautović ↓88’
  • 1Matheus (G)7.5
  • 23N. Tiknizyan6.2
  • 30F. Tebo Uchenna7.6
  • 13M. Veljković7.0
  • 66Y. Seol7.3
  • 21T. Elšnik6.9
  • 33R. Krunić7.3
  • 4M. Ivanić↓88’7.5
  • 20Tomás Händel↓66’6.9
  • 49N. Radonjić↓90’6.2
  • 89M. Arnautović↓88’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 22V. Kostov↑66’6.7
  • 7Milson↑88’
  • 10A. Katai↑90’
  • 17Bruno Duarte↑88’

Unused: O. Glazer, I. Guteša, A. Avdić, S. Leković, N. Stanković, Rodrigão, M. Bajo, Aleksa Damjanović

Coach: V. Milojević

Lille 4-2-3-1

16.3 B. Özer(G)
246.6 C. Verdonk ↓86’ 237.3 A. Mandi 187.5 C. Mbemba 227.9★ Tiago Santos ↓67’
326.3 A. Bouaddi 67.3 N. Bentaleb
276.6 Félix Correia ↓67’ 176.6 N. Mukau ↓81’ 146.3 M. Broholm
296.3 H. Igamane ↓67’
  • 1B. Özer (G)6.3
  • 24C. Verdonk↓86’6.6
  • 23A. Mandi7.3
  • 18C. Mbemba7.5
  • 22Tiago Santos ★↓67’7.9
  • 32A. Bouaddi6.3
  • 6N. Bentaleb7.3
  • 27Félix Correia↓67’6.6
  • 17N. Mukau↓81’6.6
  • 14M. Broholm6.3
  • 29H. Igamane↓67’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7M. Fernandez-Pardo↑67’6.3
  • 9O. Giroud↑67’6.3
  • 12T. Meunier↑67’6.6
  • 15R. Perraud↑86’
  • 10H. Haraldsson↑81’6.5

Unused: A. Bodart, Samy Merzouk, Maxima Goffi, O. Sahraoui, B. André, U. Raghouber, Soriba Diaoune

Player stats

Top rated
Tiago SantosLille7.9
2nd
F. Tebo UchennaFK Crvena Zvezda7.6
3rd
MatheusFK Crvena Zvezda7.5

FK Crvena Zvezda

Lille

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.