Bundesliga Gameweek 5 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
3–4 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 2.36 – 1.58
Bayer Leverkusen
  • A. Caci 33’, 42’
  • B. Hollerbach 90+2’
  • 5’ R. Andrich
  • 9’ P. Schick
  • 55’ J. Quansah
  • 65’ M. Diaby
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayer Leverkusen beat FSV Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen entered as narrow favourites and won 4–3 through goals from Andrich, Schick, Quansah and Diaby. FSV Mainz 05 replied through goals from Caci and Hollerbach. Bayer Leverkusen won despite the lower xG; FSV Mainz 05 created the better chances (2.36 vs 1.58). On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FSV Mainz 0531%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen ✓45%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
3
Model 1.39 · xG 2.36
Bayer Leverkusen goals
4
Model 1.73 · xG 1.58
Total goals
7
Model 3.12 · xG 3.94
Score 3–4
1%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. CaciFSV Mainz 05 · 2 goals
9.1
  • RefereeMax Burda
  • CoachesU. Fischer · Carles Martínez
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 7th · Bayer Leverkusen 6th
  • Weather at kick-off16°C · Partly cloudy · wind 12 km/h

Timeline

  1. R. Andrich 0–1
    5’
  2. P. Schick 0–2Assist Aleix García
    9’
  3. P. TietzYellow card · Foul
    20’
  4. A. Caci 1–2
    33’
  5. S. BeckerYellow card · Foul
    35’
  6. A. Caci 2–2Assist N. Amiri
    42’
  7. Half time · 2–2
  8. J. Quansah 2–3
    55’
  9. M. Diaby 2–4Assist Afonso Moreira
    65’
  10. ⇄ M. TerrierFor I. Maza
    66’
  11. ⇄ J. LeeFor E. Martel
    70’
  12. ⇄ D. da CostaFor A. Caci
    70’
  13. ⇄ R. KönigsdörfferFor K. Potulski
    70’
  14. ⇄ N. TellaFor Afonso Moreira
    75’
  15. ⇄ M. TillmanFor M. Diaby
    75’
  16. J. LeeYellow card · Foul
    76’
  17. ⇄ B. HollerbachFor S. Becker
    77’
  18. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor K. Sano
    81’
  19. ⇄ J. HofmannFor P. Schick
    83’
  20. ⇄ E. FernándezFor Aleix García
    84’
  21. B. Hollerbach 3–4
    90+2’
  22. J. QuansahYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  23. Full time · 3–4

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0523 shots · 17 in box, 6 outside
Bayer Leverkusen16 shots · 12 in box, 3 outside
FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
47% Possession 53%
2.36 Expected goals (xG) 1.58
1.85 Expected points (xPts) 0.96
23 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
11 Shots off target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
17 Shots inside the box 12
6 Shots outside the box 3
439 Passes 506
83% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.46 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

15.6 A. Schwolow(G)
486.2 K. Potulski ↓70’ 36.1 F. Gruber 45.7 S. Posch
26.5 P. Mwene 107.4 N. Amiri A 66.3 K. Sano ↓81’ 56.1 E. Martel ↓70’ 199.1★ A. Caci ↓70’
236.7 S. Becker ↓77’ 96.3 P. Tietz
  • 1A. Schwolow (G)5.6
  • 48K. Potulski↓70’6.2
  • 3F. Gruber6.1
  • 4S. Posch5.7
  • 2P. Mwene6.5
  • 10N. AmiriA7.4
  • 6K. Sano↓81’6.3
  • 5E. Martel↓70’6.1
  • 19A. Caci ★↓70’9.1
  • 23S. Becker↓77’6.7
  • 9P. Tietz6.3

Substitutes used

  • 21D. da Costa↑70’5.9
  • 17B. Hollerbach↑77’7.2
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↑70’6.4
  • 7J. Lee↑70’5.6
  • 15L. Maloney↑81’5.8

Unused: S. Bell, Sota Kawasaki, M. Kinzig, R. Nakuzola

Coach: U. Fischer

Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1

16.1 M. Flekken(G)
36.2 Miguel Gutiérrez 26.3 F. Medina 126.5 E. Tapsoba 46.7 J. Quansah
247.7 Aleix García A↓84’ 87.6 R. Andrich
96.3 Afonso Moreira A↓75’ 306.1 I. Maza ↓66’ 197.3 M. Diaby ↓75’
148.2 P. Schick ↓83’
  • 1M. Flekken (G)6.1
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez6.2
  • 2F. Medina6.3
  • 12E. Tapsoba6.5
  • 4J. Quansah6.7
  • 24Aleix GarcíaA↓84’7.7
  • 8R. Andrich7.6
  • 9Afonso MoreiraA↓75’6.3
  • 30I. Maza↓66’6.1
  • 19M. Diaby↓75’7.3
  • 14P. Schick↓83’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 10M. Tillman↑75’5.9
  • 11M. Terrier↑66’6.7
  • 23N. Tella↑75’6.6
  • 7J. Hofmann↑83’5.9
  • 6E. Fernández↑84’5.8

Unused: Lucas Vázquez, V. Boniface, J. Blaswich, L. Badé

Coach: Carles Martínez

Player stats

Top rated
A. CaciFSV Mainz 059.1
2nd
P. SchickBayer Leverkusen8.2
3rd
Aleix GarcíaBayer Leverkusen7.7

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Schwolow G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 77% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.6
K. Potulski D 70 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 37 2 2 0/0 0/1 6.2
F. Gruber D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 62 1 0 0/2 1/0 6.1
S. Posch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 49 1 0 0/1 2/0 5.7
P. Mwene D 90 0 0 3 (0) 2 89% 28 2 2 0/1 0/1 6.5
N. Amiri M 90 0 1 3 (0) 3 90% 67 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.4
K. Sano M 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 27 0 4 1/2 0/2 6.3
E. Martel M 70 0 0 4 (1) 0 80% 15 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.1
A. Caci D 70 2 0 3 (2) 4 86% 29 5 2 0/1 1/1 9.1
S. Becker F 77 0 0 0 (0) 6 83% 12 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
P. Tietz F 90 0 0 5 (1) 0 53% 17 0 0 1/1 2/1 6.3
D. da Costa D 20 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 15 1 0 0/0 0/1 5.9
B. Hollerbach F 13 1 0 1 (1) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
R. Königsdörffer F 20 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.4
J. Lee M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 16 1 0 0/0 2/0 5.6
L. Maloney D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.8

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Flekken G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 62% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.1
Miguel Gutiérrez D 90 0 0 3 (0) 1 84% 50 2 0 2/5 1/2 6.2
F. Medina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 71 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.3
E. Tapsoba D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 85% 61 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.5
J. Quansah D 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 90% 50 2 0 0/2 2/1 6.7
Aleix García M 84 0 1 0 (0) 3 92% 87 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
R. Andrich M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 79% 48 5 3 0/0 1/1 7.6
Afonso Moreira F 75 0 1 0 (0) 1 84% 19 1 2 1/3 0/1 6.3
I. Maza F 66 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 25 2 0 0/3 1/2 6.1
M. Diaby F 75 1 0 2 (1) 1 93% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
P. Schick F 83 1 0 1 (1) 2 69% 16 0 1 0/2 1/1 8.2
M. Tillman M 15 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 11 0 0 0/1 1/0 5.9
M. Terrier F 24 0 0 2 (0) 0 100% 13 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
N. Tella M 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
J. Hofmann M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 1 0/0 0/0 5.9
E. Fernández M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.8

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.