Bundesliga Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 25 2026 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
3–4 Full time · HT 3–0 xG 2.29 – 1.97
Bayern München
  • D. Kohr 15’
  • P. Nebel 29’
  • S. Becker 45+2’
  • 53’ N. Jackson
  • 73’ M. Olise
  • 80’ J. Musiala
  • 83’ H. Kane
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayern München come from three goals down to win

Bayern München entered as clear favourites, yet FSV Mainz 05 led 3–0 at half-time through goals from Kohr, Nebel and Becker. But Jackson, Olise, Musiala and Kane scored to turn it around for Bayern München, who won 4–3. Bayern München won despite the lower xG; FSV Mainz 05 created the better chances (2.29 vs 1.97). On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FSV Mainz 0510%
Draw14%
Bayern München ✓76%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
3
Model 1.15 · xG 2.29
Bayern München goals
4
Model 3.15 · xG 1.97
Total goals
7
Model 4.30 · xG 4.26
Score 3–4
1%
Most likely 1–3 (8%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 80%
Both scored
Yes
Model 66%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. OliseBayern München · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeMartin Petersen
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 10th · Bayern München 1st

Timeline

  1. D. Kohr 1–0Assist K. Sano
    15’
  2. D. KohrYellow card · Roughing
    20’
  3. P. Nebel 2–0
    29’
  4. K. LaimerYellow card · Tripping
    33’
  5. S. Becker 3–0
    45+2’
  6. Half time · 3–0
  7. ⇄ H. KaneFor A. Pavlović
    46’
  8. ⇄ M. OliseFor L. Díaz
    46’
  9. N. Jackson 3–1Assist K. Laimer
    53’
  10. ⇄ J. StanišićFor A. Davies
    57’
  11. ⇄ J. MusialaFor R. Guerreiro
    57’
  12. ⇄ A. SiebFor S. Becker
    71’
  13. M. Olise 3–2Assist K. Laimer
    73’
  14. ⇄ J. TahFor B. Ndiaye
    77’
  15. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor N. Amiri
    79’
  16. ⇄ A. CaciFor S. Widmer
    80’
  17. J. Musiala 3–3
    80’
  18. H. Kane 3–4
    83’
  19. ⇄ N. WeiperFor D. Kohr
    86’
  20. ⇄ W. BøvingFor P. Nebel
    87’
  21. M. OliseYellow card
    90+8’
  22. Full time · 3–4

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0518 shots · 13 in box, 5 outside
Bayern München11 shots · 10 in box, 1 outside
FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
29% Possession 71%
2.29 Expected goals (xG) 1.97
1.58 Expected points (xPts) 1.22
18 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 6
7 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
13 Shots inside the box 10
5 Shots outside the box 1
232 Passes 593
76% Pass accuracy 90%
2 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.72 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

336.2 D. Batz(G)
316.6 D. Kohr ↓86’ 45.9 S. Posch 215.9 D. da Costa
26.6 P. Mwene 107.0 N. Amiri ↓79’ 67.2 K. Sano A 87.0 P. Nebel ↓87’ 306.9 S. Widmer ↓80’
207.3 P. Tietz 237.7 S. Becker ↓71’
  • 33D. Batz (G)6.2
  • 31D. Kohr↓86’6.6
  • 4S. Posch5.9
  • 21D. da Costa5.9
  • 2P. Mwene6.6
  • 10N. Amiri↓79’7.0
  • 6K. SanoA7.2
  • 8P. Nebel↓87’7.0
  • 30S. Widmer↓80’6.9
  • 20P. Tietz7.3
  • 23S. Becker↓71’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 19A. Caci↑80’6.2
  • 15L. Maloney↑79’6.5
  • 44N. Weiper↑86’
  • 11A. Sieb↑71’6.5
  • 14W. Bøving↑87’

Unused: R. Zentner, N. Veratschnig, K. Potulski, Sota Kawasaki

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

407.5 J. Urbig(G)
196.0 A. Davies ↓57’ 216.7 H. Ito 36.5 M. Kim 276.9 K. Laimer AA
456.7 A. Pavlović ↓46’ 396.9 B. Ndiaye ↓77’
146.2 L. Díaz ↓46’ 87.2 L. Goretzka 225.6 R. Guerreiro ↓57’
117.7 N. Jackson
  • 40J. Urbig (G)7.5
  • 19A. Davies↓57’6.0
  • 21H. Ito6.7
  • 3M. Kim6.5
  • 27K. LaimerA×26.9
  • 45A. Pavlović↓46’6.7
  • 39B. Ndiaye↓77’6.9
  • 14L. Díaz↓46’6.2
  • 8L. Goretzka7.2
  • 22R. Guerreiro↓57’5.6
  • 11N. Jackson7.7

Substitutes used

  • 4J. Tah↑77’6.7
  • 44J. Stanišić↑57’6.5
  • 17M. Olise ★↑46’8.3
  • 10J. Musiala↑57’7.2
  • 9H. Kane↑46’7.5

Unused: M. Neuer, F. Pavic, Deniz Ofli

Player stats

Top rated
M. OliseBayern München8.3
2nd
S. BeckerFSV Mainz 057.7
3rd
N. JacksonBayern München7.7

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 54% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
D. Kohr M 86 1 0 1 (1) 1 91% 23 1 2 0/0 3/1 6.6
S. Posch D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 74% 35 3 5 0/0 0/0 5.9
D. da Costa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 21 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.9
P. Mwene D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 20 1 0 0/0 2/2 6.6
N. Amiri M 79 0 0 4 (3) 2 93% 15 0 1 1/2 2/0 7.0
K. Sano M 90 0 1 1 (0) 3 90% 21 4 2 2/4 2/1 7.2
P. Nebel M 87 1 0 2 (1) 1 70% 20 3 0 2/3 3/2 7.0
S. Widmer D 80 0 0 1 (0) 2 80% 10 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
P. Tietz F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 73% 15 1 1 0/1 0/2 7.3
S. Becker F 71 1 0 4 (3) 0 82% 11 1 0 1/2 1/1 7.7
A. Caci D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Maloney D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
N. Weiper F 4 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Sieb M 19 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
W. Bøving M 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. Urbig G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 91% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
A. Davies D 57 0 0 1 (0) 2 97% 31 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.0
H. Ito D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 76 1 1 1/1 1/1 6.7
M. Kim D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 95 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.5
K. Laimer M 90 0 2 1 (0) 3 94% 67 1 0 0/2 3/2 6.9
A. Pavlović M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 48 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
B. Ndiaye M 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 62 4 1 4/4 0/1 6.9
L. Díaz F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 23 0 2 0/1 3/2 6.2
L. Goretzka M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 47 2 1 0/0 1/2 7.2
R. Guerreiro D 57 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 27 0 0 0/1 0/0 5.6
N. Jackson F 90 1 0 3 (3) 0 67% 24 2 0 1/3 0/1 7.7
J. Tah D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Stanišić D 33 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 14 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
M. Olise M 44 1 0 1 (1) 0 70% 27 0 0 2/2 0/2 8.3
J. Musiala F 33 1 0 2 (1) 0 100% 12 1 0 2/4 1/2 7.2
H. Kane F 44 1 0 1 (1) 1 67% 9 0 0 0/1 0/0 7.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.