Bundesliga Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 21 2025 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.03 – 0.27
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Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for FSV Mainz 05 or FC St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05 entered as favourites, but neither side found a way through. FSV Mainz 05 finished with the higher xG (1.03 vs 0.27). On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

FSV Mainz 0560%
Draw ✓22%
FC St. Pauli18%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
0
Model 1.99 · xG 1.03
FC St. Pauli goals
0
Model 1.00 · xG 0.27
Total goals
0
Model 2.99 · xG 1.30
Score 0–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. Hanche-OlsenFSV Mainz 05
7.9
  • RefereeMatthias Jollenbeck
  • Coaches— · A. Blessin
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 18th · FC St. Pauli 16th

Timeline

  1. K. SanoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    32’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ R. JonesFor A. Hountondji
    58’
  4. M. Pereira LageYellow card · Holding
    62’
  5. ⇄ L. RitzkaFor Louis Oppie
    74’
  6. ⇄ A. SiebFor B. Hollerbach
    78’
  7. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor S. Widmer
    79’
  8. ⇄ D. SinaniFor M. Pereira Lage
    90’
  9. ⇄ N. WeiperFor N. Amiri
    90+1’
  10. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0513 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
FC St. Pauli5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
FSV Mainz 05FC St. Pauli
53% Possession 47%
1.03 Expected goals (xG) 0.27
2.00 Expected points (xPts) 0.64
13 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 1
5 Shots off target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 2
3 Shots outside the box 3
396 Passes 363
77% Pass accuracy 70%
9 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 5-3-2

337.2 D. Batz(G)
306.5 S. Widmer ↓79’ 486.9 K. Potulski 257.9★ A. Hanche-Olsen 317.3 D. Kohr 216.6 D. da Costa
76.5 J. Lee 66.9 K. Sano 86.2 P. Nebel
106.7 N. Amiri ↓90’ 176.3 B. Hollerbach ↓78’
  • 33D. Batz (G)7.2
  • 30S. Widmer↓79’6.5
  • 48K. Potulski6.9
  • 25A. Hanche-Olsen ★7.9
  • 31D. Kohr7.3
  • 21D. da Costa6.6
  • 7J. Lee6.5
  • 6K. Sano6.9
  • 8P. Nebel6.2
  • 10N. Amiri↓90’6.7
  • 17B. Hollerbach↓78’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 22N. Veratschnig↑79’6.7
  • 44N. Weiper↑90’
  • 11A. Sieb↑78’6.7

Unused: L. Rieß, S. Bell, L. Maloney, W. Bøving, A. Nordin, Fabio Moreno Fell

FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2

226.6 N. Vasilj(G)
37.3 K. Mets 56.7 H. Wahl 257.2 A. Dźwigała
237.2 Louis Oppie ↓74’ 77.3 J. Irvine 67.2 J. Sands 116.7 Arkadiusz Pyrka
166.7 J. Fujita
286.7 M. Pereira Lage ↓90’ 276.3 A. Hountondji ↓58’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)6.6
  • 3K. Mets7.3
  • 5H. Wahl6.7
  • 25A. Dźwigała7.2
  • 23Louis Oppie↓74’7.2
  • 7J. Irvine7.3
  • 6J. Sands7.2
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.7
  • 16J. Fujita6.7
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓90’6.7
  • 27A. Hountondji↓58’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 26R. Jones↑58’6.2
  • 21L. Ritzka↑74’6.6
  • 10D. Sinani↑90’

Unused: B. Voll, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, E. Saliakas, C. Metcalfe, E. Ahlstrand, A. Ceesay

Coach: A. Blessin

Player stats

Top rated
A. Hanche-OlsenFSV Mainz 057.9
2nd
D. KohrFSV Mainz 057.3
3rd
K. MetsFC St. Pauli7.3

FSV Mainz 05

FC St. Pauli

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.