Bundesliga Gameweek 23 Fri, Feb 20 2026 · 19:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.83 – 0.63
Hamburger SV
  • N. Amiri 42’
  • 64’ Fábio Vieira
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV share the points

FSV Mainz 05 entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Amiri goal. But Vieira scored to rescue a draw for Hamburger SV. The chances were even, with xG of 0.83 and 0.63.

FSV Mainz 0560%
Draw ✓21%
Hamburger SV19%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
1
Model 2.21 · xG 0.83
Hamburger SV goals
1
Model 1.20 · xG 0.63
Total goals
2
Model 3.41 · xG 1.46
Score 1–1
9%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 66%
Both scored
Yes
Model 63%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. AmiriFSV Mainz 05 · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeRobin Braun
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 14th · Hamburger SV 9th

Timeline

  1. S. Katompa MvumpaYellow card · Foul
    12’
  2. M. MuheimYellow card · Holding
    34’
  3. N. Amiri 1–0Assist D. da Costa
    42’
  4. D. KohrYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ S. BeckerFor S. Katompa Mvumpa
    46’
  7. N. RembergYellow card · Foul
    58’
  8. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor D. Kohr
    58’
  9. Fábio Vieira 1–1
    64’
  10. ⇄ Y. PoulsenFor R. Glatzel
    65’
  11. ⇄ W. MikelbrencisFor B. Jatta
    65’
  12. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor P. Otele
    76’
  13. ⇄ P. NebelFor J. Lee
    87’
  14. ⇄ Daniel ElfadliFor R. Königsdörffer
    87’
  15. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor M. Muheim
    88’
  16. K. PotulskiYellow card · Foul
    90’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0513 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
Hamburger SV14 shots · 5 in box, 9 outside
FSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV
45% Possession 55%
0.83 Expected goals (xG) 0.63
1.49 Expected points (xPts) 1.14
13 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 9
313 Passes 405
74% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
16 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.88 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

336.9 D. Batz(G)
485.9 K. Potulski 47.2 S. Posch 316.6 D. Kohr ↓58’
27.3 P. Mwene 108.0★ N. Amiri 67.0 K. Sano 76.6 J. Lee ↓87’ 217.5 D. da Costa A
206.0 P. Tietz 266.3 S. Katompa Mvumpa ↓46’
  • 33D. Batz (G)6.9
  • 48K. Potulski5.9
  • 4S. Posch7.2
  • 31D. Kohr↓58’6.6
  • 2P. Mwene7.3
  • 10N. Amiri ★8.0
  • 6K. Sano7.0
  • 7J. Lee↓87’6.6
  • 21D. da CostaA7.5
  • 20P. Tietz6.0
  • 26S. Katompa Mvumpa↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 23S. Becker↑46’7.3
  • 22N. Veratschnig↑58’6.3
  • 8P. Nebel↑87’

Unused: L. Rieß, M. Leitsch, Daniel Gleiber, W. Bøving, L. Maloney, A. Sieb

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

16.7 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
246.9 N. Capaldo 257.3 J. Torunarigha 176.9 W. Omari
286.6 M. Muheim ↓88’ 217.3 N. Remberg 207.9 Fábio Vieira 186.2 B. Jatta ↓65’
276.5 P. Otele ↓76’ 116.3 R. Königsdörffer ↓87’
96.3 R. Glatzel ↓65’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.7
  • 24N. Capaldo6.9
  • 25J. Torunarigha7.3
  • 17W. Omari6.9
  • 28M. Muheim↓88’6.6
  • 21N. Remberg7.3
  • 20Fábio Vieira7.9
  • 18B. Jatta↓65’6.2
  • 27P. Otele↓76’6.5
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓87’6.3
  • 9R. Glatzel↓65’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↑65’6.6
  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑88’
  • 8Daniel Elfadli↑87’
  • 14Rayan Philippe↑76’6.5
  • 15Y. Poulsen↑65’6.9

Unused: S. Tangvik, Jean-Luc Dompe, D. Downs, Otto Stange

Player stats

Top rated
N. AmiriFSV Mainz 058.0
2nd
Fábio VieiraHamburger SV7.9
3rd
D. da CostaFSV Mainz 057.5

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 60% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
K. Potulski D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 38 1 1 0/0 5/1 5.9
S. Posch D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 68% 41 4 1 0/0 0/1 7.2
D. Kohr M 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 19 3 4 0/0 2/2 6.6
P. Mwene D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 18 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
N. Amiri M 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 78% 27 1 0 1/3 0/1 8.0
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 29 1 0 2/2 1/1 7.0
J. Lee M 87 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 22 3 0 1/2 0/1 6.6
D. da Costa D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 71% 31 2 0 2/3 1/1 7.5
P. Tietz F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 45% 22 2 1 0/1 2/2 6.0
S. Katompa Mvumpa F 46 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 8 0 0 2/3 2/1 6.3
S. Becker F 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 11 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
N. Veratschnig D 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 2 1 0/1 2/0 6.3
P. Nebel M 3 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 85% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Capaldo M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 41 2 1 1/3 1/4 6.9
J. Torunarigha D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 58 2 3 0/0 2/0 7.3
W. Omari D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 42 2 1 0/0 1/2 6.9
M. Muheim D 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 56 1 0 1/2 1/4 6.6
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 44 1 2 1/1 1/1 7.3
Fábio Vieira M 90 1 0 4 (3) 0 82% 45 1 0 3/3 0/0 7.9
B. Jatta M 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.2
P. Otele F 76 0 0 1 (0) 1 74% 19 0 1 2/3 2/0 6.5
R. Königsdörffer F 87 0 0 1 (0) 4 85% 20 1 0 1/3 1/1 6.3
R. Glatzel F 65 0 0 2 (1) 0 67% 12 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
W. Mikelbrencis D 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 4 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
G. Gocholeishvili D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 —
Daniel Elfadli D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Rayan Philippe F 14 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Y. Poulsen F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.