Bundesliga Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 29 2026 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.23 – 0.73
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for FSV Mainz 05 or SC Paderborn 07

FSV Mainz 05 entered as favourites, but neither side found a way through. FSV Mainz 05 finished with the higher xG (1.23 vs 0.73).

FSV Mainz 0555%
Draw ✓23%
SC Paderborn 0722%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
0
Model 1.86 · xG 1.23
SC Paderborn 07 goals
0
Model 1.10 · xG 0.73
Total goals
0
Model 2.95 · xG 1.96
Score 0–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. NollSC Paderborn 07
8.2
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • CoachesU. Fischer · Ralf Kettemann
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Weather at kick-off24°C · Overcast · wind 14 km/h

Timeline

  1. S. CastañedaYellow card · Foul
    38’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ S. TiggesFor S. Marino
    67’
  4. ⇄ O. RuoppiFor S. Becker
    68’
  5. ⇄ R. KönigsdörfferFor J. Lee
    68’
  6. M. HansenYellow card · Foul
    72’
  7. ⇄ S. WidmerFor A. Caci
    73’
  8. ⇄ Jonah StickerFor M. Hansen
    75’
  9. ⇄ T. BaackFor L. Ulrich
    75’
  10. ⇄ K. PotulskiFor D. Kohr
    80’
  11. P. MweneYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  12. ⇄ C. LippmannFor M. Pieringer
    90+2’
  13. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0521 shots · 14 in box, 7 outside
SC Paderborn 0710 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
51% Possession 49%
1.23 Expected goals (xG) 0.73
1.74 Expected points (xPts) 0.96
21 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 0
11 Shots off target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
14 Shots inside the box 6
7 Shots outside the box 4
461 Passes 462
84% Pass accuracy 84%
11 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 7.16

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-1-4-2

276.9 R. Zentner(G)
317.7 D. Kohr ↓80’ 37.9 F. Gruber 217.7 D. da Costa
67.3 K. Sano
26.7 P. Mwene 107.5 N. Amiri 76.2 J. Lee ↓68’ 197.9 A. Caci ↓73’
96.0 P. Tietz 236.9 S. Becker ↓68’
  • 27R. Zentner (G)6.9
  • 31D. Kohr↓80’7.7
  • 3F. Gruber7.9
  • 21D. da Costa7.7
  • 6K. Sano7.3
  • 2P. Mwene6.7
  • 10N. Amiri7.5
  • 7J. Lee↓68’6.2
  • 19A. Caci↓73’7.9
  • 9P. Tietz6.0
  • 23S. Becker↓68’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 30S. Widmer↑73’7.0
  • 48K. Potulski↑80’6.9
  • 20O. Ruoppi↑68’6.7
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↑68’6.7

Unused: A. Schwolow, L. Maloney, S. Posch, Sota Kawasaki, R. Nakuzola

Coach: U. Fischer

SC Paderborn 07 3-4-3

158.2★ N. Noll(G)
226.9 M. Hansen ↓75’ 257.3 T. Scheller 217.3 J. ter Horst
236.9 R. Obermair 57.2 S. Castañeda 286.2 L. Ulrich ↓75’ 178.2 L. Curda
407.0 G. Vidović 306.5 S. Marino ↓67’ 186.9 M. Pieringer ↓90’
  • 15N. Noll (G) ★8.2
  • 22M. Hansen↓75’6.9
  • 25T. Scheller7.3
  • 21J. ter Horst7.3
  • 23R. Obermair6.9
  • 5S. Castañeda7.2
  • 28L. Ulrich↓75’6.2
  • 17L. Curda8.2
  • 40G. Vidović7.0
  • 30S. Marino↓67’6.5
  • 18M. Pieringer↓90’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 3Jonah Sticker↑75’6.9
  • 29C. Lippmann↑90’
  • 6T. Baack↑75’6.7
  • 27S. Tigges↑67’6.7

Unused: M. Schubert, Niklas Mohr, O. Batista Meier, Luka Djuric, D. Zeitler

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Player stats

Top rated
N. NollSC Paderborn 078.2
2nd
L. CurdaSC Paderborn 078.2
3rd
F. GruberFSV Mainz 057.9

FSV Mainz 05

SC Paderborn 07

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.