Bundesliga Gameweek 9 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.39 – 0.95
  • S. Widmer 36’
  • 86’ J. Stage
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Werder Bremen snatch a late draw

FSV Mainz 05 entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Widmer goal. But Stage scored to rescue a draw for Werder Bremen. FSV Mainz 05 finished with the higher xG (1.39 vs 0.95).

FSV Mainz 0544%
Draw ✓25%
Werder Bremen31%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
1
Model 1.63 · xG 1.39
Werder Bremen goals
1
Model 1.32 · xG 0.95
Total goals
2
Model 2.95 · xG 2.34
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. WidmerFSV Mainz 05 · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeFlorian Badstubner
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 16th · Werder Bremen 9th

Timeline

  1. S. Widmer 1–0Assist B. Hollerbach
    36’
  2. M. FriedlYellow card · Tripping
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ Cameron PuertasFor S. Mbangula
    46’
  5. Karim CoulibalyYellow card · Tripping
    59’
  6. ⇄ K. ToppFor V. Boniface
    64’
  7. ⇄ J. NjinmahFor M. Grüll
    64’
  8. ⇄ A. SiebFor B. Hollerbach
    69’
  9. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor S. Widmer
    77’
  10. ⇄ D. da CostaFor P. Mwene
    77’
  11. ⇄ I. SchmidtFor Karim Coulibaly
    81’
  12. J. Stage 1–1
    86’
  13. K. ToppYellow card · Elbowing
    88’
  14. ⇄ N. WeiperFor J. Lee
    89’
  15. ⇄ A. NordinFor P. Nebel
    89’
  16. N. VeratschnigYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  17. ⇄ N. StarkFor R. Schmid
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0510 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Werder Bremen5 shots · 5 in box
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
46% Possession 54%
1.39 Expected goals (xG) 0.95
1.68 Expected points (xPts) 1.04
10 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
7 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 0
390 Passes 467
77% Pass accuracy 80%
2 Corners 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
19 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 7.01

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-4-2-1

277.0 R. Zentner(G)
316.9 D. Kohr 156.3 L. Maloney 256.3 A. Hanche-Olsen
308.3★ S. Widmer ↓77’ 107.7 N. Amiri 67.0 K. Sano 27.2 P. Mwene ↓77’
177.5 B. Hollerbach A↓69’ 86.3 P. Nebel ↓89’
76.2 J. Lee ↓89’
  • 27R. Zentner (G)7.0
  • 31D. Kohr6.9
  • 15L. Maloney6.3
  • 25A. Hanche-Olsen6.3
  • 30S. Widmer ★↓77’8.3
  • 10N. Amiri7.7
  • 6K. Sano7.0
  • 2P. Mwene↓77’7.2
  • 17B. HollerbachA↓69’7.5
  • 8P. Nebel↓89’6.3
  • 7J. Lee↓89’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 22N. Veratschnig↑77’6.2
  • 21D. da Costa↑77’6.3
  • 9A. Nordin↑89’
  • 44N. Weiper↑89’
  • 11A. Sieb↑69’6.5

Unused: L. Rieß, S. Bell, Sota Kawasaki, Fabio Moreno Fell

Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1

308.0 M. Backhaus(G)
326.7 M. Friedl 316.5 Karim Coulibaly ↓81’ 57.9 A. Pieper 36.6 Y. Sugawara
147.3 S. Lynen 67.7 J. Stage
76.2 S. Mbangula ↓46’ 206.7 R. Schmid ↓90’ 176.3 M. Grüll ↓64’
446.9 V. Boniface ↓64’
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)8.0
  • 32M. Friedl6.7
  • 31Karim Coulibaly↓81’6.5
  • 5A. Pieper7.9
  • 3Y. Sugawara6.6
  • 14S. Lynen7.3
  • 6J. Stage7.7
  • 7S. Mbangula↓46’6.2
  • 20R. Schmid↓90’6.7
  • 17M. Grüll↓64’6.3
  • 44V. Boniface↓64’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 18Cameron Puertas↑46’7.2
  • 4N. Stark↑90’
  • 23I. Schmidt↑81’6.3
  • 9K. Topp↑64’6.3
  • 11J. Njinmah↑64’6.3

Unused: K. Hein, J. Malatini, Patrice Čović, L. Bittencourt

Player stats

Top rated
S. WidmerFSV Mainz 058.3
2nd
M. BackhausWerder Bremen8.0
3rd
A. PieperWerder Bremen7.9

FSV Mainz 05

Werder Bremen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.