Premier League Gameweek 34 Sat, Apr 25 2026 · 12:30 Craven Cottage, London
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.18 – 0.93
  • K. Sessegnon 43’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sessegnon goal decides it for Fulham

Fulham won 1–0 through a Sessegnon goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.18 and 0.93. On the chances created, Aston Villa deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fulham ✓38%
Draw25%
Aston Villa37%

Model vs reality

Fulham goals
1
Model 1.54 · xG 1.18
Aston Villa goals
0
Model 1.53 · xG 0.93
Total goals
1
Model 3.07 · xG 2.11
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. AndersenFulham
8.0
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueCraven Cottage
  • Table before kick-offFulham 12th · Aston Villa 4th

Timeline

  1. K. Sessegnon 1–0
    43’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. T. CastagneYellow card · Foul
    46’
  4. Pau TorresYellow card · Foul
    49’
  5. ⇄ Rodrigo MunizFor R. Jiménez
    66’
  6. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor J. McGinn
    74’
  7. ⇄ L. BaileyFor E. Buendía
    74’
  8. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor L. Bogarde
    74’
  9. ⇄ J. SanchoFor Y. Tielemans
    74’
  10. ⇄ O. BobbFor S. Chukwueze
    76’
  11. ⇄ J. KingFor E. Smith Rowe
    76’
  12. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor O. Watkins
    80’
  13. ⇄ A. RobinsonFor K. Sessegnon
    81’
  14. H. WilsonYellow card · Argument
    90+1’
  15. Douglas LuizYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Fulham13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
Aston Villa10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
FulhamAston Villa
39% Possession 61%
1.18 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
1.54 Expected points (xPts) 1.16
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
2 Shots off target 8
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Shots inside the box 6
7 Shots outside the box 4
337 Passes 529
82% Pass accuracy 86%
2 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Fouls 12
7 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

17.2 B. Leno(G)
307.5 K. Sessegnon ↓81’ 37.0 C. Bassey 58.0★ J. Andersen 216.9 T. Castagne
167.2 S. Berge 206.6 S. Lukić
197.5 S. Chukwueze ↓76’ 326.9 E. Smith Rowe ↓76’ 87.0 H. Wilson
76.3 R. Jiménez ↓66’
  • 1B. Leno (G)7.2
  • 30K. Sessegnon↓81’7.5
  • 3C. Bassey7.0
  • 5J. Andersen ★8.0
  • 21T. Castagne6.9
  • 16S. Berge7.2
  • 20S. Lukić6.6
  • 19S. Chukwueze↓76’7.5
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓76’6.9
  • 8H. Wilson7.0
  • 7R. Jiménez↓66’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 33A. Robinson↑81’6.6
  • 14O. Bobb↑76’6.6
  • 24J. King↑76’6.6
  • 9Rodrigo Muniz↑66’7.0

Unused: B. Lecomte, T. Cairney, I. Diop, J. Kusi-Asare, H. Reed

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.6 E. Martínez(G)
126.3 L. Digne 147.7 Pau Torres 46.9 E. Konsa 26.5 M. Cash
87.2 Y. Tielemans ↓74’ 266.2 L. Bogarde ↓74’
106.5 E. Buendía ↓74’ 275.6 M. Rogers 77.0 J. McGinn ↓74’
116.5 O. Watkins ↓80’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.6
  • 12L. Digne6.3
  • 14Pau Torres7.7
  • 4E. Konsa6.9
  • 2M. Cash6.5
  • 8Y. Tielemans↓74’7.2
  • 26L. Bogarde↓74’6.2
  • 10E. Buendía↓74’6.5
  • 27M. Rogers5.6
  • 7J. McGinn↓74’7.0
  • 11O. Watkins↓80’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑74’6.5
  • 31L. Bailey↑74’6.5
  • 21Douglas Luiz↑74’6.5
  • 18T. Abraham↑80’6.3
  • 19J. Sancho↑74’6.3

Unused: M. Bizot, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, I. Maatsen

Player stats

Top rated
J. AndersenFulham8.0
2nd
Pau TorresAston Villa7.7
3rd
E. MartínezAston Villa7.6

Fulham

Aston Villa

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.