Premier League Gameweek 23 Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 15:00 Craven Cottage, London
2–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.05 – 1.59
  • S. Chukwueze 72’
  • H. Wilson 90’
  • 28’ Y. Ayari
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Fulham come from behind to beat Brighton

Brighton led 1–0 at half-time through a Ayari goal. But Chukwueze and Wilson scored to turn it around for Fulham, who won 2–1. Fulham won despite the lower xG; Brighton created the better chances (1.59 vs 1.05). On the chances created, Brighton deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fulham ✓39%
Draw26%
Brighton36%

Model vs reality

Fulham goals
2
Model 1.49 · xG 1.05
Brighton goals
1
Model 1.42 · xG 1.59
Total goals
3
Model 2.91 · xG 2.64
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchH. WilsonFulham · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueCraven Cottage
  • Table before kick-offFulham 11th · Brighton 12th

Timeline

  1. Y. Ayari 0–1Assist O. Boscagli
    28’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ S. ChukwuezeFor Kevin
    59’
  4. ⇄ K. SessegnonFor A. Robinson
    59’
  5. S. BergeYellow card · Foul
    66’
  6. ⇄ T. CairneyFor E. Smith Rowe
    69’
  7. S. Chukwueze 1–1Assist J. Andersen
    72’
  8. VAR D. WelbeckGoal cancelled
    76’
  9. ⇄ J. MilnerFor C. Baleba
    81’
  10. ⇄ Y. MintehFor D. Gómez
    81’
  11. ⇄ J. KingFor A. Iwobi
    88’
  12. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor D. Welbeck
    88’
  13. ⇄ G. RutterFor P. Groß
    88’
  14. ⇄ M. De CuyperFor O. Boscagli
    88’
  15. H. Wilson 2–1
    90’
  16. C. KostoulasYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Fulham12 shots · 5 in box, 7 outside
Brighton13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
FulhamBrighton
49% Possession 51%
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.59
1.00 Expected points (xPts) 1.75
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Shots inside the box 10
7 Shots outside the box 3
502 Passes 517
83% Pass accuracy 84%
6 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

16.6 B. Leno(G)
336.2 A. Robinson ↓59’ 156.9 Jorge Cuenca 57.7 J. Andersen A 217.5 T. Castagne
166.9 S. Berge 176.3 A. Iwobi ↓88’
226.3 Kevin ↓59’ 326.2 E. Smith Rowe ↓69’ 88.2★ H. Wilson
76.3 R. Jiménez
  • 1B. Leno (G)6.6
  • 33A. Robinson↓59’6.2
  • 15Jorge Cuenca6.9
  • 5J. AndersenA7.7
  • 21T. Castagne7.5
  • 16S. Berge6.9
  • 17A. Iwobi↓88’6.3
  • 22Kevin↓59’6.3
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓69’6.2
  • 8H. Wilson ★8.2
  • 7R. Jiménez6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10T. Cairney↑69’6.5
  • 19S. Chukwueze↑59’7.7
  • 30K. Sessegnon↑59’7.0
  • 24J. King↑88’6.3

Unused: B. Lecomte, I. Diop, J. Kusi-Asare, H. Reed, C. Bassey

Brighton 4-3-3

15.6 B. Verbruggen(G)
216.5 O. Boscagli A↓88’ 57.2 L. Dunk 66.6 J. van Hecke 246.7 F. Kadıoğlu
307.3 P. Groß ↓88’ 176.7 C. Baleba ↓81’ 267.9 Y. Ayari
226.9 K. Mitoma 186.2 D. Welbeck ↓88’ 257.2 D. Gómez ↓81’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)5.6
  • 21O. BoscagliA↓88’6.5
  • 5L. Dunk7.2
  • 6J. van Hecke6.6
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.7
  • 30P. Groß↓88’7.3
  • 17C. Baleba↓81’6.7
  • 26Y. Ayari7.9
  • 22K. Mitoma6.9
  • 18D. Welbeck↓88’6.2
  • 25D. Gómez↓81’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Milner↑81’6.5
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑88’6.5
  • 10G. Rutter↑88’6.5
  • 29M. De Cuyper↑88’6.7
  • 11Y. Minteh↑81’6.5

Unused: J. Steele, J. Veltman, D. Coppola, J. Hinshelwood

Player stats

Top rated
H. WilsonFulham8.2
2nd
Y. AyariBrighton7.9
3rd
J. AndersenFulham7.7

Fulham

Brighton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.