Premier League Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 16:30 Craven Cottage, London
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.76 – 1.65
  • H. Wilson 38’
  • 20’ E. Nketiah
  • 87’ A. Guéhi
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guéhi’s late goal settles it for Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace won 2–1 through goals from Nketiah and Guéhi. Fulham replied through a Wilson goal. Crystal Palace finished with the higher xG (1.65 vs 0.76). On the chances created, Fulham deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fulham37%
Draw26%
Crystal Palace ✓37%

Model vs reality

Fulham goals
1
Model 1.41 · xG 0.76
Crystal Palace goals
2
Model 1.42 · xG 1.65
Total goals
3
Model 2.82 · xG 2.41
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. GuéhiCrystal Palace · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeSamuel Barrott
  • VenueCraven Cottage
  • Table before kick-offFulham 15th · Crystal Palace 6th

Timeline

  1. E. Nketiah 0–1Assist A. Wharton
    20’
  2. H. Wilson 1–1Assist R. Jiménez
    38’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. VAR E. Smith RoweGoal cancelled
    55’
  5. ⇄ J. LermaFor E. Nketiah
    65’
  6. ⇄ C. UcheFor J. Mateta
    66’
  7. ⇄ KevinFor E. Smith Rowe
    68’
  8. ⇄ S. LukićFor S. Berge
    76’
  9. ⇄ J. KingFor S. Chukwueze
    76’
  10. ⇄ J. CanvotFor N. Clyne
    77’
  11. A. Guéhi 1–2Assist Yeremy Pino
    87’
  12. ⇄ T. CairneyFor H. Wilson
    88’
  13. ⇄ Adama TraoréFor A. Iwobi
    89’
  14. ⇄ J. DevennyFor Yeremy Pino
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Fulham12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Crystal Palace11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
FulhamCrystal Palace
63% Possession 37%
0.76 Expected goals (xG) 1.65
0.75 Expected points (xPts) 2.00
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
9 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 2
640 Passes 367
87% Pass accuracy 83%
6 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 7.04

Line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

16.9 B. Leno(G)
216.2 T. Castagne 37.3 C. Bassey 57.2 J. Andersen 26.2 K. Tete
177.3 A. Iwobi ↓89’ 167.0 S. Berge ↓76’
196.6 S. Chukwueze ↓76’ 326.6 E. Smith Rowe ↓68’ 87.6 H. Wilson ↓88’
76.2 R. Jiménez A
  • 1B. Leno (G)6.9
  • 21T. Castagne6.2
  • 3C. Bassey7.3
  • 5J. Andersen7.2
  • 2K. Tete6.2
  • 17A. Iwobi↓89’7.3
  • 16S. Berge↓76’7.0
  • 19S. Chukwueze↓76’6.6
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓68’6.6
  • 8H. Wilson↓88’7.6
  • 7R. JiménezA6.2

Substitutes used

  • 10T. Cairney↑88’6.6
  • 20S. Lukić↑76’6.3
  • 11Adama Traoré↑89’6.5
  • 22Kevin↑68’6.2
  • 24J. King↑76’6.5

Unused: B. Lecomte, I. Diop, Jorge Cuenca, J. Kusi-Asare

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

17.0 D. Henderson(G)
67.9★ A. Guéhi 56.6 M. Lacroix 266.7 Chris Richards
37.2 T. Mitchell 186.9 Daichi Kamada 207.7 A. Wharton A 176.7 N. Clyne ↓77’
107.3 Yeremy Pino A↓90’ 97.5 E. Nketiah ↓65’
146.2 J. Mateta ↓66’
  • 1D. Henderson (G)7.0
  • 6A. Guéhi ★7.9
  • 5M. Lacroix6.6
  • 26Chris Richards6.7
  • 3T. Mitchell7.2
  • 18Daichi Kamada6.9
  • 20A. WhartonA7.7
  • 17N. Clyne↓77’6.7
  • 10Yeremy PinoA↓90’7.3
  • 9E. Nketiah↓65’7.5
  • 14J. Mateta↓66’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 23J. Canvot↑77’6.7
  • 12C. Uche↑66’6.3
  • 8J. Lerma↑65’6.6
  • 55J. Devenny↑90’

Unused: W. Benítez, R. Matthews, W. Hughes, B. Sosa, R. Esse

Player stats

Top rated
A. GuéhiCrystal Palace7.9
2nd
A. WhartonCrystal Palace7.7
3rd
H. WilsonFulham7.6

Fulham

Crystal Palace

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.