Premier League Gameweek 20 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 15:15 Craven Cottage, London
2–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.74 – 1.37
  • H. Wilson 17’
  • H. Reed 90’
  • 57’ F. Wirtz
  • 90’ C. Gakpo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Fulham snatch a late draw

Liverpool entered as favourites and led 2–1 after 90 minutes through goals from Wirtz and Gakpo. But Reed scored to rescue a draw for Fulham. Liverpool finished with the higher xG (1.37 vs 0.74). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Fulham26%
Draw ✓25%
Liverpool49%

Model vs reality

Fulham goals
2
Model 1.23 · xG 0.74
Liverpool goals
2
Model 1.76 · xG 1.37
Total goals
4
Model 2.99 · xG 2.11
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchH. WilsonFulham · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeCraig Pawson
  • VenueCraven Cottage
  • Table before kick-offFulham 13th · Liverpool 4th

Timeline

  1. H. Wilson 1–0Assist R. Jiménez
    17’
  2. VAR H. WilsonGoal confirmed
    18’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. F. Wirtz 1–1Assist C. Bradley
    57’
  5. VAR F. WirtzGoal confirmed
    60’
  6. H. WilsonYellow card · Foul
    71’
  7. ⇄ S. BergeFor T. Cairney
    74’
  8. ⇄ KevinFor E. Smith Rowe
    74’
  9. ⇄ J. FrimpongFor F. Wirtz
    76’
  10. ⇄ Adama TraoréFor H. Wilson
    85’
  11. ⇄ J. Kusi-AsareFor R. Jiménez
    85’
  12. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor C. Jones
    85’
  13. C. Gakpo 1–2
    90’
  14. H. Reed 2–2Assist Kevin
    90’
  15. ⇄ H. ReedFor S. Lukić
    90+2’
  16. C. GakpoYellow card
    90+5’
  17. ⇄ J. GomezFor C. Gakpo
    90+6’
  18. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Fulham8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Liverpool10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
FulhamLiverpool
42% Possession 58%
0.74 Expected goals (xG) 1.37
0.89 Expected points (xPts) 1.84
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 3
462 Passes 639
84% Pass accuracy 88%
3 Corners 8
11 Fouls 4
2 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 6.61

Line-ups

Fulham 3-4-2-1

15.9 B. Leno(G)
156.5 Jorge Cuenca 55.9 J. Andersen 316.3 I. Diop
336.9 A. Robinson 107.0 T. Cairney ↓74’ 206.3 S. Lukić ↓90’ 217.5 T. Castagne
326.6 E. Smith Rowe ↓74’ 87.9★ H. Wilson ↓85’
76.5 R. Jiménez A↓85’
  • 1B. Leno (G)5.9
  • 15Jorge Cuenca6.5
  • 5J. Andersen5.9
  • 31I. Diop6.3
  • 33A. Robinson6.9
  • 10T. Cairney↓74’7.0
  • 20S. Lukić↓90’6.3
  • 21T. Castagne7.5
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓74’6.6
  • 8H. Wilson ★↓85’7.9
  • 7R. JiménezA↓85’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 11Adama Traoré↑85’6.7
  • 16S. Berge↑74’6.7
  • 22KevinA↑74’6.9
  • 18J. Kusi-Asare↑85’6.3
  • 6H. Reed↑90’7.7

Unused: B. Lecomte, Alfie McNally, S. Amissah, Seth Ridgeon

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

16.3 A. Becker(G)
66.2 M. Kerkez 46.5 V. van Dijk 57.0 I. Konaté 126.6 C. Bradley A
106.3 A. Mac Allister 386.3 R. Gravenberch
176.7 C. Jones ↓85’ 77.2 F. Wirtz ↓76’ 86.5 D. Szoboszlai
187.3 C. Gakpo ↓90’
  • 1A. Becker (G)6.3
  • 6M. Kerkez6.2
  • 4V. van Dijk6.5
  • 5I. Konaté7.0
  • 12C. BradleyA6.6
  • 10A. Mac Allister6.3
  • 38R. Gravenberch6.3
  • 17C. Jones↓85’6.7
  • 7F. Wirtz↓76’7.2
  • 8D. Szoboszlai6.5
  • 18C. Gakpo↓90’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑85’6.3
  • 30J. Frimpong↑76’6.2
  • 2J. Gomez↑90’

Unused: F. Woodman, G. Mamardashvili, A. Robertson, C. Ramsay, T. Nyoni, R. Ngumoha

Player stats

Top rated
H. WilsonFulham7.9
2nd
T. CastagneFulham7.5
3rd
C. GakpoLiverpool7.3

Fulham

Liverpool

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.