Premier League Gameweek 17 Mon, Dec 22 2025 · 20:00 Craven Cottage, London
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.50 – 0.67
  • R. Jiménez 45’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Jiménez goal decides it for Fulham

Fulham entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Jiménez goal. Fulham finished with the higher xG (1.50 vs 0.67). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fulham ✓42%
Draw26%
Nottingham Forest32%

Model vs reality

Fulham goals
1
Model 1.58 · xG 1.50
Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 1.34 · xG 0.67
Total goals
1
Model 2.91 · xG 2.17
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchKevinFulham
8.2
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueCraven Cottage
  • Table before kick-offFulham 15th · Nottingham Forest 17th

Timeline

  1. R. Jiménez (pen) 1–0
    45’
  2. John VictorYellow card · Time wasting
    45+4’
  3. R. JiménezYellow card
    45+7’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. S. BergeYellow card · Foul
    56’
  6. ⇄ T. CairneyFor S. Berge
    66’
  7. MurilloYellow card · Foul
    70’
  8. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor Igor Jesus
    72’
  9. ⇄ J. McAteeFor M. Gibbs-White
    73’
  10. ⇄ N. DomínguezFor Douglas Luiz
    73’
  11. H. WilsonYellow card · Foul
    77’
  12. ⇄ J. KingFor Kevin
    78’
  13. ⇄ O. ZinchenkoFor N. Savona
    81’
  14. Jorge CuencaYellow card · Argument
    82’
  15. N. MilenkovićYellow card · Argument
    83’
  16. ⇄ Adama TraoréFor H. Wilson
    84’
  17. ⇄ I. DiopFor E. Smith Rowe
    85’
  18. ⇄ J. Kusi-AsareFor R. Jiménez
    85’
  19. ⇄ A. KalimuendoFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    90+2’
  20. J. AndersenYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  21. N. DomínguezYellow card · Argument
    90+6’
  22. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Fulham11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
Nottingham Forest12 shots · 6 in box, 6 outside
FulhamNottingham Forest
50% Possession 50%
1.50 Expected goals (xG) 0.67
1.98 Expected points (xPts) 0.76
11 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 6
3 Shots outside the box 6
495 Passes 490
80% Pass accuracy 85%
1 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.47

Line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

16.6 B. Leno(G)
337.3 A. Robinson 157.3 Jorge Cuenca 57.2 J. Andersen 27.7 K. Tete
166.9 S. Berge ↓66’ 207.0 S. Lukić
228.2★ Kevin ↓78’ 326.9 E. Smith Rowe ↓85’ 86.6 H. Wilson ↓84’
76.9 R. Jiménez ↓85’
  • 1B. Leno (G)6.6
  • 33A. Robinson7.3
  • 15Jorge Cuenca7.3
  • 5J. Andersen7.2
  • 2K. Tete7.7
  • 16S. Berge↓66’6.9
  • 20S. Lukić7.0
  • 22Kevin ★↓78’8.2
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓85’6.9
  • 8H. Wilson↓84’6.6
  • 7R. Jiménez↓85’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 10T. Cairney↑66’6.6
  • 11Adama Traoré↑84’6.3
  • 31I. Diop↑85’6.6
  • 24J. King↑78’7.0
  • 18J. Kusi-Asare↑85’6.3

Unused: B. Lecomte, T. Castagne, H. Reed, Seth Ridgeon

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

136.5 John Victor(G)
36.5 N. Williams 56.7 Murillo 317.0 N. Milenković 376.3 N. Savona ↓81’
86.6 E. Anderson 126.2 Douglas Luiz ↓73’
76.7 C. Hudson-Odoi ↓90’ 106.0 M. Gibbs-White ↓73’ 215.6 O. Hutchinson
197.0 Igor Jesus ↓72’
  • 13John Victor (G)6.5
  • 3N. Williams6.5
  • 5Murillo6.7
  • 31N. Milenković7.0
  • 37N. Savona↓81’6.3
  • 8E. Anderson6.6
  • 12Douglas Luiz↓73’6.2
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↓90’6.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓73’6.0
  • 21O. Hutchinson5.6
  • 19Igor Jesus↓72’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑72’6.5
  • 24J. McAtee↑73’6.5
  • 35O. Zinchenko↑81’6.6
  • 16N. Domínguez↑73’6.6
  • 15A. Kalimuendo↑90’

Unused: M. Sels, D. Bakwa, Morato, Z. Abbott

Player stats

Top rated
KevinFulham8.2
2nd
K. TeteFulham7.7
3rd
A. RobinsonFulham7.3

Fulham

Nottingham Forest

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.