Galatasaray
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Galatasaray were clear favourites.
Galatasaray were the stronger side on L90 Strength (72 vs 21). Galatasaray had 9.1 days of rest, Konyaspor 9 and had to travel 463 km.
Away travel463 kmRest days9.1 · 9Matches / 14d1 · 1
Galatasaray77%
Draw15%
Konyaspor8%
Galatasaray76%
Draw16%
Konyaspor8%
Galatasaray78%
Draw15%
Konyaspor8%
Galatasaray71%
Draw18%
Konyaspor11%
Galatasaray75%
Draw16%
Konyaspor8%
Over 2.5 65%
Both score 49%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
RefereeYasin Kol
- Cards per match 6.0
- Penalties per match 0.38
- Matches 21
Team strength
Galatasaray
Konyaspor
72
L90 StrengthIn forecast
21
62
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
57
AttackIn forecast
13
55
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
GalatasarayKonyaspor
3.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.25
0.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
2.70
xGVia Att/Def
1.37
0.61
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.47
+0.30
Goals minus xGContext
+0.88
100%
Scored inContext
100%
80%
Clean sheetsContext
25%
18.60
ShotsContext
13.50
7.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.75
39%
On target shareContext
35%
13.00
Shots in the boxContext
9.00
71%
Box shareContext
66%
16%
ConversionContext
17%
1.25
OffsidesContext
2.00
7.00
Shots allowedContext
14.50
2.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
1.75
BlocksContext
4.00
2.20
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.25
92%
Save rateContext
81%
66%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
527
PassesContext
403
467
Accurate passesContext
329
89%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
7.25
Team ratingContext
7.10
10.80
FoulsContext
12.50
9.60
Fouls sufferedContext
12.00
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
2.75
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
2.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.90
0.60
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
2.29
xGVia Att/Def
1.56
0.90
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.17
+0.21
Goals minus xGContext
+0.34
100%
Scored inContext
90%
80%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
18.30
ShotsContext
14.00
6.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.00
37%
On target shareContext
36%
13.10
Shots in the boxContext
9.40
71%
Box shareContext
62%
14%
ConversionContext
14%
1.43
OffsidesContext
1.89
9.10
Shots allowedContext
12.60
3.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.20
2.50
BlocksContext
3.38
2.70
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
90%
Save rateContext
71%
63%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
498
PassesContext
382
434
Accurate passesContext
315
87%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
7.18
Team ratingContext
7.07
11.50
FoulsContext
12.50
9.90
Fouls sufferedContext
11.10
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Galatasaray
Rest9.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Konyaspor
Rest9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel463 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Galatasaray |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 9.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 13 Sep | 9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 13 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 463 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 2 | 0 / 1 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 4 | 5.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Galatasaray
Confirmed XI
1U. Çakır(G)
4I. Jakobs
42A. Bardakcı
90W. Singo
7R. Sallai
20İ. Gündoğan
34L. Torreira
53B. Yılmaz
11Y. Akgün
10L. Sané
9M. Icardi
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
1D. Ertaş(G)
4A. Demirbağ
16M. Jevtović
5U. Yazğılı
12G. Sityá
10E. Bardhi
77M. İbrahimoğlu
23Y. Andzouana
40J. Muleka
18A. Ndao
22M. Nayir
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Galatasaray
Scores -0.05 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Galatasaray-0.7 pp
- Draw+0.4 pp
- Konyaspor+0.3 pp
Home / Away this season
Galatasaray · Home
3.00points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-0
- Scored
- 3.00
- Conceded
- 0.50
Konyaspor · Away
2.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-0
- Scored
- 2.50
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | Galatasaray | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor | W 2–0 A | W 4–1 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 3–0 A | W 3–0 H |
| Points | 6 of 6 · 3.00 per game | 6 of 6 · 3.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
4 Galatasaray wins0 draws0 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game2.25 – 0.50
Over 2.575%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets50% · 0%
- 25 Jan 2025Galatasaray1–0Konyaspor
- 16 Aug 2024Konyaspor1–2Galatasaray
- 26 May 2024Konyaspor1–3Galatasaray
- 7 Jan 2024Galatasaray3–0Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Galatasaray | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 3.00 | 2.25 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.20 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.37 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 75% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 25% | |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 75% | 49% |
| Clean sheets | 80% | 25% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 5 | 4 |
| Galatasaray | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 3.00 | 2.25 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.20 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.37 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 75% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 25% | |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 75% | 49% |
| Clean sheets | 80% | 25% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 5 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Galatasaray | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 5.25 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.40 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 8.40 | 10.25 | 9.48 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 2/5 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 2/5 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 2/5 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.40 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.80 | 5.25 | 4.78 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 3/5 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 2/5 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Galatasaray | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.10 | 4.56 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.50 | 4.33 | |
| Match total | 8.60 | 8.89 | 9.48 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 22% 2/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | 2.80 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 5.20 | 4.78 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Yasin Kol 21 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.48league 4.58
Red cards0.52league 0.26
Cards 5+67%league 50%
Fouls27.0league 26.4
Penalties0.38league 0.26
Home wins29%league 38%
Galatasaray2 with this referee
Record1-0-1
Cards · opp.6.0 · 3.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds2
- L29 Mar 25A · Besiktas1–24
- W9 Mar 25A · Alanyaspor2–18
Konyaspor2 with this referee
Record0-1-1
Cards · opp.4.5 · 5.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L16 Feb 25H · Samsunspor0–14
- D21 Sep 24H · Sivasspor0–05
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Galatasaray5 games · scored 15 · conceded 1
2
0-15
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
76-90
Konyaspor4 games · scored 9 · conceded 4
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
61-75
3
1
76-90
Galatasaray10 games · scored 25 · conceded 6
3
0-15
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 19 · conceded 13
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
7
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
