Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Rizespor – 8 Nov 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 12 Sat, Nov 8 · 11:30 Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep

Gazişehir Gaziantep 6th · 18 pts · 11 played DWWLD

2–2Full time

Rizespor 11th · 13 pts · 11 played WLDDW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Gazişehir Gaziantep were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Gazişehir Gaziantep had 4.8 days of rest, Rizespor 4.8 and had to travel 517 km.

Away travel517 kmRest days4.8 · 4.8Matches / 14d2 · 2

Gazişehir Gaziantep46%

Draw26%

Rizespor27%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.17

Gazişehir Gaziantep46%

Draw27%

Rizespor28%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.16

Gazişehir Gaziantep46%

Draw26%

Rizespor28%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.18

Gazişehir Gaziantep39%

Draw27%

Rizespor34%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.31

Gazişehir Gaziantep46%

Draw27%

Rizespor28%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.14

Over 2.5 52% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Gaziantep)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeOguzhan Cakir

Cards per match 3.7
Penalties per match 0.44
Matches 9

Team strength

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Rizespor

23 L90 StrengthIn forecast 21

16 Current StrengthIn forecast 22

15 AttackIn forecast 22

18 DefenceIn forecast 35

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—

Defense risk—

Rizespor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Rizespor

1.36 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.09

1.64 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.27

1.32 xGVia Att/Def 1.27

1.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.04

+0.04 Goals minus xGContext -0.18

64% Scored inContext 73%

27% Clean sheetsContext 36%

14.73 ShotsContext 11.82

4.55 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.09

31% On target shareContext 26%

8.55 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

55% Box shareContext 58%

9% ConversionContext 9%

1.88 OffsidesContext 2.33

12.36 Shots allowedContext 13.45

4.64 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

2.64 BlocksContext 4.20

2.82 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.44

61% Save rateContext 72%

55% PossessionIn forecast 51%

416 PassesContext 397

350 Accurate passesContext 326

84% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.88 Team ratingContext 6.80

13.09 FoulsContext 14.18

16.18 Fouls sufferedContext 12.36

3.27 Yellow cardsContext 2.91

0.18 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 11 and 11 games

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

1.44 xGVia Att/Def 1.26

1.24 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.05

+0.06 Goals minus xGContext -0.06

70% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 40%

15.70 ShotsContext 11.70

4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.30

31% On target shareContext 28%

9.20 Shots in the boxContext 6.80

57% Box shareContext 56%

10% ConversionContext 10%

1.88 OffsidesContext 2.25

12.30 Shots allowedContext 13.10

4.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.56

2.80 BlocksContext 4.33

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.75

64% Save rateContext 77%

56% PossessionIn forecast 50%

425 PassesContext 400

359 Accurate passesContext 329

84% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.94 Team ratingContext 6.80

13.00 FoulsContext 14.70

16.30 Fouls sufferedContext 12.20

3.40 Yellow cardsContext 3.00

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Rest4.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,188 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Rizespor

Rest4.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel517 km703 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Rizespor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 3 Nov	4.8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 3 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	517 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,188 km	703 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	14	15.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gazişehir Gaziantep Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

20Z. Görgen(G)

77K. Rodrigues 14L. Abena 4A. Kızıldağ 2Luis Pérez

3D. Camara 6M. Kabasakal

11C. Lungoyi 44A. Maxim 10K. Kozłowski

9M. Bayo

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Rizespor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

75Y. Fofana(G)

5C. Højer 3S. Akaydin 4A. Mocsi 37M. Şahin

18M. Buljubasic 6G. Papanikolaou

99E. Bulut 20Q. Laçi 19J. Rak-Sakyi

9A. Sowe

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Gazişehir Gaziantep Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Rizespor Scores -0.03 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.3 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Rizespor-0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home 1.67points per game · 6 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-2
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 2.00

Rizespor · Away 1.20points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 1-3-1
Scored: 1.60
Conceded: 1.40

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 9 this season

Opponent	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Rizespor
Alanyaspor	D 0–0 A	D 0–0 A
Antalyaspor	W 3–2 H	W 5–2 A
Fatih Karagümrük	W 2–0 A	W 1–0 H
Samsunspor	D 2–2 H	D 1–1 A
Trabzonspor	D 1–1 A	L 1–2 H
Kocaelispor	W 2–0 H	D 1–1 A
Kasimpasa	W 3–2 A	L 1–2 H
Genclerbirligi	W 2–1 H	W 1–0 H
Galatasaray	L 0–3 H	L 1–3 A
Points	18 of 27 · 2.00 per game	12 of 27 · 1.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

2 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins0 draws2 Rizespor wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.25 Over 2.525% Both scored25% Clean sheets50% · 25%

3 May 2025Rizespor2–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
9 Dec 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep1–0Rizespor
17 Mar 2024Rizespor3–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
6 Nov 2023Gazişehir Gaziantep2–0Rizespor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Rizespor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.36	1.09
Conceded per game	1.64	1.27
Match goals	3.00	2.36	2.75
Over 1.5	91%	64%
Over 2.5	64%	45%	52%
Over 3.5	36%	18%
Both teams scored	45%	55%	55%
Clean sheets	27%	36%
Failed to score	36%	27%
Games	11	11

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Rizespor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	1.20
Conceded per game	1.50	1.10
Match goals	3.00	2.30	2.75
Over 1.5	90%	60%
Over 2.5	60%	40%	52%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	55%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	30%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.45	2.89
Corners conceded	4.18	5.11
Match total	9.63	8.00	9.70
Over 8.5	55% 6/11	44% 4/9
Over 9.5	27% 3/11	22% 2/9
Over 10.5	27% 3/11	11% 1/9
Cards
Cards	3.45	2.91
Opponent cards	3.82	1.64
Match total	7.27	4.55	4.92
Over 3.5	91% 10/11	55% 6/11
Over 4.5	91% 10/11	55% 6/11

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.90	2.88
Corners conceded	4.30	5.13
Match total	10.20	8.01	9.70
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	25% 2/8
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	3.50	3.00
Opponent cards	3.90	1.70
Match total	7.40	4.70	4.92
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	90% 9/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Oguzhan Cakir Türkiye · 9 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.33league 4.63

Red cards0.33league 0.28

Cards 5+33%league 53%

Fouls22.4league 26.1

Penalties0.44league 0.27

Home wins56%league 38%

Gazişehir Gaziantep1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against1 · 1

W5 Oct 25A · Fatih Karagümrük2–04

Rizespor1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.0.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 1

W18 May 25H · Goztepe6–30

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.