Genclerbirligi vs Antalyaspor – 17 Aug 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 17 · 17:00 Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara

Genclerbirligi 11th · 0 pts · 1 played L

0–1Full time

Antalyaspor 5th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Genclerbirligi had 8 days of rest, Antalyaspor 7.9 and had to travel 384 km.

Away travel384 kmRest days8 · 7.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

Genclerbirligi39%

Draw27%

Antalyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.29

Genclerbirligi38%

Draw27%

Antalyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.29

Genclerbirligi39%

Draw27%

Antalyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.30

Genclerbirligi32%

Draw27%

Antalyaspor41%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.45

Genclerbirligi39%

Draw27%

Antalyaspor34%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.29

Over 2.5 51% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Ankara)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeOguzhan Aksu

Cards per match 1.0
Penalties per match 0.00
Matches 1

Team strength

Genclerbirligi

Antalyaspor

12 L90 StrengthIn forecast 16

15 Current StrengthIn forecast 13

13 AttackIn forecast 11

16 DefenceIn forecast 14

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Antalyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Genclerbirligi

Antalyaspor

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90

— Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

— xGVia Att/Def 0.88

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.05

— Goals minus xGContext +0.02

— Scored inContext 60%

— Clean sheetsContext 30%

— ShotsContext 9.50

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40

— On target shareContext 36%

— Shots in the boxContext 6.67

— Box shareContext 66%

— ConversionContext 10%

— OffsidesContext 1.63

— Shots allowedContext 9.70

— On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.70

— BlocksContext 2.63

— Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78

— Save rateContext 69%

— PossessionIn forecast 49%

— PassesContext 396

— Accurate passesContext 325

— Pass accuracyContext 82%

— Team ratingContext 6.77

— FoulsContext 13.90

— Fouls sufferedContext 14.00

— Yellow cardsContext 2.20

— Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 0 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Genclerbirligi

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km661 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Antalyaspor

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel384 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Genclerbirligi	Antalyaspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 9 Aug	7.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 9 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	384 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	661 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	6.1	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Genclerbirligi Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1G. Akkan(G)

23M. Hanousek 6D. Goutas 2T. da Silva 13Pedro Pereira

77A. Dursun 8S. Onur 4Žan Žužek 11G. Gürpüz

14Michał Nalepa 10M. Mimaroğlu

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Antalyaspor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

21A. Yiğiter(G)

3K. Paal 14G. Dzhikiya 89V. Sarı 22S. van de Streek

18J. Kałuziński 6S. Dikmen

26N. Storm 10A. Ömür 11G. Vural

9T. Čvančara

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Genclerbirligi Absences are shown before kick-off

Antalyaspor Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Genclerbirligi+0.3 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Antalyaspor-0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Genclerbirligi · Home No home games yet this season.

Antalyaspor · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Genclerbirligi	Antalyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	2.00
Conceded per game	2.00	1.00
Match goals	3.00	3.00	2.70
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	51%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	55%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Genclerbirligi	Antalyaspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	2.00
Conceded per game	2.00	1.00
Match goals	3.00	3.00	2.70
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	51%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	55%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Genclerbirligi	Antalyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	3.00
Corners conceded	2.00	3.00
Match total	5.00	6.00	8.20
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	0.00	3.00
Opponent cards	1.00	3.00
Match total	1.00	6.00	4.10
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1

	Genclerbirligi	Antalyaspor	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	3.30
Corners conceded	2.00	3.60
Match total	5.00	6.90	8.20
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	20% 2/10
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	20% 2/10
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	0.00	2.20
Opponent cards	1.00	1.90
Match total	1.00	4.10	4.10
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Oguzhan Aksu Türkiye · 1 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards1.00league 3.50

Red cards0.00league 0.60

Cards 5+0%league 40%

Fouls26.0league 26.8

Penalties0.00league 0.50

Home wins100%league 40%

Genclerbirligi

No previous matches with this referee.

Antalyaspor1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.0.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L24 May 25A · Eyüpspor1–20

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.