Genclerbirligi
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
It was too close to call.
Konyaspor were the stronger side on L90 Strength (20 vs 12). Konyaspor usually keep the ball (52% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Genclerbirligi had 8 days of rest, Konyaspor 3.9 and had to travel 230 km.
Away travel230 kmRest days8 · 3.9Matches / 14d1 · 2
Genclerbirligi35%
Draw27%
Konyaspor37%
Genclerbirligi36%
Draw27%
Konyaspor37%
Genclerbirligi35%
Draw28%
Konyaspor37%
Genclerbirligi29%
Draw27%
Konyaspor45%
Genclerbirligi36%
Draw27%
Konyaspor37%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Ankara)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeHalil Umut Meler
- Cards per match 4.8
- Penalties per match 0.20
- Matches 20
Team strength
Genclerbirligi
Konyaspor
12
L90 StrengthIn forecast
20
15
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
13
AttackIn forecast
13
16
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
GenclerbirligiKonyaspor
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.67
1.44
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.56
0.87
xGVia Att/Def
1.20
1.51
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.43
+0.13
Goals minus xGContext
+0.47
78%
Scored inContext
89%
11%
Clean sheetsContext
11%
8.78
ShotsContext
13.00
3.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.44
34%
On target shareContext
34%
4.89
Shots in the boxContext
7.89
57%
Box shareContext
61%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
2.22
OffsidesContext
2.00
14.78
Shots allowedContext
12.56
4.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.11
4.33
BlocksContext
2.63
2.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.88
67%
Save rateContext
68%
40%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
296
PassesContext
381
230
Accurate passesContext
313
78%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.68
Team ratingContext
6.90
12.33
FoulsContext
11.56
13.67
Fouls sufferedContext
13.67
2.22
Yellow cardsContext
2.11
0.22
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
1.44
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
0.87
xGVia Att/Def
1.11
1.51
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.48
+0.13
Goals minus xGContext
+0.49
78%
Scored inContext
90%
11%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
8.78
ShotsContext
12.10
3.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.10
34%
On target shareContext
34%
4.89
Shots in the boxContext
7.20
57%
Box shareContext
57%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
2.22
OffsidesContext
1.88
14.78
Shots allowedContext
13.20
4.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.20
4.33
BlocksContext
3.00
2.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.89
67%
Save rateContext
67%
40%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
296
PassesContext
377
230
Accurate passesContext
309
78%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.68
Team ratingContext
6.90
12.33
FoulsContext
11.10
13.67
Fouls sufferedContext
13.30
2.22
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.22
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Genclerbirligi
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km704 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Konyaspor
Rest3.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel230 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Genclerbirligi |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 18 Oct | 3.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 22 Oct |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 230 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 704 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Genclerbirligi
Confirmed XI
18E. Erentürk(G)
23M. Hanousek
2T. da Silva
6D. Goutas
4Žan Žužek
13Pedro Pereira
70F. Tongya
35O. Ülgün
15A. Dele-Bashiru
11G. Gürpüz
29M. Niang
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
4A. Demirbağ
20R. Bazoer
23Y. Andzouana
77M. İbrahimoğlu
21J. Jo
40J. Muleka
10E. Bardhi
18A. Ndao
22M. Nayir
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Genclerbirligi
Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Genclerbirligi+0.3 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Konyaspor-0.2 pp
Home / Away this season
Genclerbirligi · Home
1.00points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.50
Konyaspor · Away
1.25points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-2-1
- Scored
- 1.75
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Genclerbirligi | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas | W 2–1 A | L 0–2 H |
| Alanyaspor | D 2–2 H | L 1–2 H |
| Eyüpspor | W 1–0 H | W 4–1 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | L 1–2 A | W 3–0 H |
| Points | 7 of 12 · 1.75 per game | 6 of 12 · 1.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Genclerbirligi | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.44 | 1.56 | |
| Match goals | 2.44 | 3.22 | 2.64 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 78% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 11% | |
| Failed to score | 22% | 11% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Genclerbirligi | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.44 | 1.56 | |
| Match goals | 2.44 | 3.22 | 2.64 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 78% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 11% | |
| Failed to score | 22% | 11% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Genclerbirligi | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.75 | 5.78 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.50 | 5.22 | |
| Match total | 9.25 | 11.00 | 9.73 |
| Over 8.5 | 63% 5/8 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 4/8 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 4/8 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.56 | 2.22 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.22 | 2.33 | |
| Match total | 4.78 | 4.55 | 5.05 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 6/9 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 56% 5/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Genclerbirligi | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.75 | 5.40 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.50 | 5.30 | |
| Match total | 9.25 | 10.70 | 9.73 |
| Over 8.5 | 63% 5/8 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 4/8 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 4/8 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.56 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.22 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 4.78 | 4.50 | 5.05 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 6/9 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 56% 5/9 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Halil Umut Meler Türkiye · 20 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.60league 4.78
Red cards0.15league 0.27
Cards 5+55%league 56%
Fouls24.8league 26.6
Penalties0.20league 0.28
Home wins30%league 38%
GenclerbirligiNo previous matches with this referee.
Konyaspor2 with this referee
Record1-0-1
Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L13 Sep 25H · Alanyaspor1–25
- W18 Apr 25A · Hatayspor3–21
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Genclerbirligi9 games · scored 9 · conceded 13
1
2
0-15
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
4
76-90
Konyaspor9 games · scored 15 · conceded 14
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
5
61-75
5
1
76-90
Genclerbirligi9 games · scored 9 · conceded 13
1
2
0-15
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
4
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 16 · conceded 16
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
6
61-75
5
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
