Serie A Gameweek 28 Sun, Mar 8 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.46 – 0.34
  • J. Messias 52’ (P)
  • Vítinha 80’
  • 55’ O. Ndicka
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Genoa beat AS Roma

AS Roma entered as favourites, but Genoa won 2–1 through goals from Messias and Vítinha. AS Roma replied through a Ndicka goal. Genoa finished with the higher xG (2.46 vs 0.34).

Genoa ✓24%
Draw28%
AS Roma48%

Model vs reality

Genoa goals
2
Model 0.94 · xG 2.46
AS Roma goals
1
Model 1.44 · xG 0.34
Total goals
3
Model 2.38 · xG 2.80
Score 2–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 43%
Both scored
Yes
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. MasiniGenoa · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeAndrea Colombo
  • VenueStadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Table before kick-offGenoa 15th · AS Roma 5th

Timeline

  1. O. NdickaYellow card
    12’
  2. P. MasiniYellow card
    16’
  3. D. MalenYellow card · Foul
    40’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ B. CristanteFor L. Venturino
    46’
  6. J. Messias (pen) 1–0
    52’
  7. O. Ndicka 1–1
    55’
  8. ⇄ N. El AynaouiFor L. Pellegrini
    56’
  9. ⇄ L. ColomboFor J. Ekhator
    64’
  10. ⇄ R. MalinovskyiFor J. Messias
    64’
  11. ⇄ D. GhilardiFor D. Rensch
    70’
  12. ⇄ VítinhaFor C. Ekuban
    75’
  13. ⇄ Aarón MartínFor M. Ellertsson
    79’
  14. Vítinha 2–1Assist P. Masini
    80’
  15. ⇄ Robinio VazFor M. Çelik
    84’
  16. ⇄ J. ZiółkowskiFor G. Mancini
    84’
  17. B. CristanteYellow card · Tripping
    89’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Genoa11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
AS Roma7 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
GenoaAS Roma
35% Possession 65%
2.46 Expected goals (xG) 0.34
2.65 Expected points (xPts) 0.23
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
5 Shots off target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 6
3 Shots outside the box 1
242 Passes 441
62% Pass accuracy 77%
3 Corners 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 5
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 6.39

Line-ups

Genoa 3-4-2-1

166.3 J. Bijlow(G)
226.3 J. Vásquez 57.5 L. Østigård 276.5 A. Marcandalli
206.9 S. Sabelli 738.0★ P. Masini A 326.5 M. Frendrup 777.3 M. Ellertsson ↓79’
186.2 C. Ekuban ↓75’ 107.3 J. Messias ↓64’
216.6 J. Ekhator ↓64’
  • 16J. Bijlow (G)6.3
  • 22J. Vásquez6.3
  • 5L. Østigård7.5
  • 27A. Marcandalli6.5
  • 20S. Sabelli6.9
  • 73P. Masini ★A8.0
  • 32M. Frendrup6.5
  • 77M. Ellertsson↓79’7.3
  • 18C. Ekuban↓75’6.2
  • 10J. Messias↓64’7.3
  • 21J. Ekhator↓64’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 3Aarón Martín↑79’6.6
  • 17R. Malinovskyi↑64’6.9
  • 9Vítinha↑75’7.2
  • 29L. Colombo↑64’6.3

Unused: D. Sommariva, N. Leali, N. Zätterström, B. Norton-Cuffy, Kris Gecaj, S. Otoa, J. Onana, Alexsandro Amorim, G. Cornet

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

996.5 M. Svilar(G)
196.2 M. Çelik ↓84’ 57.2 O. Ndicka 236.3 G. Mancini ↓84’
126.2 K. Tsimikas 176.3 K. Koné 616.2 N. Pisilli 26.6 D. Rensch ↓70’
206.3 L. Venturino ↓46’ 75.9 L. Pellegrini ↓56’
146.2 D. Malen
  • 99M. Svilar (G)6.5
  • 19M. Çelik↓84’6.2
  • 5O. Ndicka7.2
  • 23G. Mancini↓84’6.3
  • 12K. Tsimikas6.2
  • 17K. Koné6.3
  • 61N. Pisilli6.2
  • 2D. Rensch↓70’6.6
  • 20L. Venturino↓46’6.3
  • 7L. Pellegrini↓56’5.9
  • 14D. Malen6.2

Substitutes used

  • 4B. Cristante↑46’6.7
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↑56’6.5
  • 87D. Ghilardi↑70’6.5
  • 24J. Ziółkowski↑84’6.6
  • 78Robinio Vaz↑84’6.2

Unused: P. Gollini, Giorgio De Marzi, Angeliño, S. El Shaarawy, Bryan Zaragoza

Player stats

Top rated
P. MasiniGenoa8.0
2nd
L. ØstigårdGenoa7.5
3rd
M. EllertssonGenoa7.3

Genoa

AS Roma

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.