Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Aug 2 2025 · 19:45 Planet Group Arena, Gent
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.47 – 0.25
  • A. Ito 87’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ito’s late goal settles it for Gent

Gent entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Ito goal. Gent finished with the higher xG (1.47 vs 0.25).

Gent ✓53%
Draw25%
RAAL La Louvière22%

Model vs reality

Gent goals
1
Model 1.74 · xG 1.47
RAAL La Louvière goals
0
Model 1.03 · xG 0.25
Total goals
1
Model 2.77 · xG 1.72
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. ItoGent · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeNathan Verboomen
  • VenuePlanet Group Arena
  • Table before kick-offGent 15th · RAAL La Louvière 16th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ J. ItoFor S. Gueulette
    30’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. VAR A. KangaGoal cancelled
    62’
  4. ⇄ M. SonkoFor Hélio Varela
    66’
  5. ⇄ A. OmgbaFor B. Goore
    66’
  6. ⇄ O. MendyFor S. Sidibe
    66’
  7. ⇄ N. GillotFor Darío Benavides
    66’
  8. ⇄ M. El ÂdfaouiFor M. Delorge-Knieper
    76’
  9. ⇄ D. VanzeirFor F. Surdez
    76’
  10. ⇄ T. EpaillyFor M. Guindo
    77’
  11. A. Ito 1–0
    87’
  12. S. LahssainiYellow card · Argument
    88’
  13. ⇄ A. GuðjohnsenFor A. Kanga
    90’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Gent11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
RAAL La Louvière5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
GentRAAL La Louvière
77% Possession 23%
1.47 Expected goals (xG) 0.25
2.32 Expected points (xPts) 0.43
11 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
3 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
9 Shots inside the box 2
2 Shots outside the box 3
639 Passes 185
86% Pass accuracy 52%
5 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.18 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

Gent 4-4-2

337.0 D. Roef(G)
207.9 Tiago Araújo 27.9 S. Kotto 228.2 Leonardo Lopes 186.9 M. Samoise
296.7 Hélio Varela ↓66’ 158.5★ A. Ito 176.9 M. Delorge-Knieper ↓76’ 196.2 F. Surdez ↓76’
76.6 A. Kanga ↓90’ 456.2 B. Goore ↓66’
  • 33D. Roef (G)7.0
  • 20Tiago Araújo7.9
  • 2S. Kotto7.9
  • 22Leonardo Lopes8.2
  • 18M. Samoise6.9
  • 29Hélio Varela↓66’6.7
  • 15A. Ito ★8.5
  • 17M. Delorge-Knieper↓76’6.9
  • 19F. Surdez↓76’6.2
  • 7A. Kanga↓90’6.6
  • 45B. Goore↓66’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 9A. Guðjohnsen↑90’
  • 28M. El Âdfaoui↑76’6.7
  • 14D. Vanzeir↑76’6.2
  • 11M. Sonko↑66’6.2
  • 10A. Omgba↑66’6.9

Unused: S. Van der Heyden, T. Vandenberghe, T. De Vlieger, H. Gambor

RAAL La Louvière 3-4-3

217.2 M. Peano(G)
256.9 D. Lamego 136.3 M. Maisonneuve 46.6 Wagane Faye
116.6 J. Liongola 156.5 S. Lahssaini 86.9 S. Gueulette ↓30’ 196.9 Darío Benavides ↓66’
516.2 S. Sidibe ↓66’ 96.2 M. Guindo ↓77’ 106.6 M. Pau
  • 21M. Peano (G)7.2
  • 25D. Lamego6.9
  • 13M. Maisonneuve6.3
  • 4Wagane Faye6.6
  • 11J. Liongola6.6
  • 15S. Lahssaini6.5
  • 8S. Gueulette↓30’6.9
  • 19Darío Benavides↓66’6.9
  • 51S. Sidibe↓66’6.2
  • 9M. Guindo↓77’6.2
  • 10M. Pau6.6

Substitutes used

  • 12T. Epailly↑77’6.3
  • 29O. Mendy↑66’6.6
  • 3N. Gillot↑66’6.2
  • 23J. Ito↑30’6.9

Unused: A. Beka Beka, M. Riou, S. Traore, C. De Schrevel, M. Belkheir

Player stats

Top rated
A. ItoGent8.5
2nd
Leonardo LopesGent8.2
3rd
Tiago AraújoGent7.9

Gent

RAAL La Louvière

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.