Gent vs RAAL La Louvière – 2 Aug 2025

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Aug 2 · 19:45 Planet Group Arena, Gent

Gent 15th · 0 pts · 1 played L

1–0Full time

RAAL La Louvière 16th · 0 pts · 1 played L

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Gent were slight favourites.

Gent were the stronger side on L90 Strength (39 vs 25). Gent had 6.1 days of rest, RAAL La Louvière 7 and had to travel 71 km.

Away travel71 kmRest days6.1 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Gent53%

Draw25%

RAAL La Louvière22%

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.03

Gent53%

Draw25%

RAAL La Louvière22%

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.03

Gent53%

Draw25%

RAAL La Louvière22%

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.03

Gent46%

Draw26%

RAAL La Louvière28%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.16

Gent53%

Draw25%

RAAL La Louvière22%

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.03

Over 2.5 52% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Gent)

No weather data yet

RefereeNathan Verboomen

Cards per match 3.9
Penalties per match 0.08
Matches 24

Team strength

Gent

RAAL La Louvière

39 L90 StrengthIn forecast 25

46 Current StrengthIn forecast 17

46 AttackIn forecast 15

61 DefenceIn forecast 15

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gent

Attack—

Defense risk—

RAAL La Louvière

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gent

RAAL La Louvière

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def —

1.34 xGVia Att/Def —

1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

-0.24 Goals minus xGContext —

70% Scored inContext —

40% Clean sheetsContext —

12.33 ShotsContext —

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

32% On target shareContext —

8.11 Shots in the boxContext —

67% Box shareContext —

9% ConversionContext —

2.71 OffsidesContext —

13.33 Shots allowedContext —

4.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

3.56 BlocksContext —

3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext —

73% Save rateContext —

52% PossessionIn forecast —

465 PassesContext —

385 Accurate passesContext —

83% Pass accuracyContext —

6.98 Team ratingContext —

12.67 FoulsContext —

11.56 Fouls sufferedContext —

1.40 Yellow cardsContext —

0.00 Red cardsContext —

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 0 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gent

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

RAAL La Louvière

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel71 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Gent	RAAL La Louvière
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 27 Jul	7Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 26 Jul
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	71 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	7	7.7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Gent Confirmed XI

4-4-2

33D. Roef(G)

20Tiago Araújo 2S. Kotto 22Leonardo Lopes 18M. Samoise

29Hélio Varela 15A. Ito 17M. Delorge-Knieper 19F. Surdez

7A. Kanga 45B. Goore

RAAL La Louvière Confirmed XI

3-4-3

21M. Peano(G)

25D. Lamego 13M. Maisonneuve 4Wagane Faye

11J. Liongola 15S. Lahssaini 8S. Gueulette 19Darío Benavides

51S. Sidibe 9M. Guindo 10M. Pau

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Gent Absences are shown before kick-off

RAAL La Louvière Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Gent+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Gent · Home No home games yet this season.

RAAL La Louvière · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Gent	RAAL La Louvière	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.00
Conceded per game	3.00	2.00
Match goals	4.00	2.00	2.77
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	52%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	100%
Games	1	1

	Gent	RAAL La Louvière	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.00
Conceded per game	3.00	2.00
Match goals	4.00	2.00	2.77
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	52%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	100%
Games	1	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Gent	RAAL La Louvière	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	6.00
Corners conceded	4.00	1.00
Match total	10.00	7.00	9.18
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	1.00	2.00
Opponent cards	1.00	1.00
Match total	2.00	3.00	4.00
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1

	Gent	RAAL La Louvière	League
Corners
Corners won	6.22	6.00
Corners conceded	5.00	1.00
Match total	11.22	7.00	9.18
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	78% 7/9	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	1.40	2.00
Opponent cards	2.00	1.00
Match total	3.40	3.00	4.00
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	0% 0/1

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Nathan Verboomen 24 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.58league 3.91

Red cards0.29league 0.09

Cards 5+50%league 36%

Fouls22.6league 22.5

Penalties0.08league 0.36

Home wins42%league 45%

Gent1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

L1 Feb 24A · St. Truiden1–41

RAAL La Louvière

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.