Getafe vs Racing Santander – 23 Aug 2026

La Liga Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 23 · 18:30 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

Getafe 17th · 0 pts · 1 played L

1–0Full time

Racing Santander 8th · 1 pts · 1 played D

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Racing Santander. Getafe had 8 days of rest, Racing Santander 7.1 and had to travel 351 km. Weather to note: warm.

Away travel351 kmRest days8 · 7.1Matches / 14d1 · 1

Getafe40%

Draw26%

Racing Santander34%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.24

Getafe47%

Draw25%

Racing Santander28%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.15

Getafe40%

Draw26%

Racing Santander33%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.23

Getafe33%

Draw26%

Racing Santander41%

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.39

Getafe41%

Draw26%

Racing Santander33%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.26

Over 2.5 49% Both score 53% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Getafe)

32°CPartly cloudy

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 12 km/h
Humidity 25%

Warm

Referee · SpainJuan Martinez Munuera

Cards per match 4.6
Penalties per match 0.37
Matches 46

Team strength

Getafe

Racing Santander

49 L90 StrengthIn forecast 45

48 Current StrengthIn forecast 41

27 AttackIn forecast 42

59 DefenceIn forecast 22

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Racing Santander

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Getafe

Racing Santander

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.70

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

0.79 xGVia Att/Def 2.25

1.06 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.04

-0.09 Goals minus xGContext +0.45

40% Scored inContext 90%

40% Clean sheetsContext 10%

7.60 ShotsContext 17.30

3.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.90

29% On target shareContext 46%

4.90 Shots in the boxContext 12.00

61% Box shareContext 68%

9% ConversionContext 16%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.25

11.30 Shots allowedContext 12.50

4.44 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.56

2.80 BlocksContext 3.00

3.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.67

73% Save rateContext 59%

42% PossessionIn forecast 51%

272 PassesContext 424

189 Accurate passesContext 355

70% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.69 Team ratingContext 7.00

14.80 FoulsContext 14.40

14.10 Fouls sufferedContext 14.70

2.70 Yellow cardsContext 2.40

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe L

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km593 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 39 · 0 pts vs 1.2 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected

L15 AugA · Alaves0–31.2 xPts

Racing Santander D

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel351 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 48 · 1 pts vs 1.2 for an average club · -0.2 vs expected

D16 AugH · Villarreal2–21.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Getafe	Racing Santander
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8La Liga 2026-2027, 15 Aug	7.1La Liga 2026-2027, 16 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	351 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	593 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	8	5

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Confirmed XI

3-5-2

13David Soria(G)

24Z. Romero 2D. Dakonam 4S. Sazonov

22J. Mojica 16Francho Serrano 23O. Mangala 11Ramon Terrats 21Andrés García

10M. Satriano 19E. Ünal

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Racing Santander Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13Julen Agirrezabala(G)

17Jorge Salinas 5Pablo Ramón 4Manu Hernando 2Álvaro Mantilla

8G. Puerta 36Sergio Martinez

10Iñigo Vicente 20Sergio Canales 11Andrés Martín

12Asier Villalibre

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Getafe Absences are shown before kick-off

Racing Santander Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Getafe-0.2 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Racing Santander+0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home No home games yet this season.

Racing Santander · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Getafe	Racing Santander	Forecast
Scored per game	0.00	2.00
Conceded per game	3.00	2.00
Match goals	3.00	4.00	2.62
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	49%
Over 3.5	0%	100%
Both teams scored	0%	100%	53%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	100%	0%
Games	1	1

	Getafe	Racing Santander	Forecast
Scored per game	0.70	2.00
Conceded per game	1.00	2.00
Match goals	1.70	4.00	2.62
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	20%	100%	49%
Over 3.5	10%	100%
Both teams scored	10%	100%	53%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Failed to score	60%	0%
Games	10	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Getafe	Racing Santander	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	6.00
Corners conceded	5.00	10.00
Match total	8.00	16.00	9.10
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	4.00	2.00
Opponent cards	4.00	4.00
Match total	8.00	6.00	6.00
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1

	Getafe	Racing Santander	League
Corners
Corners won	4.11	5.80
Corners conceded	3.56	3.80
Match total	7.67	9.60	9.10
Over 8.5	33% 3/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	11% 1/9	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	0% 0/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	3.00	2.60
Opponent cards	3.00	2.80
Match total	6.00	5.40	6.00
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Juan Martinez Munuera Spain · 46 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.37league 5.42

Red cards0.20league 0.33

Cards 5+43%league 75%

Fouls26.4league 27.8

Penalties0.37league 0.42

Home wins50%league 42%

Getafe5 with this referee

Record4-0-1 Cards · opp.3.2 · 2.6 Pens for · against2 · 0 Reds1

W13 May 26H · Mallorca3–13
W5 Apr 26H · Athletic Club2–03
W8 Feb 26A · Alaves2–05
L24 May 25H · Celta Vigo1–24
W28 Aug 23H · Alaves1–01

Racing Santander

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.