Eredivisie Gameweek 3 Sun, Aug 23 · 11:15 De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
GO Ahead Eagles 3rd · 4 pts · 2 played
3–1Full time
ADO Den Haag 16th · 0 pts · 2 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

GO Ahead Eagles were clear favourites.

GO Ahead Eagles were the stronger side on L90 Strength (26 vs 14). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for GO Ahead Eagles. GO Ahead Eagles had 6.9 days of rest, ADO Den Haag 7 and had to travel.

Rest days6.9 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
GO Ahead Eagles65%
Draw19%
ADO Den Haag17%
Expected goals 2.30 – 1.09
GO Ahead Eagles56%
Draw23%
ADO Den Haag21%
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.00
GO Ahead Eagles65%
Draw19%
ADO Den Haag17%
Expected goals 2.30 – 1.09
GO Ahead Eagles57%
Draw21%
ADO Den Haag22%
Expected goals 2.06 – 1.22
GO Ahead Eagles64%
Draw19%
ADO Den Haag17%
Expected goals 2.29 – 1.08
Over 2.5 66% Both score 60% Likeliest score 2–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Deventer)

No weather data yet

Referee · NetherlandsSander van der Eijk
  • Cards per match 3.6
  • Penalties per match 0.18
  • Matches 67

Team strength

GO Ahead EaglesADO Den Haag
26 L90 StrengthIn forecast 14
24 Current StrengthIn forecast 15
29 AttackIn forecast 15
17 DefenceIn forecast 18
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack—
Defense risk—

ADO Den Haag

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GO Ahead EaglesADO Den Haag
3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.00
1.97 xGVia Att/Def 0.98
2.20 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.94
+1.03 Goals minus xGContext -0.48
100% Scored inContext 50%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
17.00 ShotsContext 10.00
8.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.50
47% On target shareContext 25%
11.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.00
64% Box shareContext 60%
18% ConversionContext 5%
— OffsidesContext —
20.00 Shots allowedContext 14.50
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 9.00
6.50 BlocksContext 2.50
— Goalkeeper savesContext 6.00
67% Save rateContext 67%
58% PossessionIn forecast 51%
501 PassesContext 448
420 Accurate passesContext 363
84% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.97 Team ratingContext 6.66
7.00 FoulsContext 12.50
8.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00
1.00 Yellow cardsContext 0.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.25
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.25
1.41 xGVia Att/Def —
2.07 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
+0.69 Goals minus xGContext —
70% Scored inContext 25%
40% Clean sheetsContext 0%
12.10 ShotsContext 12.00
5.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.50
44% On target shareContext 21%
8.67 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
65% Box shareContext 58%
17% ConversionContext 2%
2.14 OffsidesContext 1.00
22.40 Shots allowedContext 11.25
5.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.75
7.40 BlocksContext 3.00
4.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
77% Save rateContext 61%
50% PossessionIn forecast 57%
395 PassesContext 446
316 Accurate passesContext 360
80% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.97 Team ratingContext 6.77
7.80 FoulsContext 14.50
9.10 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50
1.10 Yellow cardsContext 1.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 4 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

GO Ahead Eagles
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km242 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 55 · 4 pts vs 3.5 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected
  • D16 AugA · Feyenoord2–20.6 xPts
  • W8 AugH · Willem II4–11.9 xPts
ADO Den Haag
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel—0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 24 · 0 pts vs 3.3 for an average club · -1.9 vs expected
  • L16 AugH · Groningen1–41.3 xPts
  • L8 AugA · AZ Alkmaar0–20.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
GO Ahead Eagles ADO Den Haag
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 16 Aug7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 16 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways242 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 21 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one6.37.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

GO Ahead Eagles Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
1C. Haug(G)
5D. James 4J. Kramer 26J. Dirksen 2A. Sampsted
21M. Meulensteen 8H. Linthorst
17M. Suray 16V. Edvardsen 10S. Tengstedt
29E. Flataker
ADO Den Haag Confirmed XI
4-4-2
1K. Nikiéma(G)
18S. Sylla 15M. Hokke 3P. Mulder 2O. Raterink
27N. Thomas 25J. Kilo 8J. Žambůrek 7D. van Mieghem
46Y. Eduardo 11E. Rottier

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
GO Ahead Eagles Absences are shown before kick-off
ADO Den Haag Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • GO Ahead Eagles+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • ADO Den Haag+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

GO Ahead Eagles · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
4.00
Conceded
1.00
ADO Den Haag · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
0.00
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

GO Ahead EaglesADO Den HaagForecast
Scored per game 3.000.50
Conceded per game 1.503.00
Match goals 4.503.50 3.40
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%50% 66%
Over 3.5 100%50%
Both teams scored 100%50% 60%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 0%50%
Games22
GO Ahead EaglesADO Den HaagForecast
Scored per game 2.100.50
Conceded per game 1.303.00
Match goals 3.403.50 3.40
Over 1.5 80%100%
Over 2.5 70%50% 66%
Over 3.5 60%50%
Both teams scored 50%50% 60%
Clean sheets 40%0%
Failed to score 30%50%
Games102

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GO Ahead EaglesADO Den HaagLeague
Corners
Corners won6.006.00
Corners conceded4.005.50
Match total10.0011.5010.95
Over 8.550% 1/250% 1/2
Over 9.550% 1/250% 1/2
Over 10.550% 1/250% 1/2
Cards
Cards1.000.50
Opponent cards0.500.50
Match total1.501.002.20
Over 3.50% 0/20% 0/2
Over 4.50% 0/20% 0/2
GO Ahead EaglesADO Den HaagLeague
Corners
Corners won5.305.00
Corners conceded6.604.50
Match total11.909.5010.95
Over 8.580% 8/1025% 1/4
Over 9.580% 8/1025% 1/4
Over 10.580% 8/1025% 1/4
Cards
Cards1.201.00
Opponent cards0.701.50
Match total1.902.502.20
Over 3.510% 1/1025% 1/4
Over 4.510% 1/1025% 1/4

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Sander van der Eijk Netherlands · 67 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.33league 2.10
Red cards0.27league 0.10
Cards 5+31%league 10%
Fouls21.9league 20.8
Penalties0.18league 0.00
Home wins48%league 29%
GO Ahead Eagles5 with this referee
Record1-1-3 Cards · opp.1.6 · 1.2 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1
  • L17 May 26A · NEC Nijmegen1–22
  • L18 Oct 25A · PSV Eindhoven1–21
  • W9 Mar 25A · NEC Nijmegen3–21
  • D15 Dec 24A · Utrecht3–33
  • L3 Dec 23H · Twente1–31
ADO Den Haag

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

GO Ahead Eagles2 games · scored 6 · conceded 3
1 0-15
1 16-30
2 31-45
46-60
4 61-75
1 76-90
ADO Den Haag2 games · scored 1 · conceded 6
1 0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
2 61-75
1 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 21 · conceded 13
4 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
2 5 31-45
3 1 46-60
6 1 61-75
4 1 76-90
ADO Den Haag4 games · scored 1 · conceded 9
2 0-15
1 16-30
2 31-45
1 46-60
3 61-75
1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Fortuna Sittard AZ Alkmaar 02 Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht 33 Heerenveen PEC Zwolle 02 GO Ahead Eagles ADO Den Haag 31 PSV Eindhoven Groningen 51 Cambuur Feyenoord 25 NEC Nijmegen Excelsior 22 Twente Telstar 10 Ajax Willem II 51