Primeira Liga Gameweek 24 Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 20:30 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.30 – 1.96
  • Samu 46’
  • 66’ Figueiredo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guimaraes and Alverca share the points

Guimaraes entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 46 minutes through a Samu goal. But Figueiredo scored to rescue a draw for Alverca. Alverca finished with the higher xG (1.96 vs 1.30). On the chances created, Alverca deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Guimaraes54%
Draw ✓25%
Alverca21%

Model vs reality

Guimaraes goals
1
Model 1.73 · xG 1.30
Alverca goals
1
Model 1.00 · xG 1.96
Total goals
2
Model 2.73 · xG 3.26
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchChiquinhoAlverca · 1 assist
8.9
  • RefereeLuis Carlos Mateus Filipe
  • VenueEstádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Table before kick-offGuimaraes 9th · Alverca 10th

Timeline

  1. Diogo SousaYellow card
    35’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. Samu 1–0Assist A. Ndoye
    46’
  4. ⇄ Gonçalo NogueiraFor Diogo Sousa
    56’
  5. Figueiredo 1–1Assist Chiquinho
    66’
  6. ⇄ Sandro LimaFor M. Milovanović
    72’
  7. ⇄ Telmo ArcanjoFor Gustavo Silva
    73’
  8. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor Chiquinho
    85’
  9. ⇄ Vasco MoreiraFor Lincoln
    85’
  10. ⇄ O. LebedenkoFor J. Teixeira Mendes
    85’
  11. ⇄ O. CamaraFor N. Saviolo
    85’
  12. RhaldneyYellow card
    86’
  13. Kaiky NavesYellow card
    89’
  14. ⇄ D. GuiFor Rhaldney
    90’
  15. ⇄ S. BaseyaFor Figueiredo
    90+1’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Guimaraes15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Alverca10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
GuimaraesAlverca
53% Possession 47%
1.30 Expected goals (xG) 1.96
0.98 Expected points (xPts) 1.80
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 3
444 Passes 391
87% Pass accuracy 82%
0 Corners 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
16 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 7.11

Line-ups

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

277.2 Charles(G)
136.5 J. Teixeira Mendes ↓85’ 267.3 R. Abascal 286.2 Thiago Balieiro 667.5 T. Strata
236.6 Diogo Sousa ↓56’ 166.7 Beni
486.3 N. Saviolo ↓85’ 207.3 Samu 116.6 Gustavo Silva ↓73’
906.9 A. Ndoye A
  • 27Charles (G)7.2
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes↓85’6.5
  • 26R. Abascal7.3
  • 28Thiago Balieiro6.2
  • 66T. Strata7.5
  • 23Diogo Sousa↓56’6.6
  • 16Beni6.7
  • 48N. Saviolo↓85’6.3
  • 20Samu7.3
  • 11Gustavo Silva↓73’6.6
  • 90A. NdoyeA6.9

Substitutes used

  • 30Gonçalo Nogueira↑56’6.5
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↑73’6.7
  • 17O. Lebedenko↑85’6.3
  • 19O. Camara↑85’6.5

Unused: Juan Castillo, Miguel Maga, André Oliveira, Matija Mitrović, Fabio Blanco

Alverca 3-4-3

137.9 André Gomes(G)
336.6 B. Meupiyou 56.6 Sergi Gómez 46.9 Kaiky Naves
127.2 Isaac James 186.7 Lincoln ↓85’ 266.6 Rhaldney ↓90’ 26.9 Zoubdi
108.9★ Chiquinho A↓85’ 96.3 M. Milovanović ↓72’ 207.6 Figueiredo ↓90’
  • 13André Gomes (G)7.9
  • 33B. Meupiyou6.6
  • 5Sergi Gómez6.6
  • 4Kaiky Naves6.9
  • 12Isaac James7.2
  • 18Lincoln↓85’6.7
  • 26Rhaldney↓90’6.6
  • 2Zoubdi6.9
  • 10Chiquinho ★A↓85’8.9
  • 9M. Milovanović↓72’6.3
  • 20Figueiredo↓90’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 91Sandro Lima↑72’6.9
  • 14S. Baseya↑90’
  • 6D. Gui↑90’6.7
  • 17Vasco Moreira↑85’6.6
  • 98Fabrício Garcia↑85’6.9

Unused: Matheus Mendes, Julián Jose Martinez, Diogo Spencer, M. Clairicia

Player stats

Top rated
ChiquinhoAlverca8.9
2nd
André GomesAlverca7.9
3rd
FigueiredoAlverca7.6

Guimaraes

Alverca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.