Primeira Liga Gameweek 20 Fri, Jan 30 2026 · 20:45 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.46 – 0.77
  • Samu 66’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Samu goal decides it for Guimaraes

Guimaraes entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Samu goal. Guimaraes finished with the higher xG (1.46 vs 0.77). On the chances created, Moreirense deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Guimaraes ✓48%
Draw26%
Moreirense26%

Model vs reality

Guimaraes goals
1
Model 1.58 · xG 1.46
Moreirense goals
0
Model 1.10 · xG 0.77
Total goals
1
Model 2.68 · xG 2.23
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDiogo SousaGuimaraes
8.3
  • RefereeAntonio Nobre
  • VenueEstádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Table before kick-offGuimaraes 9th · Moreirense 6th

Timeline

  1. G. Dambi BatistaYellow card
    42’
  2. Miguel MagaYellow card · misses next match
    43’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ SamuFor O. Camara
    46’
  5. Dinis PintoYellow card
    56’
  6. ⇄ Kiko BondosoFor Landerson
    58’
  7. ⇄ A. NdoyeFor Nélson Oliveira
    63’
  8. M. StjepanovićYellow card · misses next match
    65’
  9. Samu (pen) 1–0
    66’
  10. ⇄ Fabio BlancoFor Gustavo Silva
    69’
  11. ⇄ N. JohnFor Rodri Alonso
    73’
  12. ⇄ MaranhãoFor Álvaro Martínez
    80’
  13. ⇄ Matija MitrovićFor Diogo Sousa
    80’
  14. ⇄ Leandro SantosFor Dinis Pinto
    80’
  15. MaranhãoYellow card
    83’
  16. N. JohnYellow card
    90’
  17. SamuYellow card
    90+21’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Guimaraes12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Moreirense10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
GuimaraesMoreirense
44% Possession 56%
1.46 Expected goals (xG) 0.77
1.87 Expected points (xPts) 0.86
12 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 6
357 Passes 468
78% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
18 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.45

Line-ups

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

277.0 Charles(G)
136.6 J. Teixeira Mendes 266.6 R. Abascal 36.9 M. Nóbrega 666.5 T. Strata
238.3★ Diogo Sousa ↓80’ 167.3 Beni
487.5 N. Saviolo 116.2 Gustavo Silva ↓69’ 196.7 O. Camara ↓46’
76.3 Nélson Oliveira ↓63’
  • 27Charles (G)7.0
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes6.6
  • 26R. Abascal6.6
  • 3M. Nóbrega6.9
  • 66T. Strata6.5
  • 23Diogo Sousa ★↓80’8.3
  • 16Beni7.3
  • 48N. Saviolo7.5
  • 11Gustavo Silva↓69’6.2
  • 19O. Camara↓46’6.7
  • 7Nélson Oliveira↓63’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 20Samu↑46’7.6
  • 90A. Ndoye↑63’7.2
  • 22Fabio Blanco↑69’6.5
  • 6Matija Mitrović↑80’6.6

Unused: Juan Castillo, Miguel Maga, O. Lebedenko, Thiago Balieiro, Telmo Arcanjo

Moreirense 4-4-2

137.5 André Ferreira(G)
176.6 Álvaro Martínez ↓80’ 666.3 G. Dambi Batista 85.3 M. Stjepanović 766.2 Dinis Pinto ↓80’
26.9 Diogo Travassos 256.6 Afonso Assis 216.2 Rodri Alonso ↓73’ 786.3 Landerson ↓58’
116.9 Alan 95.9 Luís Semedo
  • 13André Ferreira (G)7.5
  • 17Álvaro Martínez↓80’6.6
  • 66G. Dambi Batista6.3
  • 8M. Stjepanović5.3
  • 76Dinis Pinto↓80’6.2
  • 2Diogo Travassos6.9
  • 25Afonso Assis6.6
  • 21Rodri Alonso↓73’6.2
  • 78Landerson↓58’6.3
  • 11Alan6.9
  • 9Luís Semedo5.9

Substitutes used

  • 10Kiko Bondoso↑58’6.9
  • 23N. John↑73’6.2
  • 71Leandro Santos↑80’6.7
  • 99Maranhão↑80’6.2

Unused: Mika, Kiko, Miguel Silva, J. Gower, Cedric Teguia

Player stats

Top rated
Diogo SousaGuimaraes8.3
2nd
SamuGuimaraes7.6
3rd
N. SavioloGuimaraes7.5

Guimaraes

Moreirense

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.