Primeira Liga Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 4 2025 · 20:30 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
2–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.13 – 1.02
  • A. Ndoye 73’
  • Samu 78’
  • 6’ Vinícius Lopes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guimaraes come from behind to beat Santa Clara

Guimaraes entered as favourites, yet Santa Clara led 1–0 at half-time through a Lopes goal. But Ndoye and Samu scored to turn it around for Guimaraes, who won 2–1. Guimaraes finished with the higher xG (2.13 vs 1.02).

Guimaraes ✓55%
Draw25%
Santa Clara20%

Model vs reality

Guimaraes goals
2
Model 1.71 · xG 2.13
Santa Clara goals
1
Model 0.94 · xG 1.02
Total goals
3
Model 2.65 · xG 3.15
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 49%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchSamuGuimaraes · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeJoao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves
  • VenueEstádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Table before kick-offGuimaraes 11th · Santa Clara 10th

Timeline

  1. Vinícius Lopes 0–1Assist Wendel
    6’
  2. Sidney LimaYellow card
    13’
  3. Vinícius LopesYellow card
    28’
  4. N. SavioloYellow card
    30’
  5. BeniYellow card
    36’
  6. Half time · 0–1
  7. ⇄ Diogo CalilaFor Lucas Soares
    46’
  8. ⇄ O. LebedenkoFor J. Teixeira Mendes
    46’
  9. ⇄ Matija MitrovićFor M. Nogueira
    46’
  10. ⇄ A. NdoyeFor Nélson Oliveira
    46’
  11. ⇄ SerginhoFor Luquinhas
    59’
  12. ⇄ Telmo ArcanjoFor Beni
    59’
  13. ⇄ Paulo VictorFor Vinícius Lopes
    60’
  14. ⇄ Elias ManoelFor Diogo Calila
    65’
  15. ⇄ O. CamaraFor N. Saviolo
    69’
  16. Fabio BlancoYellow card
    72’
  17. A. Ndoye 1–1Assist Samu
    73’
  18. ⇄ Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosFor Wendel
    77’
  19. Samu 2–1
    78’
  20. Matheus PereiraYellow card
    81’
  21. Juan CastilloYellow card
    82’
  22. AdrianoYellow card
    83’
  23. Elias ManoelYellow card
    88’
  24. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Guimaraes14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Santa Clara10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
GuimaraesSanta Clara
53% Possession 47%
2.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
2.08 Expected points (xPts) 0.72
14 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 6
1 Blocked shots 0
8 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 3
407 Passes 384
81% Pass accuracy 80%
9 Corners 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
17 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

256.3 Juan Castillo(G)
137.0 J. Teixeira Mendes ↓46’ 267.7 R. Abascal 46.9 Óscar Rivas 26.3 Miguel Maga
208.3★ Samu A 165.9 Beni ↓59’
227.2 Fabio Blanco 886.2 M. Nogueira ↓46’ 486.2 N. Saviolo ↓69’
77.0 Nélson Oliveira ↓46’
  • 25Juan Castillo (G)6.3
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes↓46’7.0
  • 26R. Abascal7.7
  • 4Óscar Rivas6.9
  • 2Miguel Maga6.3
  • 20Samu ★A8.3
  • 16Beni↓59’5.9
  • 22Fabio Blanco7.2
  • 88M. Nogueira↓46’6.2
  • 48N. Saviolo↓69’6.2
  • 7Nélson Oliveira↓46’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 17O. Lebedenko↑46’7.0
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↑59’6.9
  • 6Matija Mitrović↑46’6.3
  • 19O. Camara↑69’6.5
  • 90A. Ndoye↑46’6.9

Unused: Charles, M. Nóbrega, T. Strata, Diogo Sousa

Santa Clara 3-4-2-1

18.2 Gabriel Batista(G)
326.3 MT 216.9 F. Ferrão Venâncio 235.9 Sidney Lima
36.9 Matheus Pereira 66.6 Adriano 86.9 Pedro Ferreira 426.7 Lucas Soares ↓46’
286.6 Luquinhas ↓59’ 707.2 Vinícius Lopes ↓60’
297.2 Wendel A↓77’
  • 1Gabriel Batista (G)8.2
  • 32MT6.3
  • 21F. Ferrão Venâncio6.9
  • 23Sidney Lima5.9
  • 3Matheus Pereira6.9
  • 6Adriano6.6
  • 8Pedro Ferreira6.9
  • 42Lucas Soares↓46’6.7
  • 28Luquinhas↓59’6.6
  • 70Vinícius Lopes↓60’7.2
  • 29WendelA↓77’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 64Paulo Victor↑60’6.0
  • 2Diogo Calila6.3
  • 35Serginho↑59’6.3
  • 7Elias Manoel↑65’6.3
  • 11Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos↑77’6.9

Unused: Neneca, Luís Rocha, José Tavares, Anthony Carter

Player stats

Top rated
SamuGuimaraes8.3
2nd
Gabriel BatistaSanta Clara8.2
3rd
R. AbascalGuimaraes7.7

Guimaraes

Santa Clara

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.