Bundesliga Gameweek 26 Sat, Mar 14 2026 · 17:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.08 – 1.18
  • Fábio Vieira 39’
  • 45’ S. El Mala
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV and 1.FC Köln share the points

Hamburger SV entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 39 minutes through a Vieira goal. But Mala scored to rescue a draw for 1.FC Köln. 1.FC Köln finished with the higher xG (1.18 vs 0.08). On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Hamburger SV49%
Draw ✓25%
1.FC Köln27%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
1
Model 1.72 · xG 0.08
1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 1.18
Total goals
2
Model 2.95 · xG 1.26
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchFábio VieiraHamburger SV · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeTobias Welz
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 10th · 1.FC Köln 14th

Timeline

  1. S. El MalaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    32’
  2. K. LundYellow card · Foul
    36’
  3. Fábio Vieira 1–0Assist W. Mikelbrencis
    39’
  4. N. RembergYellow card · Roughing
    41’
  5. S. El Mala 1–1Assist R. van den Berg
    45’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. ⇄ L. MainaFor Y. Niang
    46’
  8. ⇄ Jean-Luc DompeFor R. Königsdörffer
    66’
  9. ⇄ Otto StangeFor D. Downs
    67’
  10. ⇄ S. SebulonsenFor S. El Mala
    74’
  11. ⇄ M. BülterFor R. Ache
    75’
  12. J. KamińskiYellow card · Roughing
    76’
  13. ⇄ Daniel ElfadliFor J. Torunarigha
    79’
  14. ⇄ F. BaldeFor W. Mikelbrencis
    79’
  15. ⇄ Felipe Marlon ChávezFor T. Krauß
    84’
  16. ⇄ F. KainzFor J. Kamiński
    90+1’
  17. ⇄ P. OteleFor Fábio Vieira
    90+2’
  18. M. MuheimYellow card · Tripping
    90+6’
  19. S. SebulonsenYellow card · misses next match
    90+8’
  20. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Hamburger SV3 shots · 3 in box
1.FC Köln10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Hamburger SV1.FC Köln
45% Possession 55%
0.08 Expected goals (xG) 1.18
0.39 Expected points (xPts) 2.30
3 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
1 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Shots inside the box 7
0 Shots outside the box 3
374 Passes 453
81% Pass accuracy 83%
0 Corners 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.56

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

16.5 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
257.3 J. Torunarigha ↓79’ 446.6 L. Vušković 177.0 W. Omari
287.3 M. Muheim 66.5 A. Sambi Lokonga 216.6 N. Remberg 27.0 W. Mikelbrencis A↓79’
116.3 R. Königsdörffer ↓66’ 207.7★ Fábio Vieira ↓90’
196.3 D. Downs ↓67’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.5
  • 25J. Torunarigha↓79’7.3
  • 44L. Vušković6.6
  • 17W. Omari7.0
  • 28M. Muheim7.3
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga6.5
  • 21N. Remberg6.6
  • 2W. MikelbrencisA↓79’7.0
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓66’6.3
  • 20Fábio Vieira ★↓90’7.7
  • 19D. Downs↓67’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 8Daniel Elfadli↑79’6.6
  • 27P. Otele↑90’
  • 45F. Balde↑79’6.5
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↑66’6.6
  • 49Otto Stange↑67’6.3

Unused: S. Tangvik, G. Gocholeishvili, R. Glatzel, Rayan Philippe

1.FC Köln 4-2-3-1

16.2 M. Schwäbe(G)
326.5 K. Lund 397.2 C. Özkacar 336.7 R. van den Berg A 56.2 T. Krauß ↓84’
67.0 E. Martel 186.3 Í. Jóhannesson
136.6 S. El Mala ↓74’ 166.9 J. Kamiński ↓90’ 386.3 Y. Niang ↓46’
96.3 R. Ache ↓75’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)6.2
  • 32K. Lund6.5
  • 39C. Özkacar7.2
  • 33R. van den BergA6.7
  • 5T. Krauß↓84’6.2
  • 6E. Martel7.0
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson6.3
  • 13S. El Mala↓74’6.6
  • 16J. Kamiński↓90’6.9
  • 38Y. Niang↓46’6.3
  • 9R. Ache↓75’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 37L. Maina↑46’6.2
  • 28S. Sebulonsen↑74’6.3
  • 11F. Kainz↑90’
  • 27Felipe Marlon Chávez↑84’6.6
  • 30M. Bülter↑75’6.7

Unused: R. Zieler, D. Heintz, Cenny Neumann, G. Waldschmidt

Player stats

Top rated
Fábio VieiraHamburger SV7.7
2nd
J. TorunarighaHamburger SV7.3
3rd
M. MuheimHamburger SV7.3

Hamburger SV

1.FC Köln

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.