Bundesliga Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 19 2026 · 14:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.45 – 1.41
1.FC Köln
  • N. Capaldo 44’
  • Y. Poulsen 49’
  • 90’ R. Ache
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV beat 1.FC Köln

Hamburger SV entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Capaldo and Poulsen. 1.FC Köln replied through a Ache goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.45 and 1.41. On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hamburger SV ✓42%
Draw25%
1.FC Köln33%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
2
Model 1.56 · xG 1.45
1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.34 · xG 1.41
Total goals
3
Model 2.90 · xG 2.86
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. GrønbækHamburger SV · 2 assists
8.0
  • RefereeMatthias Jollenbeck
  • CoachesM. Polzin · Rene Wagner
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 18th · 1.FC Köln 12th
  • Weather at kick-off19°C · Overcast · wind 18 km/h

Timeline

  1. A. GrønbækYellow card · Foul
    10’
  2. N. Capaldo 1–0Assist A. Grønbæk
    44’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ Y. PoulsenFor T. Moffi
    46’
  5. Y. Poulsen 2–0Assist A. Grønbæk
    49’
  6. G. MensahYellow card · Foul
    54’
  7. ⇄ B. SosaFor G. Mensah
    64’
  8. ⇄ R. AcheFor T. Dallinga
    64’
  9. ⇄ P. DakaFor A. Grønbæk
    67’
  10. ⇄ Í. JóhannessonFor A. Castro-Montes
    67’
  11. Í. JóhannessonYellow card · Foul
    77’
  12. ⇄ Louis LemkeFor D. Møller Wolfe
    77’
  13. ⇄ B. JattaFor Z. El Ouahdi
    77’
  14. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor T. Krauß
    81’
  15. ⇄ M. BülterFor L. Maina
    81’
  16. E. SkhiriYellow card · Foul
    84’
  17. ⇄ M. AdelineFor A. Sambi Lokonga
    90’
  18. R. Ache 2–1Assist E. Skhiri
    90’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Hamburger SV12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
1.FC Köln18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Hamburger SV1.FC Köln
32% Possession 68%
1.45 Expected goals (xG) 1.41
1.40 Expected points (xPts) 1.35
12 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 5
4 Shots off target 6
1 Blocked shots 7
7 Shots inside the box 12
5 Shots outside the box 6
267 Passes 566
75% Pass accuracy 88%
3 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.04 Team rating 6.64

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

17.2 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
177.0 W. Omari 236.6 J. Torunarigha 247.6 N. Capaldo
36.9 D. Møller Wolfe ↓77’ 216.7 N. Remberg 66.6 A. Sambi Lokonga ↓90’ 77.5 Z. El Ouahdi ↓77’
118.0★ A. Grønbæk AA↓67’ 206.9 Fábio Vieira
96.2 T. Moffi ↓46’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)7.2
  • 17W. Omari7.0
  • 23J. Torunarigha6.6
  • 24N. Capaldo7.6
  • 3D. Møller Wolfe↓77’6.9
  • 21N. Remberg6.7
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↓90’6.6
  • 7Z. El Ouahdi↓77’7.5
  • 11A. Grønbæk ★A×2↓67’8.0
  • 20Fábio Vieira6.9
  • 9T. Moffi↓46’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 37Louis Lemke↑77’6.3
  • 5M. Adeline↑90’
  • 27P. Daka↑67’6.3
  • 18B. Jatta↑77’6.3
  • 15Y. Poulsen↑46’8.0

Unused: S. Tangvik, S. Nandja, B. Nadir, Otto Stange

Coach: M. Polzin

1.FC Köln 4-2-3-1

17.2 M. Schwäbe(G)
146.6 G. Mensah ↓64’ 247.2 L. Lochoshvili 226.9 J. Simpson-Pusey 176.5 A. Castro-Montes ↓67’
66.9 E. Skhiri A 56.2 T. Krauß ↓81’
106.0 S. El Mala 476.0 M. Moore 376.9 L. Maina ↓81’
276.2 T. Dallinga ↓64’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)7.2
  • 14G. Mensah↓64’6.6
  • 24L. Lochoshvili7.2
  • 22J. Simpson-Pusey6.9
  • 17A. Castro-Montes↓67’6.5
  • 6E. SkhiriA6.9
  • 5T. Krauß↓81’6.2
  • 10S. El Mala6.0
  • 47M. Moore6.0
  • 37L. Maina↓81’6.9
  • 27T. Dallinga↓64’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 3B. Sosa↑64’6.9
  • 8Í. Jóhannesson↑67’6.2
  • 7G. Waldschmidt↑81’6.3
  • 9R. Ache↑64’7.5
  • 30M. Bülter↑81’6.9

Unused: R. Zieler, Joel Schmied, S. Sebulonsen, J. Thielmann

Coach: Rene Wagner

Player stats

Top rated
A. GrønbækHamburger SV8.0
2nd
Y. PoulsenHamburger SV8.0
3rd
N. CapaldoHamburger SV7.6

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 59% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
W. Omari D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 31 0 1 0/0 1/1 7.0
J. Torunarigha D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 25 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.6
N. Capaldo M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 61% 28 4 5 0/0 2/1 7.6
D. Møller Wolfe D 77 0 0 0 (0) 1 47% 15 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 93% 27 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Sambi Lokonga M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 28 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
Z. El Ouahdi D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 24 5 2 1/2 0/3 7.5
A. Grønbæk M 67 0 2 0 (0) 3 83% 6 0 0 1/3 2/2 8.0
Fábio Vieira M 90 0 0 4 (4) 2 84% 19 1 1 1/2 0/3 6.9
T. Moffi F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
Louis Lemke D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Adeline M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
P. Daka F 23 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 6 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
B. Jatta M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 56% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Y. Poulsen F 44 1 0 3 (2) 1 91% 11 1 0 1/2 0/2 8.0

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 85% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
G. Mensah D 64 0 0 0 (0) 2 91% 66 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.6
L. Lochoshvili D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 95% 99 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
J. Simpson-Pusey D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 91 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.9
A. Castro-Montes M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
E. Skhiri M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 94% 67 2 0 0/0 3/0 6.9
T. Krauß M 81 0 0 0 (0) 2 79% 47 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.2
S. El Mala F 90 0 0 3 (2) 3 85% 27 1 0 3/11 3/0 6.0
M. Moore F 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 74% 31 1 2 3/6 0/0 6.0
L. Maina M 81 0 0 0 (0) 3 95% 22 0 1 0/0 0/3 6.9
T. Dallinga F 64 0 0 2 (1) 2 90% 10 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
B. Sosa D 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 19 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
Í. Jóhannesson M 23 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 19 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
G. Waldschmidt F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Ache F 26 1 0 2 (1) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
M. Bülter F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/3 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.