Bundesliga Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 25 2026 · 17:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
1–2 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.25 – 1.39
  • R. Glatzel 34’ (P)
  • 18’ F. Asllani
  • 45’ T. Lemperle
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

1899 Hoffenheim beat Hamburger SV

1899 Hoffenheim entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Asllani and Lemperle. Hamburger SV replied through a Glatzel goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.25 and 1.39. On the chances created, Hamburger SV deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hamburger SV23%
Draw21%
1899 Hoffenheim ✓56%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
1
Model 1.41 · xG 1.25
1899 Hoffenheim goals
2
Model 2.24 · xG 1.39
Total goals
3
Model 3.66 · xG 2.64
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–2 (9%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 71%
Both scored
Yes
Model 68%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. GlatzelHamburger SV · 1 goal
8.0
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 14th · 1899 Hoffenheim 6th

Timeline

  1. R. HranáčYellow card · Tripping
    8’
  2. F. Asllani 0–1Assist V. Coufal
    18’
  3. O. BaumannYellow card · Tripping
    32’
  4. R. Glatzel (pen) 1–1
    34’
  5. T. Lemperle 1–2Assist A. Hajdari
    45’
  6. Half time · 1–2
  7. ⇄ BernardoFor R. Hranáč
    46’
  8. N. RembergYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    49’
  9. ⇄ G. PrömelFor F. Asllani
    64’
  10. ⇄ Otto StangeFor R. Glatzel
    64’
  11. G. PrömelYellow card
    69’
  12. W. BurgerYellow card · Tripping
    71’
  13. ⇄ A. PrassFor A. Kramarić
    75’
  14. ⇄ A. Sambi LokongaFor W. Mikelbrencis
    75’
  15. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor B. Jatta
    75’
  16. ⇄ W. CampbellFor B. Toure
    86’
  17. ⇄ M. MoerstedtFor T. Lemperle
    86’
  18. ⇄ D. DownsFor A. Grønbæk
    88’
  19. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor W. Omari
    88’
  20. A. Sambi LokongaYellow card · Tripping
    90+2’
  21. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Hamburger SV10 shots · 9 in box, 1 outside
1899 Hoffenheim14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Hamburger SV1899 Hoffenheim
41% Possession 59%
1.25 Expected goals (xG) 1.39
1.27 Expected points (xPts) 1.47
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 8
1 Shots outside the box 6
305 Passes 422
75% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2

17.5 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
176.7 W. Omari ↓88’ 257.0 J. Torunarigha 246.9 N. Capaldo
27.0 W. Mikelbrencis ↓75’ 236.9 A. Grønbæk ↓88’ 216.3 N. Remberg 186.3 B. Jatta ↓75’
207.5 Fábio Vieira
117.0 R. Königsdörffer 98.0★ R. Glatzel ↓64’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)7.5
  • 17W. Omari↓88’6.7
  • 25J. Torunarigha7.0
  • 24N. Capaldo6.9
  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↓75’7.0
  • 23A. Grønbæk↓88’6.9
  • 21N. Remberg6.3
  • 18B. Jatta↓75’6.3
  • 20Fábio Vieira7.5
  • 11R. Königsdörffer7.0
  • 9R. Glatzel ★↓64’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑75’6.7
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↑75’6.6
  • 14Rayan Philippe↑88’
  • 19D. Downs↑88’
  • 49Otto Stange↑64’6.5

Unused: S. Tangvik, Daniel Elfadli, S. Nandja, N. Katterbach

1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-2-1

16.3 O. Baumann(G)
217.2 A. Hajdari A 57.5 O. Kabak 26.5 R. Hranáč ↓46’
296.5 B. Toure ↓86’ 186.3 W. Burger 77.5 L. Avdullahu 347.9 V. Coufal A
276.2 A. Kramarić ↓75’ 116.7 F. Asllani ↓64’
197.2 T. Lemperle ↓86’
  • 1O. Baumann (G)6.3
  • 21A. HajdariA7.2
  • 5O. Kabak7.5
  • 2R. Hranáč↓46’6.5
  • 29B. Toure↓86’6.5
  • 18W. Burger6.3
  • 7L. Avdullahu7.5
  • 34V. CoufalA7.9
  • 27A. Kramarić↓75’6.2
  • 11F. Asllani↓64’6.7
  • 19T. Lemperle↓86’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 13Bernardo↑46’6.9
  • 6G. Prömel↑64’6.3
  • 22A. Prass↑75’6.2
  • 20W. Campbell↑86’
  • 33M. Moerstedt↑86’

Unused: L. Philipp, K. Akpoguma, M. Damar, I. Bebou

Player stats

Top rated
R. GlatzelHamburger SV8.0
2nd
V. Coufal1899 Hoffenheim7.9
3rd
D. Heuer FernandesHamburger SV7.5

Hamburger SV

1899 Hoffenheim

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.