Bundesliga Gameweek 24 Sun, Mar 1 2026 · 18:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.52 – 2.70
RB Leipzig
  • Fábio Vieira 22’
  • 36’ Rômulo
  • 50’ Y. Diomande
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RB Leipzig come from behind to beat Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig entered as narrow favourites, yet Hamburger SV led 1–0 after 22 minutes through a Vieira goal. But Rômulo and Diomande scored to turn it around for RB Leipzig, who won 2–1. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (2.70 vs 0.52).

Hamburger SV31%
Draw24%
RB Leipzig ✓45%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
1
Model 1.41 · xG 0.52
RB Leipzig goals
2
Model 1.73 · xG 2.70
Total goals
3
Model 3.14 · xG 3.22
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 63%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. DiomandeRB Leipzig · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeBastian Dankert
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 11th · RB Leipzig 5th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ W. OmariFor N. Capaldo
    20’
  2. Fábio Vieira 1–0Assist W. Mikelbrencis
    22’
  3. V. OrbánYellow card · Tripping
    31’
  4. Rômulo 1–1Assist R. Baku
    36’
  5. P. OteleYellow card · Foul
    45+3’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. Y. Diomande 1–2Assist Rômulo
    50’
  8. ✕ RômuloMissed penalty
    62’
  9. RômuloYellow card · Roughing
    63’
  10. ⇄ A. Sambi LokongaFor R. Königsdörffer
    67’
  11. ⇄ Jean-Luc DompeFor P. Otele
    67’
  12. ⇄ Y. PoulsenFor D. Downs
    67’
  13. ⇄ E. BanzuziFor A. Nusa
    72’
  14. ⇄ Tidiam GomisFor B. Gruda
    72’
  15. M. MuheimYellow card
    81’
  16. Y. PoulsenYellow card · Roughing
    82’
  17. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor Fábio Vieira
    87’
  18. ⇄ B. HenrichsFor Y. Diomande
    90+1’
  19. ⇄ C. HarderFor Rômulo
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Hamburger SV6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
RB Leipzig13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
Hamburger SVRB Leipzig
41% Possession 59%
0.52 Expected goals (xG) 2.70
0.27 Expected points (xPts) 2.61
6 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Shots inside the box 10
3 Shots outside the box 3
348 Passes 496
80% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

17.2 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
256.2 J. Torunarigha 446.9 L. Vušković 246.3 N. Capaldo ↓20’
287.0 M. Muheim 216.9 N. Remberg 207.3 Fábio Vieira ↓87’ 26.9 W. Mikelbrencis A
276.7 P. Otele ↓67’ 116.9 R. Königsdörffer ↓67’
196.9 D. Downs ↓67’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)7.2
  • 25J. Torunarigha6.2
  • 44L. Vušković6.9
  • 24N. Capaldo↓20’6.3
  • 28M. Muheim7.0
  • 21N. Remberg6.9
  • 20Fábio Vieira↓87’7.3
  • 2W. MikelbrencisA6.9
  • 27P. Otele↓67’6.7
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓67’6.9
  • 19D. Downs↓67’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 17W. Omari↑20’6.9
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↑67’6.7
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↑67’6.6
  • 15Y. Poulsen↑67’6.5
  • 14Rayan Philippe↑87’

Unused: S. Tangvik, Daniel Elfadli, G. Gocholeishvili, R. Glatzel

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

266.9 M. Vandevoordt(G)
226.9 D. Raum 236.6 C. Lukeba 47.2 V. Orbán 176.9 R. Baku A
146.6 C. Baumgartner 136.7 N. Seiwald 106.2 B. Gruda ↓72’
76.5 A. Nusa ↓72’ 407.2 Rômulo A↓90’ 498.5★ Y. Diomande ↓90’
  • 26M. Vandevoordt (G)6.9
  • 22D. Raum6.9
  • 23C. Lukeba6.6
  • 4V. Orbán7.2
  • 17R. BakuA6.9
  • 14C. Baumgartner6.6
  • 13N. Seiwald6.7
  • 10B. Gruda↓72’6.2
  • 7A. Nusa↓72’6.5
  • 40RômuloA↓90’7.2
  • 49Y. Diomande ★↓90’8.5

Substitutes used

  • 27Tidiam Gomis↑72’6.7
  • 6E. Banzuzi↑72’6.5
  • 39B. Henrichs↑90’
  • 11C. Harder↑90’

Unused: L. Zingerle, M. Finkgräfe, L. Klostermann, E. Bitshiabu, S. Bakayoko

Player stats

Top rated
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig8.5
2nd
Fábio VieiraHamburger SV7.3
3rd
D. Heuer FernandesHamburger SV7.2

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 89% 61 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
J. Torunarigha D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 45 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
L. Vušković D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 80% 51 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
N. Capaldo M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Muheim D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 68% 19 5 0 0/0 2/3 7.0
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 26 1 1 0/0 1/3 6.9
Fábio Vieira M 87 1 0 1 (1) 0 83% 24 2 2 1/1 0/2 7.3
W. Mikelbrencis D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 72% 25 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
P. Otele F 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 55% 11 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
R. Königsdörffer F 67 0 0 1 (0) 1 60% 15 0 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
D. Downs F 67 0 0 2 (2) 1 83% 12 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
W. Omari D 70 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 37 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Sambi Lokonga M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Jean-Luc Dompe F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
Y. Poulsen F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
Rayan Philippe F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 —

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Vandevoordt G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 71% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
D. Raum D 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 88% 60 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.9
C. Lukeba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 70 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
V. Orbán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 83 2 1 0/0 2/0 7.2
R. Baku M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 83% 60 3 3 1/1 1/1 6.9
C. Baumgartner M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
N. Seiwald M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 43 2 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
B. Gruda M 72 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 19 0 0 2/3 2/0 6.2
A. Nusa M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 20 0 1 2/2 0/0 6.5
Rômulo F 90 1 1 4 (4) 3 87% 23 2 0 1/2 3/1 7.2
Y. Diomande F 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 93% 40 0 0 5/7 2/2 8.5
Tidiam Gomis F 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Banzuzi M 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
B. Henrichs D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
C. Harder F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.