Bundesliga Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 25 2025 · 14:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.53 – 0.32
VfL Wolfsburg
  • 15’ A. Daghim
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Daghim goal decides it for VfL Wolfsburg

Hamburger SV entered as narrow favourites, but VfL Wolfsburg won 1–0 through a Daghim goal. VfL Wolfsburg won despite the lower xG; Hamburger SV created the better chances (2.53 vs 0.32). On the chances created, Hamburger SV deserved more: 2.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hamburger SV40%
Draw26%
VfL Wolfsburg ✓34%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
0
Model 1.51 · xG 2.53
VfL Wolfsburg goals
1
Model 1.36 · xG 0.32
Total goals
1
Model 2.87 · xG 2.85
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchK. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg
8.7
  • RefereeMartin Petersen
  • Coaches— · P. Simonis
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 12th · VfL Wolfsburg 15th

Timeline

  1. A. Daghim 0–1Assist C. Eriksen
    15’
  2. Vinicius SouzaYellow card · Roughing
    24’
  3. M. AmouraYellow card · Roughing
    28’
  4. ✕ R. KönigsdörfferMissed penalty
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ P. WimmerFor M. Amoura
    57’
  7. ⇄ B. DárdaiFor Vinicius Souza
    57’
  8. ⇄ Y. PoulsenFor R. Königsdörffer
    64’
  9. ⇄ Fábio VieiraFor A. Sambi Lokonga
    64’
  10. J. WindYellow card · Delay of game
    68’
  11. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor C. Eriksen
    68’
  12. ⇄ A. Skov OlsenFor J. Wind
    68’
  13. L. VuškovićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    71’
  14. M. SvanbergYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    71’
  15. ⇄ F. BaldeFor W. Mikelbrencis
    77’
  16. ⇄ J. MæhleFor S. Kumbedi
    86’
  17. ⇄ Guilherme RamosFor N. Capaldo
    89’
  18. ⇄ I. PheraiFor Daniel Elfadli
    89’
  19. P. WimmerYellow card · Roughing
    90’
  20. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Hamburger SV26 shots · 17 in box, 9 outside
VfL Wolfsburg6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
Hamburger SVVfL Wolfsburg
61% Possession 39%
2.53 Expected goals (xG) 0.32
2.68 Expected points (xPts) 0.21
26 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
13 Shots off target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
17 Shots inside the box 3
9 Shots outside the box 3
496 Passes 330
84% Pass accuracy 73%
11 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-3

16.6 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
86.7 Daniel Elfadli ↓89’ 447.7 L. Vušković 246.9 N. Capaldo ↓89’
287.7 M. Muheim 216.7 N. Remberg 67.2 A. Sambi Lokonga ↓64’ 26.7 W. Mikelbrencis ↓77’
77.5 Jean-Luc Dompe 116.3 R. Königsdörffer ↓64’ 147.0 Rayan Philippe
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.6
  • 8Daniel Elfadli↓89’6.7
  • 44L. Vušković7.7
  • 24N. Capaldo↓89’6.9
  • 28M. Muheim7.7
  • 21N. Remberg6.7
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↓64’7.2
  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↓77’6.7
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe7.5
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓64’6.3
  • 14Rayan Philippe7.0

Substitutes used

  • 13Guilherme Ramos↑89’
  • 20Fábio Vieira↑64’6.9
  • 10I. Pherai↑89’
  • 45F. Balde↑77’6.5
  • 15Y. Poulsen↑64’6.3

Unused: D. Peretz, J. Torunarigha, J. Meffert, Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

18.7★ K. Grabara(G)
256.3 A. Zehnter 46.9 K. Koulierakis 146.9 J. Seelt 266.9 S. Kumbedi ↓86’
56.3 Vinicius Souza ↓57’ 277.0 M. Arnold
96.5 M. Amoura ↓57’ 246.9 C. Eriksen A↓68’ 117.3 A. Daghim
236.2 J. Wind ↓68’
  • 1K. Grabara (G) ★8.7
  • 25A. Zehnter6.3
  • 4K. Koulierakis6.9
  • 14J. Seelt6.9
  • 26S. Kumbedi↓86’6.9
  • 5Vinicius Souza↓57’6.3
  • 27M. Arnold7.0
  • 9M. Amoura↓57’6.5
  • 24C. EriksenA↓68’6.9
  • 11A. Daghim7.3
  • 23J. Wind↓68’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 21J. Mæhle↑86’
  • 8B. Dárdai↑57’6.7
  • 32M. Svanberg↑68’6.7
  • 39P. Wimmer↑57’6.5
  • 7A. Skov Olsen↑68’6.6

Unused: M. Müller, L. Majer, Y. Gerhardt, D. Pejčinović

Coach: P. Simonis

Player stats

Top rated
K. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg8.7
2nd
L. VuškovićHamburger SV7.7
3rd
M. MuheimHamburger SV7.7

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 90% 60 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Daniel Elfadli D 89 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 54 3 1 0/1 1/0 6.7
L. Vušković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 72 1 0 1/1 0/4 7.7
N. Capaldo M 89 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 60 2 2 0/0 0/4 6.9
M. Muheim D 90 0 0 4 (1) 2 76% 49 3 1 1/1 2/1 7.7
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 90% 48 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.7
A. Sambi Lokonga M 64 0 0 3 (0) 1 88% 25 2 0 2/3 1/2 7.2
W. Mikelbrencis D 77 0 0 0 (0) 3 77% 31 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Jean-Luc Dompe F 90 0 0 2 (2) 5 77% 22 1 0 1/1 0/1 7.5
R. Königsdörffer F 64 0 0 2 (1) 1 87% 15 0 0 1/1 0/2 6.3
Rayan Philippe F 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 80% 15 0 0 1/3 0/1 7.0
Guilherme Ramos D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Fábio Vieira M 26 0 0 1 (0) 2 90% 10 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
I. Pherai M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
F. Balde 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Y. Poulsen F 26 0 0 2 (0) 0 60% 10 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Grabara G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 49% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.7
A. Zehnter M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 61% 28 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.3
K. Koulierakis D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
J. Seelt D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 36 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.9
S. Kumbedi D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Vinicius Souza M 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 17 1 1 0/1 5/0 6.3
M. Arnold M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 44 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
M. Amoura F 57 0 0 1 (1) 1 59% 17 2 1 0/1 1/0 6.5
C. Eriksen M 68 0 1 0 (0) 1 81% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Daghim F 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 68% 19 1 0 1/3 1/1 7.3
J. Wind F 68 0 0 0 (0) 1 61% 18 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.2
J. Mæhle D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
B. Dárdai M 33 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
M. Svanberg M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
P. Wimmer M 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 2 1 2/3 5/0 6.5
A. Skov Olsen F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.