Eredivisie Knockout phase Fri, Mar 20 2026 · 19:00 Erve Asito, Almelo
First leg2–1 1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.52 – 0.88
  • S. Scheperman 23’
  • 57’ D. Sanches Fernandes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Heracles and Excelsior share the points

Excelsior entered as narrow favourites, yet Heracles led 1–0 at half-time through a Scheperman goal. But Fernandes scored to rescue a draw for Excelsior. Heracles finished with the higher xG (1.52 vs 0.88). On the chances created, Heracles deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Heracles34%
Draw ✓26%
Excelsior40%

Model vs reality

Heracles goals
1
Model 1.38 · xG 1.52
Excelsior goals
1
Model 1.53 · xG 0.88
Total goals
2
Model 2.91 · xG 2.40
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. Van HoorenbeeckHeracles
8.0
  • RefereeJoey Kooij
  • CoachesE. Faber · —
  • VenueErve Asito
  • Table before kick-offHeracles 18th · Excelsior 15th

Timeline

  1. J. WieckhoffYellow card · Tripping
    14’
  2. S. Scheperman 1–0
    23’
  3. ⇄ R. MeissenFor L. Schouten
    38’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ M. BenitaFor J. Wieckhoff
    46’
  6. D. Sanches Fernandes 1–1Assist N. Naujoks
    57’
  7. ⇄ T. van GilstFor N. Ünüvar
    58’
  8. ⇄ J. ŽambůrekFor S. Scheperman
    61’
  9. ⇄ E. HanssonFor G. de Regt
    69’
  10. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor Jerolldino Bergraaf
    69’
  11. ⇄ B. LimbombeFor E. Ahlstrand
    72’
  12. ⇄ M. EngelsFor Rhys Bozinovski
    72’
  13. ⇄ S. WłodarczykFor D. Sanches Fernandes
    79’
  14. S. WłodarczykYellow card · Elbowing
    80’
  15. M. EngelsYellow card · Roughing
    87’
  16. ⇄ A. CarlénFor N. Naujoks
    90’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Heracles13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Excelsior12 shots · 6 in box, 6 outside
HeraclesExcelsior
50% Possession 50%
1.52 Expected goals (xG) 0.88
1.83 Expected points (xPts) 0.91
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
8 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 6
366 Passes 376
72% Pass accuracy 75%
6 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
17 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Heracles 4-2-3-1

226.5 R. Pasveer(G)
246.6 I. Mesík 188.0★ A. Van Hoorenbeeck 46.6 D. Mirani 36.3 J. Wieckhoff ↓46’
206.3 Rhys Bozinovski ↓72’ 328.0 S. Scheperman ↓61’
97.3 N. Ünüvar ↓58’ 256.9 L. Zeefuik 146.5 E. Ahlstrand ↓72’
706.0 A. Hrustić
  • 22R. Pasveer (G)6.5
  • 24I. Mesík6.6
  • 18A. Van Hoorenbeeck ★8.0
  • 4D. Mirani6.6
  • 3J. Wieckhoff↓46’6.3
  • 20Rhys Bozinovski↓72’6.3
  • 32S. Scheperman↓61’8.0
  • 9N. Ünüvar↓58’7.3
  • 25L. Zeefuik6.9
  • 14E. Ahlstrand↓72’6.5
  • 70A. Hrustić6.0

Substitutes used

  • 2M. Benita↑46’6.9
  • 17T. van Gilst↑58’6.2
  • 13J. Žambůrek↑61’6.6
  • 7B. Limbombe↑72’6.2
  • 8M. Engels↑72’6.5

Unused: T. Jansink, R. Mantel, D. van der Kust, S. Čestić, W. Ould-Chikh, T. Bruns, Tarik Hamamioglu

Coach: E. Faber

Excelsior 4-1-4-1

17.6 S. van Gassel(G)
126.5 A. Zagré 146.2 L. Schouten ↓38’ 47.2 C. Widell 26.5 Ilias Bronkhorst
206.3 L. Hartjes
116.5 G. de Regt ↓69’ 236.9 I. Yegoian 106.9 N. Naujoks A↓90’ 307.3 D. Sanches Fernandes ↓79’
336.2 Jerolldino Bergraaf ↓69’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)7.6
  • 12A. Zagré6.5
  • 14L. Schouten↓38’6.2
  • 4C. Widell7.2
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst6.5
  • 20L. Hartjes6.3
  • 11G. de Regt↓69’6.5
  • 23I. Yegoian6.9
  • 10N. NaujoksA↓90’6.9
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes↓79’7.3
  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↓69’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 3R. Meissen↑38’6.9
  • 7E. Hansson↑69’6.6
  • 29M. van Duinen↑69’6.5
  • 6A. Carlén↑90’
  • 9S. Włodarczyk↑79’6.3

Unused: Tijmen Holla, S. Henderikx, Simon Janssen, Giuliano Cairo, M. Tielemans

Player stats

Top rated
A. Van HoorenbeeckHeracles8.0
2nd
S. SchepermanHeracles8.0
3rd
S. van GasselExcelsior7.6

Heracles

Excelsior

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.