Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi – 19 Sep 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 6 Sat, Sep 19 · 18:00 Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul

Istanbul Basaksehir 14th · 4 pts · 5 played WLDLL

4–0Full time

Genclerbirligi 12th · 7 pts · 5 played WWDLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Istanbul Basaksehir were slight favourites.

Istanbul Basaksehir were the stronger side on L90 Strength (34 vs 16). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Genclerbirligi. Istanbul Basaksehir had 6 days of rest, Genclerbirligi 6.1 and had to travel 352 km.

Away travel352 kmRest days6 · 6.1Matches / 14d1 · 2

Istanbul Basaksehir54%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi24%

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.22

Istanbul Basaksehir60%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi18%

Expected goals 1.90 – 0.94

Istanbul Basaksehir55%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi23%

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.17

Istanbul Basaksehir46%

Draw24%

Genclerbirligi31%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.36

Istanbul Basaksehir53%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi24%

Expected goals 1.91 – 1.23

Over 2.5 61% Both score 60% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (İstanbul)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeAtilla Karaoglan

Cards per match 5.6
Penalties per match 0.35
Matches 31

Team strength

Istanbul Basaksehir

Genclerbirligi

34 L90 StrengthIn forecast 16

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

32 AttackIn forecast 13

34 DefenceIn forecast 16

17 Form indexContext 38

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir

Attack—

Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Istanbul Basaksehir

Genclerbirligi

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.25 xGVia Att/Def 1.21

1.99 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.61

-0.05 Goals minus xGContext -0.21

80% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

12.00 ShotsContext 13.00

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.20

25% On target shareContext 32%

6.60 Shots in the boxContext 7.80

54% Box shareContext 60%

10% ConversionContext 8%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.00

14.00 Shots allowedContext 17.40

5.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.20

3.40 BlocksContext 4.25

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.60

65% Save rateContext 78%

54% PossessionIn forecast 44%

477 PassesContext 345

406 Accurate passesContext 279

85% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.63 Team ratingContext 6.94

13.00 FoulsContext 12.40

12.60 Fouls sufferedContext 12.20

2.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 5 and 5 games

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.59 xGVia Att/Def 1.34

1.37 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.37

+0.11 Goals minus xGContext -0.04

90% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

13.10 ShotsContext 12.30

3.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.30

29% On target shareContext 35%

8.60 Shots in the boxContext 7.50

65% Box shareContext 60%

13% ConversionContext 11%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.71

12.70 Shots allowedContext 12.90

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.22

3.89 BlocksContext 2.89

3.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

69% Save rateContext 78%

52% PossessionIn forecast 46%

443 PassesContext 351

377 Accurate passesContext 281

85% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.86

12.40 FoulsContext 11.50

11.90 Fouls sufferedContext 13.60

2.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Istanbul Basaksehir WLDLL

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km2,052 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -3.6 vs expected

L13 SepA · Amed0–51.2 xPts
L4 SepH · Galatasaray2–31.0 xPts
D30 AugH · Kasimpasa1–12.0 xPts
L23 AugA · Trabzonspor1–21.4 xPts
W16 AugH · Kocaelispor2–02.1 xPts

Genclerbirligi WWDLL

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel352 km1,187 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 38 · 7 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected

L13 SepH · Kasimpasa1–21.4 xPts
L6 SepA · Trabzonspor0–50.9 xPts
D28 AugH · Erzurumspor FK1–11.6 xPts
W23 AugA · Goztepe1–00.8 xPts
W15 AugH · Fenerbahce2–10.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Süper Lig 2026-2027, 13 Sep	6.1Süper Lig 2026-2027, 13 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	352 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,052 km	1,187 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	21.7	20.7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Istanbul Basaksehir Confirmed XI

4-4-2

16M. Şengezer(G)

38S. Kharebashvili 27O. Ba 23E. Bayram 33M. Karbownik

77I. Brnić 20U. Güneş 8O. Kemen 70A. Skov Olsen

14E. Shomurodov 9D. Selke

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Genclerbirligi Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

70İ. Eğribayat(G)

77A. Dursun 2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 13Pedro Pereira

42Ousmane Diabate

7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 35O. Ülgün 14A. Traoré

9Pedro Mendes

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Istanbul Basaksehir Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.05 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Genclerbirligi Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Istanbul Basaksehir-1.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Genclerbirligi+1.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Istanbul Basaksehir · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 1.67
Conceded: 1.33

Genclerbirligi · Away 1.50points per game · 2 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-1
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 2.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Istanbul Basaksehir	Genclerbirligi
Kasimpasa	D 1–1 H	L 1–2 H
Trabzonspor	L 1–2 A	L 0–5 A
Points	1 of 6 · 0.50 per game	0 of 6 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Istanbul Basaksehir wins0 draws1 Genclerbirligi wins

Goals per game2.00 – 1.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%

11 Apr 2026Istanbul Basaksehir3–0Genclerbirligi
7 Nov 2025Genclerbirligi2–1Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Genclerbirligi	Forecast
Scored per game	1.20	1.00
Conceded per game	2.20	1.80
Match goals	3.40	2.80	3.14
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	61%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	60%	60%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	20%	20%
Games	5	5

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Genclerbirligi	Forecast
Scored per game	1.70	1.30
Conceded per game	1.60	1.40
Match goals	3.30	2.70	3.14
Over 1.5	100%	70%
Over 2.5	70%	60%	61%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	50%	60%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	10%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	4.60	4.00
Corners conceded	3.40	7.40
Match total	8.00	11.40	9.40
Over 8.5	40% 2/5	80% 4/5
Over 9.5	40% 2/5	60% 3/5
Over 10.5	20% 1/5	60% 3/5
Cards
Cards	2.80	1.80
Opponent cards	2.00	2.00
Match total	4.80	3.80	3.88
Over 3.5	80% 4/5	60% 3/5
Over 4.5	40% 2/5	40% 2/5

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	4.20	3.60
Corners conceded	4.50	5.30
Match total	8.70	8.90	9.40
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.00
Opponent cards	1.80	2.60
Match total	4.30	4.60	3.88
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Atilla Karaoglan Türkiye · 31 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.39league 3.79

Red cards0.19league 0.15

Cards 5+61%league 40%

Fouls24.8league 25.6

Penalties0.35league 0.31

Home wins42%league 44%

Istanbul Basaksehir3 with this referee

Record2-0-1 Cards · opp.3.7 · 4.0 Pens for · against1 · 1 Reds1

W29 Nov 25A · Kasimpasa3–15
L18 Oct 25H · Galatasaray1–23
W18 May 25A · Kasimpasa3–23

Genclerbirligi3 with this referee

Record1-1-1 Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.3 Pens for · against1 · 1 Reds1

W17 May 26A · Trabzonspor3–01
D4 Oct 25H · Alanyaspor2–22
L23 Aug 25A · Gazişehir Gaziantep1–26

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.