Süper Lig Gameweek 11 Fri, Oct 31 2025 · 17:00 Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.65 – 1.04
  • E. Shomurodov 90+1’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Shomurodov’s late goal settles it for Istanbul Basaksehir

Istanbul Basaksehir entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Shomurodov goal. Istanbul Basaksehir finished with the higher xG (1.65 vs 1.04). On the chances created, Kocaelispor deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Istanbul Basaksehir ✓45%
Draw26%
Kocaelispor29%

Model vs reality

Istanbul Basaksehir goals
1
Model 1.58 · xG 1.65
Kocaelispor goals
0
Model 1.21 · xG 1.04
Total goals
1
Model 2.79 · xG 2.69
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. BaloghKocaelispor
8.7
  • RefereeBatuhan Kolak
  • VenueBaşakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Table before kick-offIstanbul Basaksehir 11th · Kocaelispor 10th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ O. BaFor J. Opoku
    22’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ O. KemenFor U. Güneş
    46’
  4. B. ÖzdemirYellow card
    62’
  5. ⇄ I. BrnićFor Nuno da Costa
    63’
  6. ⇄ C. KelesFor K. Linetty
    65’
  7. ⇄ D. SelkeFor Miguel Crespo
    73’
  8. ⇄ D. ChurlinovFor Daniel Agyei
    77’
  9. ⇄ S. YalcinFor H. Keïta
    78’
  10. ⇄ J. Nonge BoendeFor S. Dursun
    85’
  11. A. OğuzYellow card
    88’
  12. B. BaloghYellow card
    88’
  13. E. Shomurodov (pen) 1–0
    90+1’
  14. Ö. ŞahinerYellow card
    90+2’
  15. ⇄ Furkan GedikFor Show
    90+3’
  16. ⇄ F. EboseleFor Y. Sarı
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Istanbul Basaksehir16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
Kocaelispor11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
58% Possession 42%
1.65 Expected goals (xG) 1.04
1.79 Expected points (xPts) 0.96
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 5
438 Passes 316
87% Pass accuracy 81%
6 Corners 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.15 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Istanbul Basaksehir 4-2-3-1

168.5 M. Şengezer(G)
426.9 Ö. Şahiner 36.6 J. Opoku ↓22’ 57.2 Léo Duarte 67.0 O. Bulut
206.9 U. Güneş ↓46’ 27.5 B. Özdemir
106.3 Nuno da Costa ↓63’ 136.9 Miguel Crespo ↓73’ 77.9 Y. Sarı ↓90’
146.7 E. Shomurodov
  • 16M. Şengezer (G)8.5
  • 42Ö. Şahiner6.9
  • 3J. Opoku↓22’6.6
  • 5Léo Duarte7.2
  • 6O. Bulut7.0
  • 20U. Güneş↓46’6.9
  • 2B. Özdemir7.5
  • 10Nuno da Costa↓63’6.3
  • 13Miguel Crespo↓73’6.9
  • 7Y. Sarı↓90’7.9
  • 14E. Shomurodov6.7

Substitutes used

  • 27O. Ba↑22’7.2
  • 8O. Kemen↑46’6.5
  • 77I. Brnić↑63’6.7
  • 36F. Ebosele↑90’
  • 9D. Selke↑73’6.3

Unused: D. Alemdar, D. Türüç, Ö. Beyaz, J. Kałuziński, O. Ergün

Kocaelispor 4-2-3-1

16.3 A. Jovanovic
26.9 A. Dijksteel 66.6 H. Smolčić 58.7★ B. Balogh 227.5 A. Oğuz
146.6 Show ↓90’ 86.9 H. Keïta ↓78’
756.5 T. Bingöl 107.2 K. Linetty ↓65’ 76.7 Daniel Agyei ↓77’
196.3 S. Dursun ↓85’
  • 1A. Jovanovic6.3
  • 2A. Dijksteel6.9
  • 6H. Smolčić6.6
  • 5B. Balogh ★8.7
  • 22A. Oğuz7.5
  • 14Show↓90’6.6
  • 8H. Keïta↓78’6.9
  • 75T. Bingöl6.5
  • 10K. Linetty↓65’7.2
  • 7Daniel Agyei↓77’6.7
  • 19S. Dursun↓85’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 70C. Keles↑65’6.3
  • 23S. Yalcin↑78’6.3
  • 17D. Churlinov↑77’6.3
  • 98J. Nonge Boende↑85’
  • 18Furkan Gedik↑90’

Unused: Gökhan Değirmenci, T. Serbest, Muharrem Cinan, O. Syrota, A. Sağat

Player stats

Top rated
B. BaloghKocaelispor8.7
2nd
M. ŞengezerIstanbul Basaksehir8.5
3rd
Y. SarıIstanbul Basaksehir7.9

Istanbul Basaksehir

Kocaelispor

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.