Süper Lig Gameweek 30 Sun, Apr 25 · 13:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel154 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Konyaspor—%
Draw—%
Alanyaspor—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Konya)

Forecast from 10 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Konyaspor and Alanyaspor. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

KonyasporAlanyaspor
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 24
13 AttackIn forecast 18
31 DefenceIn forecast 24
23 Form indexContext 49
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Alanyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KonyasporAlanyaspor
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 0.96
1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.60
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.04
38% Scored inContext 75%
38% Clean sheetsContext 38%
10.38 ShotsContext 10.88
3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
31% On target shareContext 30%
6.75 Shots in the boxContext 6.75
64% Box shareContext 61%
5% ConversionContext 9%
2.80 OffsidesContext 2.14
12.88 Shots allowedContext 15.00
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.88
3.50 BlocksContext 4.38
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.88
80% Save rateContext 80%
49% PossessionIn forecast 42%
396 PassesContext 334
325 Accurate passesContext 270
82% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.93
11.88 FoulsContext 12.13
12.38 Fouls sufferedContext 13.38
2.38 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.04
1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.60
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.16
40% Scored inContext 80%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.80 ShotsContext 11.00
3.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.80
29% On target shareContext 35%
7.10 Shots in the boxContext 6.50
65% Box shareContext 58%
5% ConversionContext 11%
2.43 OffsidesContext 2.13
13.80 Shots allowedContext 14.20
6.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00
3.40 BlocksContext 4.10
4.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.90
78% Save rateContext 78%
49% PossessionIn forecast 44%
391 PassesContext 354
322 Accurate passesContext 291
82% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.92
12.30 FoulsContext 12.30
11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 13.30
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
  • D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
Alanyaspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel154 km1,666 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 49 · 8 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · +2.4 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Fenerbahce0–30.5 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Erzurumspor FK0–01.6 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Çorum FK2–11.0 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Goztepe2–21.6 xPts
  • W7 SepA · Rizespor1–01.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Alanyaspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 5
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 18 Apr7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 18 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km154 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways926 km1,666 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana
8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu
7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Alanyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Fenerbahce (A) 0–3, 17 Oct
48Paulo Victor(G)
20F. Aksoy 5F. Aliti 3Nuno Lima
11Ruan 55B. Gezek 42G. Makouta 94F. Hadërgjonaj
7Ibrahim Kaya 17A. Usluoğlu 16U. Hwang

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Alanyaspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
0.50
Conceded
0.75
Alanyaspor · Away 1.40points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
2-1-2
Scored
1.00
Conceded
1.40

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

0 Konyaspor wins1 draws5 Alanyaspor wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.00 Over 2.583% Both scored83% Clean sheets0% · 17%
  • 14 Feb 2026Alanyaspor2–1Konyaspor
  • 13 Sep 2025Konyaspor1–2Alanyaspor
  • 25 May 2025Konyaspor1–2Alanyaspor
  • 3 Jan 2025Alanyaspor2–1Konyaspor
  • 20 Apr 2024Konyaspor0–2Alanyaspor
  • 2 Dec 2023Alanyaspor2–2Konyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Konyaspor8 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Alanyaspor8 games · scored 8 · conceded 9
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
46-60
5 3 61-75
1 3 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 5 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 61-75
1 3 76-90
Alanyaspor10 games · scored 12 · conceded 12
2 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 46-60
6 4 61-75
1 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.